Prediction 4147
Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RO (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 103.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 63.0 | 153.0 | 208.0 | 247.0 | 284.0 |
2022-10-16 | 104.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 63.0 | 155.0 | 212.0 | 252.0 | 291.0 |
2022-10-23 | 105.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 63.0 | 157.0 | 215.0 | 256.0 | 296.0 |
2022-10-30 | 114.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | 70.0 | 170.0 | 232.0 | 276.0 | 318.0 |
2022-11-06 | 116.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 71.0 | 173.0 | 237.0 | 282.0 | 326.0 |
2022-11-13 | 143.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 92.0 | 208.0 | 281.0 | 333.0 | 384.0 |
2022-11-20 | 145.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 211.0 | 286.0 | 339.0 | 391.0 |
2022-11-27 | 159.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 103.0 | 230.0 | 310.0 | 367.0 | 423.0 |
2022-12-04 | 162.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 64.0 | 105.0 | 234.0 | 316.0 | 375.0 | 433.0 |
2022-12-11 | 155.0 | 24.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 99.0 | 226.0 | 307.0 | 365.0 | 422.0 |
2022-12-18 | 135.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 46.0 | 83.0 | 201.0 | 277.0 | 331.0 | 384.0 |
2022-12-25 | 120.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 71.0 | 183.0 | 255.0 | 306.0 | 357.0 |
2023-01-01 | 197.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 83.0 | 130.0 | 282.0 | 380.0 | 450.0 | 519.0 |
2023-01-08 | 216.0 | 51.0 | 70.0 | 95.0 | 145.0 | 307.0 | 412.0 | 488.0 | 562.0 |
2023-01-15 | 228.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 102.0 | 154.0 | 324.0 | 434.0 | 513.0 | 592.0 |
2023-01-22 | 211.0 | 47.0 | 66.0 | 90.0 | 140.0 | 302.0 | 407.0 | 483.0 | 558.0 |
2023-01-29 | 233.0 | 57.0 | 77.0 | 103.0 | 157.0 | 331.0 | 445.0 | 527.0 | 607.0 |
2023-02-05 | 232.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 102.0 | 156.0 | 331.0 | 445.0 | 527.0 | 609.0 |
2023-02-12 | 251.0 | 64.0 | 85.0 | 113.0 | 170.0 | 356.0 | 477.0 | 565.0 | 651.0 |
2023-02-19 | 226.0 | 51.0 | 71.0 | 97.0 | 150.0 | 324.0 | 437.0 | 519.0 | 600.0 |
2023-02-26 | 230.0 | 53.0 | 73.0 | 100.0 | 153.0 | 330.0 | 445.0 | 529.0 | 612.0 |
2023-03-05 | 225.0 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 96.0 | 149.0 | 324.0 | 438.0 | 521.0 | 603.0 |
2023-03-12 | 221.0 | 48.0 | 68.0 | 94.0 | 146.0 | 320.0 | 433.0 | 516.0 | 598.0 |
2023-03-19 | 197.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 79.0 | 127.0 | 288.0 | 394.0 | 470.0 | 546.0 |
2023-03-26 | 188.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 73.0 | 120.0 | 276.0 | 379.0 | 454.0 | 528.0 |
2023-04-02 | 180.0 | 28.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 114.0 | 266.0 | 367.0 | 440.0 | 512.0 |
2023-04-09 | 168.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 61.0 | 105.0 | 252.0 | 348.0 | 419.0 | 489.0 |
2023-04-16 | 147.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 89.0 | 224.0 | 314.0 | 379.0 | 444.0 |
2023-04-23 | 125.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 72.0 | 196.0 | 278.0 | 337.0 | 396.0 |
2023-04-30 | 129.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 74.0 | 201.0 | 284.0 | 345.0 | 405.0 |
2023-05-07 | 123.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 70.0 | 193.0 | 275.0 | 335.0 | 394.0 |
2023-05-14 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 176.0 | 254.0 | 310.0 | 366.0 |
2023-05-21 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 49.0 | 158.0 | 230.0 | 282.0 | 334.0 |
2023-05-28 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 45.0 | 151.0 | 222.0 | 273.0 | 324.0 |
2023-06-04 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 39.0 | 142.0 | 209.0 | 259.0 | 308.0 |
2023-06-11 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 128.0 | 193.0 | 240.0 | 286.0 |
2023-06-18 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 130.0 | 195.0 | 242.0 | 290.0 |
2023-06-25 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 123.0 | 186.0 | 232.0 | 278.0 |
2023-07-02 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 123.0 | 186.0 | 232.0 | 279.0 |
2023-07-09 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 117.0 | 179.0 | 224.0 | 269.0 |
2023-07-16 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 110.0 | 170.0 | 214.0 | 258.0 |
2023-07-23 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 108.0 | 168.0 | 212.0 | 255.0 |
2023-07-30 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 107.0 | 167.0 | 210.0 | 254.0 |
2023-08-06 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 100.0 | 158.0 | 200.0 | 242.0 |
2023-08-13 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 95.0 | 152.0 | 193.0 | 234.0 |
2023-08-20 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 89.0 | 144.0 | 184.0 | 225.0 |
2023-08-27 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 87.0 | 142.0 | 182.0 | 222.0 |
2023-09-03 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 87.0 | 141.0 | 181.0 | 221.0 |
2023-09-10 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 83.0 | 136.0 | 175.0 | 214.0 |
2023-09-17 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 88.0 | 144.0 | 184.0 | 225.0 |
2023-09-24 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 89.0 | 144.0 | 185.0 | 225.0 |
2023-10-01 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 89.0 | 145.0 | 186.0 | 227.0 |