Prediction 4155
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=AL (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 108.0 | 143.0 | 179.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 65.0 | 116.0 | 154.0 | 192.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 104.0 | 141.0 | 178.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 103.0 | 140.0 | 177.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56.0 | 107.0 | 146.0 | 185.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 107.0 | 146.0 | 186.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 102.0 | 141.0 | 181.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 97.0 | 136.0 | 176.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.0 | 101.0 | 141.0 | 182.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 99.0 | 139.0 | 180.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 93.0 | 133.0 | 173.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 87.0 | 126.0 | 166.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.0 | 105.0 | 149.0 | 194.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.0 | 130.0 | 179.0 | 230.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 140.0 | 191.0 | 245.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 138.0 | 190.0 | 244.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 156.0 | 213.0 | 272.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 169.0 | 229.0 | 292.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 168.0 | 228.0 | 292.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 95.0 | 175.0 | 237.0 | 302.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 111.0 | 198.0 | 266.0 | 337.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 125.0 | 218.0 | 292.0 | 369.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 126.0 | 221.0 | 295.0 | 374.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 139.0 | 240.0 | 320.0 | 404.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 144.0 | 248.0 | 330.0 | 417.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 189.0 | 313.0 | 411.0 | 514.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 209.0 | 342.0 | 448.0 | 560.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 119.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 47.0 | 227.0 | 369.0 | 482.0 | 601.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 140.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 60.0 | 258.0 | 415.0 | 539.0 | 671.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 170.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 304.0 | 482.0 | 624.0 | 774.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 192.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 95.0 | 339.0 | 533.0 | 687.0 | 852.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 217.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 46.0 | 111.0 | 377.0 | 589.0 | 758.0 | 939.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 214.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 44.0 | 109.0 | 374.0 | 586.0 | 755.0 | 936.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 238.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 54.0 | 124.0 | 410.0 | 639.0 | 823.0 | 1019.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 254.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 134.0 | 435.0 | 677.0 | 871.0 | 1078.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 269.0 | 10.0 | 34.0 | 68.0 | 144.0 | 459.0 | 713.0 | 917.0 | 1135.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 246.0 | 3.0 | 25.0 | 57.0 | 128.0 | 426.0 | 665.0 | 858.0 | 1064.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 244.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 55.0 | 126.0 | 423.0 | 664.0 | 858.0 | 1065.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 238.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 122.0 | 416.0 | 655.0 | 848.0 | 1055.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 253.0 | 3.0 | 25.0 | 58.0 | 131.0 | 441.0 | 693.0 | 897.0 | 1116.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 238.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 120.0 | 419.0 | 662.0 | 859.0 | 1072.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 212.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 38.0 | 103.0 | 379.0 | 605.0 | 789.0 | 987.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 207.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 35.0 | 99.0 | 373.0 | 597.0 | 780.0 | 977.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 177.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 79.0 | 328.0 | 532.0 | 699.0 | 879.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 180.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 81.0 | 333.0 | 541.0 | 711.0 | 895.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 153.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 63.0 | 292.0 | 481.0 | 636.0 | 804.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 146.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 58.0 | 282.0 | 469.0 | 621.0 | 786.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 57.0 | 280.0 | 466.0 | 619.0 | 784.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 248.0 | 419.0 | 560.0 | 712.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.0 | 253.0 | 427.0 | 570.0 | 725.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 241.0 | 411.0 | 550.0 | 702.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 196.0 | 343.0 | 464.0 | 596.0 |
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