Prediction 4169
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=PE (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 132.0 | 220.0 | 288.0 | 358.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 140.0 | 234.0 | 307.0 | 383.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 152.0 | 252.0 | 331.0 | 414.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 148.0 | 249.0 | 329.0 | 413.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 166.0 | 277.0 | 365.0 | 458.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 161.0 | 272.0 | 360.0 | 454.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 163.0 | 277.0 | 368.0 | 465.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 77.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 166.0 | 285.0 | 379.0 | 480.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 175.0 | 299.0 | 398.0 | 505.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 188.0 | 320.0 | 426.0 | 540.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 156.0 | 276.0 | 372.0 | 475.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 117.0 | 220.0 | 303.0 | 392.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 194.0 | 334.0 | 448.0 | 571.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 104.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 217.0 | 370.0 | 494.0 | 630.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 232.0 | 395.0 | 528.0 | 673.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 129.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 259.0 | 436.0 | 582.0 | 740.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 166.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 69.0 | 317.0 | 525.0 | 697.0 | 884.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 191.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 85.0 | 359.0 | 591.0 | 783.0 | 991.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 216.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 100.0 | 400.0 | 654.0 | 865.0 | 1096.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 229.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 37.0 | 107.0 | 421.0 | 690.0 | 913.0 | 1156.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 264.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 51.0 | 129.0 | 480.0 | 782.0 | 1032.0 | 1307.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 325.0 | 9.0 | 36.0 | 74.0 | 166.0 | 578.0 | 933.0 | 1230.0 | 1555.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 349.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 83.0 | 180.0 | 620.0 | 1000.0 | 1318.0 | 1667.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 374.0 | 20.0 | 49.0 | 93.0 | 195.0 | 662.0 | 1067.0 | 1407.0 | 1781.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 370.0 | 18.0 | 47.0 | 90.0 | 192.0 | 658.0 | 1064.0 | 1405.0 | 1781.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 428.0 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 112.0 | 227.0 | 753.0 | 1214.0 | 1602.0 | 2029.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 435.0 | 32.0 | 65.0 | 114.0 | 230.0 | 767.0 | 1239.0 | 1636.0 | 2075.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 475.0 | 41.0 | 76.0 | 129.0 | 254.0 | 834.0 | 1345.0 | 1777.0 | 2254.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 450.0 | 34.0 | 68.0 | 118.0 | 238.0 | 796.0 | 1289.0 | 1706.0 | 2168.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 483.0 | 41.0 | 77.0 | 130.0 | 258.0 | 852.0 | 1379.0 | 1826.0 | 2321.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 496.0 | 43.0 | 80.0 | 134.0 | 264.0 | 875.0 | 1417.0 | 1878.0 | 2389.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 490.0 | 40.0 | 77.0 | 131.0 | 260.0 | 867.0 | 1409.0 | 1869.0 | 2381.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 432.0 | 26.0 | 59.0 | 107.0 | 224.0 | 773.0 | 1265.0 | 1683.0 | 2148.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 405.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 96.0 | 207.0 | 732.0 | 1202.0 | 1603.0 | 2049.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 382.0 | 13.0 | 42.0 | 86.0 | 192.0 | 694.0 | 1145.0 | 1530.0 | 1959.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 348.0 | 4.0 | 32.0 | 73.0 | 171.0 | 640.0 | 1062.0 | 1423.0 | 1825.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 290.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 50.0 | 136.0 | 546.0 | 917.0 | 1234.0 | 1587.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 268.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 41.0 | 122.0 | 511.0 | 863.0 | 1166.0 | 1503.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 254.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 35.0 | 113.0 | 489.0 | 831.0 | 1125.0 | 1454.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 245.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 107.0 | 476.0 | 813.0 | 1102.0 | 1427.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 222.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 93.0 | 439.0 | 756.0 | 1028.0 | 1334.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 189.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 73.0 | 384.0 | 671.0 | 918.0 | 1195.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 190.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 72.0 | 386.0 | 675.0 | 925.0 | 1206.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 189.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 72.0 | 387.0 | 677.0 | 929.0 | 1212.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 167.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 58.0 | 350.0 | 620.0 | 854.0 | 1117.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 160.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 339.0 | 604.0 | 833.0 | 1092.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 149.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 322.0 | 577.0 | 799.0 | 1049.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.0 | 313.0 | 564.0 | 783.0 | 1029.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 136.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 300.0 | 545.0 | 757.0 | 998.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 283.0 | 518.0 | 723.0 | 955.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 132.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 296.0 | 539.0 | 752.0 | 993.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 134.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 299.0 | 545.0 | 760.0 | 1004.0 |
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