Prediction 4172
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=RJ (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 475.0 | 85.0 | 122.0 | 174.0 | 289.0 | 749.0 | 1107.0 | 1389.0 | 1687.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 494.0 | 86.0 | 124.0 | 178.0 | 298.0 | 787.0 | 1172.0 | 1479.0 | 1803.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 505.0 | 83.0 | 122.0 | 177.0 | 301.0 | 811.0 | 1219.0 | 1545.0 | 1893.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 496.0 | 76.0 | 114.0 | 168.0 | 292.0 | 807.0 | 1224.0 | 1560.0 | 1920.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 511.0 | 76.0 | 115.0 | 170.0 | 298.0 | 839.0 | 1281.0 | 1640.0 | 2026.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 529.0 | 76.0 | 116.0 | 174.0 | 306.0 | 875.0 | 1346.0 | 1730.0 | 2146.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 535.0 | 74.0 | 114.0 | 172.0 | 307.0 | 893.0 | 1383.0 | 1786.0 | 2223.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 569.0 | 79.0 | 121.0 | 182.0 | 325.0 | 954.0 | 1487.0 | 1927.0 | 2406.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 622.0 | 89.0 | 134.0 | 200.0 | 355.0 | 1047.0 | 1638.0 | 2129.0 | 2667.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 628.0 | 86.0 | 131.0 | 198.0 | 355.0 | 1064.0 | 1676.0 | 2187.0 | 2748.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 615.0 | 79.0 | 124.0 | 189.0 | 344.0 | 1052.0 | 1670.0 | 2189.0 | 2760.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 612.0 | 75.0 | 119.0 | 184.0 | 339.0 | 1055.0 | 1686.0 | 2218.0 | 2806.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 883.0 | 136.0 | 197.0 | 287.0 | 502.0 | 1505.0 | 2397.0 | 3152.0 | 3990.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 959.0 | 150.0 | 215.0 | 312.0 | 544.0 | 1642.0 | 2625.0 | 3462.0 | 4393.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1067.0 | 170.0 | 242.0 | 348.0 | 605.0 | 1832.0 | 2940.0 | 3888.0 | 4946.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1113.0 | 176.0 | 250.0 | 360.0 | 628.0 | 1919.0 | 3095.0 | 4105.0 | 5236.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 1190.0 | 188.0 | 267.0 | 384.0 | 670.0 | 2061.0 | 3337.0 | 4439.0 | 5676.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 1268.0 | 200.0 | 283.0 | 408.0 | 712.0 | 2205.0 | 3587.0 | 4783.0 | 6131.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 1282.0 | 199.0 | 282.0 | 407.0 | 716.0 | 2242.0 | 3665.0 | 4902.0 | 6299.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1380.0 | 215.0 | 304.0 | 438.0 | 769.0 | 2422.0 | 3974.0 | 5328.0 | 6863.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1556.0 | 247.0 | 346.0 | 496.0 | 867.0 | 2736.0 | 4504.0 | 6052.0 | 7811.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1761.0 | 284.0 | 395.0 | 563.0 | 981.0 | 3104.0 | 5124.0 | 6901.0 | 8924.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1994.0 | 326.0 | 450.0 | 639.0 | 1110.0 | 3524.0 | 5836.0 | 7876.0 | 10205.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 2132.0 | 347.0 | 479.0 | 680.0 | 1184.0 | 3782.0 | 6287.0 | 8504.0 | 11042.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 2203.0 | 355.0 | 490.0 | 697.0 | 1218.0 | 3923.0 | 6548.0 | 8879.0 | 11553.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 2401.0 | 388.0 | 534.0 | 759.0 | 1325.0 | 4290.0 | 7184.0 | 9762.0 | 12727.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 2355.0 | 372.0 | 516.0 | 736.0 | 1293.0 | 4230.0 | 7113.0 | 9691.0 | 12661.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 2257.0 | 348.0 | 485.0 | 696.0 | 1231.0 | 4075.0 | 6883.0 | 9400.0 | 12308.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 2253.0 | 341.0 | 478.0 | 688.0 | 1223.0 | 4084.0 | 6926.0 | 9480.0 | 12437.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 2194.0 | 325.0 | 458.0 | 662.0 | 1185.0 | 3998.0 | 6806.0 | 9338.0 | 12276.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2133.0 | 309.0 | 437.0 | 636.0 | 1145.0 | 3904.0 | 6673.0 | 9177.0 | 12087.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1945.0 | 270.0 | 388.0 | 569.0 | 1036.0 | 3582.0 | 6150.0 | 8479.0 | 11190.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1583.0 | 201.0 | 297.0 | 447.0 | 831.0 | 2942.0 | 5081.0 | 7026.0 | 9296.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1456.0 | 176.0 | 264.0 | 402.0 | 758.0 | 2723.0 | 4725.0 | 6550.0 | 8683.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1265.0 | 139.0 | 216.0 | 337.0 | 649.0 | 2384.0 | 4160.0 | 5783.0 | 7684.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1081.0 | 105.0 | 171.0 | 276.0 | 546.0 | 2057.0 | 3611.0 | 5035.0 | 6705.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 932.0 | 77.0 | 135.0 | 226.0 | 463.0 | 1791.0 | 3164.0 | 4425.0 | 5906.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 828.0 | 57.0 | 109.0 | 191.0 | 404.0 | 1610.0 | 2865.0 | 4021.0 | 5382.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 799.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 179.0 | 386.0 | 1565.0 | 2800.0 | 3941.0 | 5289.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 688.0 | 30.0 | 73.0 | 142.0 | 323.0 | 1366.0 | 2463.0 | 3481.0 | 4686.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 616.0 | 16.0 | 56.0 | 118.0 | 283.0 | 1238.0 | 2250.0 | 3191.0 | 4309.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 539.0 | 2.0 | 37.0 | 93.0 | 240.0 | 1100.0 | 2016.0 | 2871.0 | 3888.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 506.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 81.0 | 221.0 | 1043.0 | 1924.0 | 2749.0 | 3733.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 480.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 72.0 | 206.0 | 999.0 | 1854.0 | 2657.0 | 3616.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 443.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 60.0 | 185.0 | 934.0 | 1745.0 | 2510.0 | 3425.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 404.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 47.0 | 164.0 | 863.0 | 1624.0 | 2344.0 | 3208.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 365.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 142.0 | 792.0 | 1504.0 | 2178.0 | 2989.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 346.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 132.0 | 760.0 | 1451.0 | 2109.0 | 2900.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 346.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 131.0 | 763.0 | 1462.0 | 2128.0 | 2932.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 343.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 128.0 | 761.0 | 1464.0 | 2135.0 | 2947.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 331.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 121.0 | 739.0 | 1429.0 | 2090.0 | 2891.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 343.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 127.0 | 767.0 | 1485.0 | 2174.0 | 3010.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
