Prediction 4167
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=PA (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 32.0 | 113.0 | 164.0 | 200.0 | 235.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 102.0 | 150.0 | 185.0 | 219.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 98.0 | 146.0 | 181.0 | 214.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 31.0 | 115.0 | 168.0 | 206.0 | 243.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 39.0 | 129.0 | 187.0 | 228.0 | 268.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 148.0 | 211.0 | 256.0 | 300.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 60.0 | 165.0 | 233.0 | 281.0 | 329.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 115.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 67.0 | 178.0 | 249.0 | 300.0 | 351.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 125.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 74.0 | 191.0 | 267.0 | 321.0 | 375.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 30.0 | 64.0 | 175.0 | 247.0 | 299.0 | 350.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 38.0 | 132.0 | 192.0 | 236.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 119.0 | 177.0 | 219.0 | 260.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 150.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 52.0 | 92.0 | 225.0 | 311.0 | 373.0 | 435.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 188.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 75.0 | 121.0 | 275.0 | 375.0 | 447.0 | 519.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 227.0 | 52.0 | 72.0 | 98.0 | 151.0 | 326.0 | 440.0 | 523.0 | 604.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 249.0 | 62.0 | 83.0 | 111.0 | 168.0 | 355.0 | 478.0 | 566.0 | 654.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 284.0 | 77.0 | 101.0 | 132.0 | 194.0 | 401.0 | 536.0 | 634.0 | 731.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 266.0 | 69.0 | 91.0 | 121.0 | 181.0 | 378.0 | 508.0 | 602.0 | 695.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 287.0 | 78.0 | 102.0 | 133.0 | 197.0 | 406.0 | 544.0 | 644.0 | 743.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 252.0 | 62.0 | 83.0 | 112.0 | 170.0 | 361.0 | 487.0 | 578.0 | 668.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 273.0 | 71.0 | 94.0 | 124.0 | 185.0 | 388.0 | 521.0 | 618.0 | 714.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 285.0 | 76.0 | 100.0 | 131.0 | 194.0 | 404.0 | 542.0 | 642.0 | 741.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 295.0 | 81.0 | 105.0 | 137.0 | 202.0 | 418.0 | 560.0 | 663.0 | 766.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 251.0 | 60.0 | 82.0 | 110.0 | 168.0 | 360.0 | 487.0 | 579.0 | 670.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 216.0 | 44.0 | 63.0 | 89.0 | 141.0 | 314.0 | 428.0 | 511.0 | 593.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 219.0 | 45.0 | 65.0 | 90.0 | 143.0 | 318.0 | 433.0 | 517.0 | 600.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 210.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 85.0 | 136.0 | 307.0 | 419.0 | 501.0 | 582.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 185.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 70.0 | 117.0 | 273.0 | 377.0 | 452.0 | 527.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 160.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 55.0 | 98.0 | 242.0 | 337.0 | 406.0 | 474.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 179.0 | 27.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 113.0 | 266.0 | 368.0 | 442.0 | 516.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 165.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 58.0 | 102.0 | 248.0 | 345.0 | 415.0 | 485.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 140.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 83.0 | 215.0 | 303.0 | 366.0 | 430.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 113.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 62.0 | 180.0 | 258.0 | 315.0 | 371.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 | 54.0 | 166.0 | 240.0 | 294.0 | 348.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 43.0 | 147.0 | 216.0 | 266.0 | 316.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 40.0 | 142.0 | 210.0 | 259.0 | 308.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 128.0 | 191.0 | 238.0 | 284.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 125.0 | 189.0 | 234.0 | 280.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 114.0 | 174.0 | 218.0 | 261.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 104.0 | 162.0 | 203.0 | 245.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 104.0 | 161.0 | 203.0 | 245.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 106.0 | 164.0 | 206.0 | 248.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 110.0 | 169.0 | 213.0 | 256.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 115.0 | 176.0 | 220.0 | 264.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 114.0 | 175.0 | 219.0 | 263.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 113.0 | 173.0 | 217.0 | 261.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 107.0 | 166.0 | 208.0 | 251.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 102.0 | 159.0 | 200.0 | 242.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 104.0 | 162.0 | 204.0 | 246.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 101.0 | 158.0 | 199.0 | 240.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 104.0 | 162.0 | 204.0 | 246.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 99.0 | 156.0 | 197.0 | 238.0 |
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