Prediction 4181
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AC (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 122.0 | 199.0 | 258.0 | 318.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 140.0 | 226.0 | 291.0 | 359.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 86.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 163.0 | 260.0 | 334.0 | 411.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 181.0 | 286.0 | 367.0 | 451.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 54.0 | 217.0 | 338.0 | 432.0 | 530.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 136.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 63.0 | 241.0 | 374.0 | 477.0 | 585.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 152.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 74.0 | 266.0 | 412.0 | 526.0 | 645.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 191.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 42.0 | 100.0 | 325.0 | 498.0 | 633.0 | 775.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 225.0 | 7.0 | 28.0 | 57.0 | 121.0 | 376.0 | 573.0 | 727.0 | 889.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 233.0 | 8.0 | 29.0 | 59.0 | 126.0 | 391.0 | 596.0 | 758.0 | 929.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 173.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 29.0 | 84.0 | 305.0 | 476.0 | 612.0 | 756.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 151.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 68.0 | 273.0 | 433.0 | 561.0 | 695.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 298.0 | 24.0 | 49.0 | 86.0 | 166.0 | 495.0 | 754.0 | 960.0 | 1179.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 274.0 | 15.0 | 39.0 | 73.0 | 149.0 | 461.0 | 709.0 | 906.0 | 1116.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 303.0 | 22.0 | 48.0 | 85.0 | 167.0 | 507.0 | 778.0 | 994.0 | 1225.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 265.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 67.0 | 142.0 | 453.0 | 702.0 | 902.0 | 1115.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 247.0 | 3.0 | 25.0 | 57.0 | 128.0 | 426.0 | 666.0 | 858.0 | 1064.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 221.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 45.0 | 111.0 | 389.0 | 614.0 | 796.0 | 990.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 205.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 36.0 | 100.0 | 366.0 | 583.0 | 758.0 | 945.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 186.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 87.0 | 339.0 | 544.0 | 711.0 | 890.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 191.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 29.0 | 89.0 | 348.0 | 559.0 | 731.0 | 915.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 166.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 73.0 | 310.0 | 505.0 | 664.0 | 835.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 157.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 66.0 | 297.0 | 487.0 | 643.0 | 810.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 127.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 251.0 | 421.0 | 559.0 | 709.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 111.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 228.0 | 388.0 | 519.0 | 660.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 216.0 | 370.0 | 497.0 | 635.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 211.0 | 365.0 | 491.0 | 628.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 211.0 | 365.0 | 492.0 | 630.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 174.0 | 311.0 | 424.0 | 546.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 77.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 178.0 | 318.0 | 433.0 | 558.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 161.0 | 293.0 | 402.0 | 521.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0 | 276.0 | 381.0 | 495.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 144.0 | 268.0 | 371.0 | 483.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 135.0 | 255.0 | 355.0 | 464.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 118.0 | 230.0 | 323.0 | 425.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 111.0 | 220.0 | 311.0 | 410.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 103.0 | 209.0 | 297.0 | 393.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 208.0 | 297.0 | 393.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 101.0 | 207.0 | 296.0 | 394.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 105.0 | 214.0 | 305.0 | 405.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 210.0 | 301.0 | 401.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 98.0 | 204.0 | 294.0 | 393.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 108.0 | 221.0 | 316.0 | 421.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 103.0 | 214.0 | 308.0 | 411.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 214.0 | 308.0 | 413.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 101.0 | 212.0 | 307.0 | 411.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 115.0 | 235.0 | 337.0 | 450.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 108.0 | 225.0 | 325.0 | 436.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 127.0 | 255.0 | 365.0 | 486.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 139.0 | 275.0 | 390.0 | 519.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 134.0 | 268.0 | 382.0 | 509.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 156.0 | 302.0 | 428.0 | 568.0 |
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