Prediction 4152
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=SP (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 1107.0 | 226.0 | 302.0 | 413.0 | 669.0 | 1793.0 | 2740.0 | 3520.0 | 4368.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 1124.0 | 220.0 | 297.0 | 409.0 | 671.0 | 1843.0 | 2846.0 | 3678.0 | 4589.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 1126.0 | 210.0 | 287.0 | 399.0 | 664.0 | 1868.0 | 2914.0 | 3789.0 | 4751.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 1227.0 | 225.0 | 308.0 | 429.0 | 718.0 | 2053.0 | 3228.0 | 4220.0 | 5315.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 1365.0 | 249.0 | 339.0 | 473.0 | 794.0 | 2300.0 | 3644.0 | 4786.0 | 6054.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 1464.0 | 262.0 | 358.0 | 501.0 | 845.0 | 2489.0 | 3974.0 | 5244.0 | 6662.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 1638.0 | 291.0 | 397.0 | 556.0 | 941.0 | 2804.0 | 4508.0 | 5975.0 | 7621.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 1858.0 | 330.0 | 448.0 | 626.0 | 1062.0 | 3200.0 | 5179.0 | 6892.0 | 8824.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 2166.0 | 385.0 | 521.0 | 727.0 | 1233.0 | 3753.0 | 6111.0 | 8166.0 | 10492.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 2332.0 | 408.0 | 554.0 | 774.0 | 1319.0 | 4069.0 | 6671.0 | 8951.0 | 11543.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 2373.0 | 405.0 | 552.0 | 775.0 | 1331.0 | 4172.0 | 6889.0 | 9282.0 | 12013.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 2129.0 | 345.0 | 477.0 | 677.0 | 1180.0 | 3780.0 | 6291.0 | 8516.0 | 11063.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 3730.0 | 648.0 | 873.0 | 1217.0 | 2084.0 | 6617.0 | 11038.0 | 14974.0 | 19498.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 4587.0 | 797.0 | 1070.0 | 1490.0 | 2554.0 | 8180.0 | 13717.0 | 18672.0 | 24388.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 5589.0 | 967.0 | 1297.0 | 1805.0 | 3098.0 | 10019.0 | 16891.0 | 23071.0 | 30224.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 6560.0 | 1125.0 | 1509.0 | 2102.0 | 3619.0 | 11826.0 | 20047.0 | 27474.0 | 36099.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 8473.0 | 1448.0 | 1938.0 | 2699.0 | 4657.0 | 15351.0 | 26155.0 | 35959.0 | 47382.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 9769.0 | 1650.0 | 2211.0 | 3084.0 | 5341.0 | 17798.0 | 30485.0 | 42047.0 | 55561.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 11352.0 | 1895.0 | 2542.0 | 3553.0 | 6176.0 | 20796.0 | 35803.0 | 49538.0 | 65641.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 12484.0 | 2055.0 | 2762.0 | 3870.0 | 6757.0 | 22997.0 | 39795.0 | 55232.0 | 73382.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 14886.0 | 2425.0 | 3262.0 | 4577.0 | 8019.0 | 27563.0 | 47926.0 | 66713.0 | 88865.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 16558.0 | 2662.0 | 3587.0 | 5044.0 | 8875.0 | 30818.0 | 53844.0 | 75169.0 | 100383.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 18864.0 | 2995.0 | 4043.0 | 5697.0 | 10063.0 | 35285.0 | 61936.0 | 86708.0 | 116078.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 19664.0 | 3078.0 | 4163.0 | 5883.0 | 10437.0 | 36970.0 | 65193.0 | 91521.0 | 122815.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 19841.0 | 3060.0 | 4149.0 | 5879.0 | 10478.0 | 37490.0 | 66408.0 | 93478.0 | 125735.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 21560.0 | 3284.0 | 4461.0 | 6334.0 | 11334.0 | 40929.0 | 72812.0 | 102757.0 | 138528.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 22238.0 | 3343.0 | 4550.0 | 6477.0 | 11637.0 | 42414.0 | 75771.0 | 107205.0 | 144841.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 22368.0 | 3317.0 | 4525.0 | 6458.0 | 11651.0 | 42858.0 | 76880.0 | 109042.0 | 147638.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 20159.0 | 2941.0 | 4026.0 | 5763.0 | 10449.0 | 38807.0 | 69901.0 | 99385.0 | 134846.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 18093.0 | 2597.0 | 3566.0 | 5122.0 | 9332.0 | 34991.0 | 63280.0 | 90185.0 | 122614.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 14509.0 | 2040.0 | 2814.0 | 4060.0 | 7443.0 | 28196.0 | 51201.0 | 73144.0 | 99647.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 11663.0 | 1603.0 | 2223.0 | 3224.0 | 5949.0 | 22777.0 | 41528.0 | 59463.0 | 81171.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 8090.0 | 1072.0 | 1502.0 | 2197.0 | 4095.0 | 15892.0 | 29103.0 | 41775.0 | 57142.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 6153.0 | 785.0 | 1112.0 | 1641.0 | 3090.0 | 12156.0 | 22358.0 | 32170.0 | 44091.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 4722.0 | 575.0 | 826.0 | 1233.0 | 2351.0 | 9387.0 | 17343.0 | 25013.0 | 34351.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 3653.0 | 420.0 | 614.0 | 930.0 | 1801.0 | 7310.0 | 13568.0 | 19617.0 | 26994.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 2843.0 | 304.0 | 455.0 | 703.0 | 1385.0 | 5732.0 | 10692.0 | 15498.0 | 21368.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 2282.0 | 221.0 | 343.0 | 542.0 | 1095.0 | 4647.0 | 8729.0 | 12701.0 | 17567.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 1613.0 | 127.0 | 214.0 | 357.0 | 754.0 | 3334.0 | 6323.0 | 9243.0 | 12832.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 1417.0 | 97.0 | 174.0 | 300.0 | 652.0 | 2960.0 | 5655.0 | 8298.0 | 11557.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 1192.0 | 65.0 | 130.0 | 237.0 | 537.0 | 2520.0 | 4853.0 | 7151.0 | 9991.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 1022.0 | 41.0 | 97.0 | 189.0 | 450.0 | 2188.0 | 4247.0 | 6283.0 | 8806.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 935.0 | 28.0 | 80.0 | 164.0 | 405.0 | 2024.0 | 3955.0 | 5871.0 | 8253.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 844.0 | 15.0 | 62.0 | 139.0 | 358.0 | 1847.0 | 3634.0 | 5414.0 | 7632.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 749.0 | 2.0 | 44.0 | 113.0 | 310.0 | 1660.0 | 3292.0 | 4923.0 | 6961.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 694.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 97.0 | 281.0 | 1554.0 | 3102.0 | 4654.0 | 6598.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 606.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 74.0 | 238.0 | 1378.0 | 2774.0 | 4178.0 | 5941.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 577.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 65.0 | 222.0 | 1325.0 | 2681.0 | 4050.0 | 5772.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 625.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 75.0 | 243.0 | 1432.0 | 2903.0 | 4392.0 | 6271.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 637.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 76.0 | 247.0 | 1463.0 | 2975.0 | 4511.0 | 6452.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 620.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 71.0 | 238.0 | 1435.0 | 2932.0 | 4456.0 | 6387.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 619.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 69.0 | 236.0 | 1438.0 | 2949.0 | 4493.0 | 6452.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
