Prediction 4162
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=GO (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 347.0 | 77.0 | 106.0 | 144.0 | 225.0 | 515.0 | 719.0 | 872.0 | 1028.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 383.0 | 88.0 | 119.0 | 161.0 | 249.0 | 568.0 | 794.0 | 965.0 | 1139.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 373.0 | 81.0 | 111.0 | 153.0 | 240.0 | 557.0 | 784.0 | 956.0 | 1132.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 378.0 | 81.0 | 111.0 | 153.0 | 242.0 | 568.0 | 803.0 | 982.0 | 1165.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 474.0 | 114.0 | 151.0 | 201.0 | 309.0 | 707.0 | 995.0 | 1215.0 | 1442.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 522.0 | 128.0 | 168.0 | 223.0 | 340.0 | 777.0 | 1096.0 | 1340.0 | 1591.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 602.0 | 155.0 | 200.0 | 262.0 | 396.0 | 895.0 | 1262.0 | 1544.0 | 1835.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 644.0 | 167.0 | 215.0 | 281.0 | 423.0 | 959.0 | 1355.0 | 1660.0 | 1975.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 740.0 | 198.0 | 252.0 | 327.0 | 488.0 | 1100.0 | 1554.0 | 1904.0 | 2267.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 714.0 | 186.0 | 238.0 | 311.0 | 468.0 | 1067.0 | 1513.0 | 1858.0 | 2217.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 508.0 | 112.0 | 151.0 | 205.0 | 323.0 | 775.0 | 1113.0 | 1375.0 | 1648.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 444.0 | 88.0 | 123.0 | 171.0 | 277.0 | 685.0 | 992.0 | 1230.0 | 1479.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1283.0 | 373.0 | 462.0 | 585.0 | 856.0 | 1901.0 | 2690.0 | 3305.0 | 3946.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1450.0 | 425.0 | 525.0 | 664.0 | 968.0 | 2149.0 | 3043.0 | 3741.0 | 4471.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1696.0 | 504.0 | 620.0 | 781.0 | 1135.0 | 2513.0 | 3562.0 | 4381.0 | 5238.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1854.0 | 553.0 | 679.0 | 854.0 | 1240.0 | 2750.0 | 3902.0 | 4804.0 | 5749.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2235.0 | 675.0 | 825.0 | 1035.0 | 1497.0 | 3313.0 | 4704.0 | 5794.0 | 6937.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2357.0 | 710.0 | 868.0 | 1089.0 | 1577.0 | 3500.0 | 4976.0 | 6135.0 | 7353.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 2363.0 | 707.0 | 866.0 | 1088.0 | 1578.0 | 3516.0 | 5008.0 | 6182.0 | 7416.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 2361.0 | 702.0 | 860.0 | 1082.0 | 1573.0 | 3520.0 | 5023.0 | 6206.0 | 7452.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 2686.0 | 803.0 | 982.0 | 1234.0 | 1791.0 | 4006.0 | 5721.0 | 7073.0 | 8497.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 2869.0 | 857.0 | 1048.0 | 1316.0 | 1911.0 | 4283.0 | 6123.0 | 7575.0 | 9107.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 3063.0 | 915.0 | 1119.0 | 1405.0 | 2039.0 | 4578.0 | 6551.0 | 8111.0 | 9757.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 3206.0 | 956.0 | 1169.0 | 1468.0 | 2132.0 | 4796.0 | 6871.0 | 8513.0 | 10248.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 3134.0 | 929.0 | 1137.0 | 1429.0 | 2080.0 | 4696.0 | 6738.0 | 8356.0 | 10066.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 3255.0 | 963.0 | 1179.0 | 1482.0 | 2159.0 | 4882.0 | 7013.0 | 8702.0 | 10489.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 3310.0 | 976.0 | 1195.0 | 1504.0 | 2193.0 | 4971.0 | 7149.0 | 8876.0 | 10705.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 3214.0 | 942.0 | 1155.0 | 1455.0 | 2125.0 | 4834.0 | 6961.0 | 8649.0 | 10438.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 3162.0 | 922.0 | 1132.0 | 1428.0 | 2088.0 | 4763.0 | 6866.0 | 8538.0 | 10310.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 3193.0 | 929.0 | 1140.0 | 1439.0 | 2107.0 | 4815.0 | 6948.0 | 8644.0 | 10443.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2970.0 | 856.0 | 1053.0 | 1332.0 | 1955.0 | 4487.0 | 6484.0 | 8073.0 | 9760.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2567.0 | 728.0 | 899.0 | 1141.0 | 1683.0 | 3889.0 | 5630.0 | 7018.0 | 8490.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 2052.0 | 566.0 | 705.0 | 900.0 | 1338.0 | 3122.0 | 4533.0 | 5658.0 | 6852.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1829.0 | 496.0 | 620.0 | 795.0 | 1188.0 | 2790.0 | 4059.0 | 5071.0 | 6147.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1589.0 | 420.0 | 529.0 | 682.0 | 1026.0 | 2433.0 | 3548.0 | 4437.0 | 5383.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1388.0 | 357.0 | 453.0 | 588.0 | 892.0 | 2134.0 | 3119.0 | 3906.0 | 4742.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1190.0 | 296.0 | 378.0 | 496.0 | 759.0 | 1838.0 | 2694.0 | 3379.0 | 4107.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 917.0 | 210.0 | 275.0 | 368.0 | 576.0 | 1431.0 | 2113.0 | 2658.0 | 3239.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 750.0 | 158.0 | 212.0 | 289.0 | 464.0 | 1182.0 | 1756.0 | 2216.0 | 2706.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 634.0 | 121.0 | 168.0 | 235.0 | 386.0 | 1010.0 | 1509.0 | 1910.0 | 2337.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 550.0 | 95.0 | 136.0 | 196.0 | 329.0 | 884.0 | 1329.0 | 1686.0 | 2068.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 464.0 | 68.0 | 104.0 | 156.0 | 272.0 | 755.0 | 1144.0 | 1456.0 | 1790.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 459.0 | 66.0 | 102.0 | 153.0 | 268.0 | 749.0 | 1136.0 | 1448.0 | 1781.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 417.0 | 53.0 | 86.0 | 133.0 | 240.0 | 687.0 | 1047.0 | 1338.0 | 1649.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 419.0 | 53.0 | 86.0 | 134.0 | 241.0 | 691.0 | 1055.0 | 1348.0 | 1663.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 373.0 | 39.0 | 69.0 | 112.0 | 210.0 | 621.0 | 954.0 | 1223.0 | 1511.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 360.0 | 34.0 | 64.0 | 106.0 | 201.0 | 602.0 | 927.0 | 1190.0 | 1472.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 350.0 | 31.0 | 60.0 | 101.0 | 194.0 | 588.0 | 907.0 | 1166.0 | 1443.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 375.0 | 38.0 | 68.0 | 112.0 | 210.0 | 626.0 | 965.0 | 1239.0 | 1534.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 379.0 | 39.0 | 69.0 | 113.0 | 213.0 | 634.0 | 977.0 | 1255.0 | 1554.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 384.0 | 40.0 | 71.0 | 115.0 | 216.0 | 643.0 | 991.0 | 1273.0 | 1577.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 415.0 | 48.0 | 81.0 | 128.0 | 236.0 | 691.0 | 1063.0 | 1365.0 | 1689.0 |
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