Prediction 4156
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=AM (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 124.0 | 195.0 | 247.0 | 301.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 130.0 | 205.0 | 261.0 | 318.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 126.0 | 201.0 | 258.0 | 315.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 137.0 | 217.0 | 278.0 | 340.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 149.0 | 235.0 | 300.0 | 367.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 86.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 160.0 | 252.0 | 322.0 | 394.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 41.0 | 179.0 | 280.0 | 357.0 | 436.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 45.0 | 191.0 | 297.0 | 379.0 | 463.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 113.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 50.0 | 203.0 | 316.0 | 403.0 | 493.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 52.0 | 209.0 | 326.0 | 417.0 | 511.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 41.0 | 190.0 | 302.0 | 388.0 | 478.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 158.0 | 258.0 | 336.0 | 417.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 135.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 63.0 | 241.0 | 375.0 | 480.0 | 589.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 156.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 | 76.0 | 272.0 | 420.0 | 536.0 | 658.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 170.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 32.0 | 85.0 | 293.0 | 452.0 | 576.0 | 707.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 170.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 31.0 | 85.0 | 295.0 | 457.0 | 584.0 | 717.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 203.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 46.0 | 106.0 | 345.0 | 529.0 | 673.0 | 825.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 208.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 47.0 | 109.0 | 353.0 | 543.0 | 692.0 | 849.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 211.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 111.0 | 360.0 | 554.0 | 707.0 | 868.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 191.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 38.0 | 97.0 | 332.0 | 516.0 | 661.0 | 815.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 213.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 47.0 | 111.0 | 366.0 | 566.0 | 724.0 | 892.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 203.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 42.0 | 104.0 | 352.0 | 548.0 | 704.0 | 868.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 205.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 104.0 | 355.0 | 554.0 | 712.0 | 880.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 196.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 37.0 | 97.0 | 343.0 | 538.0 | 693.0 | 858.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 181.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 29.0 | 87.0 | 322.0 | 508.0 | 657.0 | 816.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 167.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 77.0 | 302.0 | 481.0 | 625.0 | 777.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 161.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 73.0 | 295.0 | 472.0 | 614.0 | 765.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 152.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 66.0 | 281.0 | 452.0 | 590.0 | 738.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 130.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 52.0 | 249.0 | 408.0 | 535.0 | 672.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 49.0 | 244.0 | 401.0 | 527.0 | 663.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 228.0 | 379.0 | 501.0 | 631.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 111.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 221.0 | 370.0 | 489.0 | 618.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 202.0 | 342.0 | 456.0 | 577.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 193.0 | 329.0 | 440.0 | 559.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 186.0 | 321.0 | 429.0 | 546.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 179.0 | 311.0 | 418.0 | 532.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 175.0 | 306.0 | 411.0 | 525.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 154.0 | 276.0 | 374.0 | 480.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 161.0 | 287.0 | 389.0 | 499.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 152.0 | 273.0 | 372.0 | 479.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 147.0 | 267.0 | 365.0 | 471.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 142.0 | 260.0 | 356.0 | 461.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 140.0 | 258.0 | 354.0 | 458.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 130.0 | 243.0 | 336.0 | 437.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 128.0 | 240.0 | 333.0 | 433.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 124.0 | 235.0 | 326.0 | 425.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 130.0 | 244.0 | 339.0 | 441.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 131.0 | 247.0 | 343.0 | 447.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 147.0 | 272.0 | 374.0 | 486.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 144.0 | 267.0 | 369.0 | 480.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 167.0 | 302.0 | 414.0 | 536.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 177.0 | 318.0 | 435.0 | 563.0 |
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