Prediction 4154
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=AC (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 121.0 | 221.0 | 301.0 | 386.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 128.0 | 233.0 | 319.0 | 410.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 135.0 | 246.0 | 336.0 | 432.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 143.0 | 259.0 | 354.0 | 456.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 150.0 | 271.0 | 370.0 | 478.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 157.0 | 283.0 | 386.0 | 498.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 165.0 | 295.0 | 403.0 | 519.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 172.0 | 307.0 | 418.0 | 539.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 179.0 | 318.0 | 433.0 | 557.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 186.0 | 329.0 | 446.0 | 574.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 86.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 193.0 | 339.0 | 460.0 | 592.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 199.0 | 349.0 | 472.0 | 607.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 205.0 | 358.0 | 485.0 | 622.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 211.0 | 367.0 | 496.0 | 636.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 217.0 | 376.0 | 507.0 | 649.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 223.0 | 385.0 | 519.0 | 664.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 228.0 | 393.0 | 529.0 | 677.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 233.0 | 400.0 | 538.0 | 689.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 237.0 | 407.0 | 547.0 | 699.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 241.0 | 413.0 | 555.0 | 709.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 246.0 | 420.0 | 564.0 | 721.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 249.0 | 425.0 | 571.0 | 729.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 251.0 | 429.0 | 576.0 | 736.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 253.0 | 432.0 | 580.0 | 742.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 255.0 | 435.0 | 585.0 | 748.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 257.0 | 439.0 | 590.0 | 755.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 127.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 259.0 | 443.0 | 595.0 | 762.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 258.0 | 443.0 | 596.0 | 763.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 259.0 | 445.0 | 599.0 | 767.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 259.0 | 445.0 | 600.0 | 770.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 259.0 | 446.0 | 601.0 | 771.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 258.0 | 445.0 | 601.0 | 772.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 258.0 | 445.0 | 601.0 | 772.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 257.0 | 445.0 | 601.0 | 773.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 254.0 | 440.0 | 595.0 | 766.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 252.0 | 437.0 | 593.0 | 763.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 250.0 | 435.0 | 589.0 | 759.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 248.0 | 432.0 | 587.0 | 756.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 115.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 245.0 | 427.0 | 580.0 | 749.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 113.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 241.0 | 423.0 | 574.0 | 741.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 238.0 | 418.0 | 568.0 | 734.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 235.0 | 413.0 | 563.0 | 727.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 233.0 | 410.0 | 559.0 | 723.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 230.0 | 405.0 | 553.0 | 715.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 226.0 | 400.0 | 546.0 | 707.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 225.0 | 398.0 | 544.0 | 704.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 222.0 | 394.0 | 538.0 | 696.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 219.0 | 389.0 | 532.0 | 689.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 216.0 | 385.0 | 527.0 | 683.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 214.0 | 382.0 | 523.0 | 678.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 214.0 | 382.0 | 522.0 | 677.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 212.0 | 379.0 | 519.0 | 672.0 |
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