Prediction 4171
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=PR (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 541.0 | 66.0 | 106.0 | 165.0 | 303.0 | 920.0 | 1450.0 | 1891.0 | 2374.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 571.0 | 68.0 | 110.0 | 172.0 | 317.0 | 981.0 | 1560.0 | 2046.0 | 2581.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 598.0 | 69.0 | 112.0 | 176.0 | 328.0 | 1036.0 | 1662.0 | 2191.0 | 2778.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 627.0 | 71.0 | 116.0 | 182.0 | 342.0 | 1097.0 | 1774.0 | 2351.0 | 2993.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 701.0 | 83.0 | 132.0 | 205.0 | 382.0 | 1232.0 | 2004.0 | 2667.0 | 3409.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 742.0 | 87.0 | 138.0 | 215.0 | 402.0 | 1314.0 | 2153.0 | 2878.0 | 3694.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 886.0 | 113.0 | 173.0 | 262.0 | 482.0 | 1570.0 | 2584.0 | 3465.0 | 4461.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 932.0 | 117.0 | 179.0 | 273.0 | 504.0 | 1663.0 | 2756.0 | 3711.0 | 4796.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1016.0 | 130.0 | 196.0 | 297.0 | 547.0 | 1823.0 | 3038.0 | 4107.0 | 5325.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1138.0 | 149.0 | 222.0 | 334.0 | 613.0 | 2051.0 | 3436.0 | 4661.0 | 6062.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1082.0 | 132.0 | 202.0 | 308.0 | 575.0 | 1970.0 | 3326.0 | 4532.0 | 5917.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 911.0 | 94.0 | 153.0 | 244.0 | 473.0 | 1683.0 | 2871.0 | 3933.0 | 5157.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1033.0 | 113.0 | 179.0 | 280.0 | 538.0 | 1913.0 | 3276.0 | 4501.0 | 5917.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1211.0 | 142.0 | 218.0 | 334.0 | 633.0 | 2244.0 | 3856.0 | 5310.0 | 6999.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1479.0 | 186.0 | 277.0 | 417.0 | 777.0 | 2744.0 | 4727.0 | 6526.0 | 8621.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1673.0 | 215.0 | 316.0 | 473.0 | 879.0 | 3113.0 | 5385.0 | 7455.0 | 9873.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2081.0 | 281.0 | 404.0 | 597.0 | 1097.0 | 3877.0 | 6727.0 | 9334.0 | 12390.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2515.0 | 349.0 | 496.0 | 726.0 | 1326.0 | 4696.0 | 8178.0 | 11376.0 | 15135.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 3084.0 | 438.0 | 616.0 | 895.0 | 1626.0 | 5772.0 | 10087.0 | 14065.0 | 18754.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 3474.0 | 494.0 | 693.0 | 1005.0 | 1827.0 | 6529.0 | 11457.0 | 16018.0 | 21409.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 4312.0 | 622.0 | 866.0 | 1251.0 | 2266.0 | 8125.0 | 14308.0 | 20052.0 | 26859.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 5032.0 | 727.0 | 1010.0 | 1456.0 | 2639.0 | 9518.0 | 16826.0 | 23639.0 | 31734.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 5793.0 | 836.0 | 1159.0 | 1670.0 | 3029.0 | 10997.0 | 19517.0 | 27486.0 | 36978.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 6667.0 | 961.0 | 1329.0 | 1914.0 | 3476.0 | 12705.0 | 22634.0 | 31952.0 | 43078.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 6889.0 | 981.0 | 1359.0 | 1962.0 | 3576.0 | 13186.0 | 23585.0 | 33376.0 | 45093.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 7175.0 | 1011.0 | 1402.0 | 2028.0 | 3710.0 | 13791.0 | 24763.0 | 35126.0 | 47554.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 7451.0 | 1038.0 | 1443.0 | 2091.0 | 3837.0 | 14380.0 | 25919.0 | 36850.0 | 49987.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 6880.0 | 940.0 | 1312.0 | 1910.0 | 3525.0 | 13342.0 | 24144.0 | 34406.0 | 46765.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 5999.0 | 798.0 | 1122.0 | 1643.0 | 3055.0 | 11693.0 | 21247.0 | 30349.0 | 41334.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 5354.0 | 694.0 | 982.0 | 1447.0 | 2710.0 | 10486.0 | 19130.0 | 27387.0 | 37370.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 4592.0 | 575.0 | 822.0 | 1221.0 | 2308.0 | 9041.0 | 16561.0 | 23763.0 | 32488.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 3583.0 | 425.0 | 618.0 | 930.0 | 1783.0 | 7102.0 | 13070.0 | 18801.0 | 25755.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 2600.0 | 281.0 | 422.0 | 650.0 | 1276.0 | 5200.0 | 9622.0 | 13879.0 | 19054.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1916.0 | 181.0 | 286.0 | 456.0 | 924.0 | 3869.0 | 7204.0 | 10422.0 | 14340.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1422.0 | 110.0 | 189.0 | 317.0 | 670.0 | 2907.0 | 5450.0 | 7910.0 | 10909.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1176.0 | 75.0 | 141.0 | 248.0 | 544.0 | 2429.0 | 4582.0 | 6668.0 | 9217.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 904.0 | 36.0 | 88.0 | 172.0 | 405.0 | 1897.0 | 3606.0 | 5267.0 | 7298.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 769.0 | 16.0 | 61.0 | 133.0 | 335.0 | 1636.0 | 3136.0 | 4599.0 | 6392.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 631.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 94.0 | 264.0 | 1369.0 | 2652.0 | 3907.0 | 5450.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 559.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 73.0 | 227.0 | 1231.0 | 2405.0 | 3558.0 | 4979.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 479.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 51.0 | 185.0 | 1075.0 | 2121.0 | 3151.0 | 4425.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 441.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 166.0 | 1004.0 | 1997.0 | 2978.0 | 4193.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 392.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 140.0 | 908.0 | 1823.0 | 2729.0 | 3855.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 350.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 119.0 | 826.0 | 1674.0 | 2517.0 | 3566.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 322.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 104.0 | 773.0 | 1578.0 | 2381.0 | 3383.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 318.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 102.0 | 768.0 | 1576.0 | 2383.0 | 3393.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 305.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 745.0 | 1536.0 | 2330.0 | 3324.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 295.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.0 | 727.0 | 1508.0 | 2293.0 | 3278.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 298.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 90.0 | 736.0 | 1531.0 | 2333.0 | 3342.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 293.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 729.0 | 1523.0 | 2326.0 | 3337.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 289.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 723.0 | 1515.0 | 2318.0 | 3332.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 296.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 741.0 | 1556.0 | 2384.0 | 3432.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
