Prediction 4183
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AM (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 91.0 | 150.0 | 194.0 | 239.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 98.0 | 161.0 | 208.0 | 256.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 99.0 | 164.0 | 213.0 | 262.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 104.0 | 171.0 | 223.0 | 275.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 116.0 | 189.0 | 244.0 | 301.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 128.0 | 207.0 | 267.0 | 329.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 140.0 | 225.0 | 290.0 | 356.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 77.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 150.0 | 240.0 | 308.0 | 379.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 86.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 163.0 | 260.0 | 333.0 | 409.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 173.0 | 274.0 | 351.0 | 432.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 158.0 | 255.0 | 329.0 | 407.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 134.0 | 223.0 | 292.0 | 364.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 129.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 59.0 | 229.0 | 356.0 | 455.0 | 557.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 143.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 69.0 | 251.0 | 388.0 | 494.0 | 605.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 161.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 81.0 | 278.0 | 428.0 | 544.0 | 666.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 154.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 269.0 | 416.0 | 532.0 | 652.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 185.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 39.0 | 96.0 | 316.0 | 483.0 | 615.0 | 752.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 192.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 42.0 | 100.0 | 326.0 | 500.0 | 636.0 | 779.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 190.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 40.0 | 97.0 | 325.0 | 499.0 | 636.0 | 780.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 172.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 85.0 | 300.0 | 466.0 | 596.0 | 734.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 186.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 37.0 | 94.0 | 322.0 | 498.0 | 637.0 | 784.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 179.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 33.0 | 89.0 | 313.0 | 487.0 | 624.0 | 769.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 174.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 85.0 | 306.0 | 479.0 | 616.0 | 760.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 163.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 77.0 | 291.0 | 458.0 | 591.0 | 731.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 145.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 65.0 | 265.0 | 423.0 | 548.0 | 680.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 138.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 60.0 | 255.0 | 409.0 | 532.0 | 662.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 129.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 53.0 | 243.0 | 393.0 | 512.0 | 639.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 127.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 51.0 | 240.0 | 389.0 | 508.0 | 635.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 104.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 206.0 | 341.0 | 449.0 | 564.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 203.0 | 337.0 | 445.0 | 559.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 191.0 | 321.0 | 425.0 | 536.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 185.0 | 313.0 | 416.0 | 525.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 77.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 168.0 | 288.0 | 385.0 | 489.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 152.0 | 266.0 | 358.0 | 456.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 152.0 | 267.0 | 359.0 | 457.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 143.0 | 254.0 | 343.0 | 438.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 141.0 | 252.0 | 342.0 | 437.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 130.0 | 237.0 | 322.0 | 414.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 139.0 | 250.0 | 340.0 | 437.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 133.0 | 242.0 | 330.0 | 424.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 126.0 | 233.0 | 319.0 | 412.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 122.0 | 226.0 | 311.0 | 403.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 115.0 | 217.0 | 300.0 | 389.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 104.0 | 202.0 | 281.0 | 366.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 109.0 | 208.0 | 290.0 | 377.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 104.0 | 202.0 | 281.0 | 368.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 111.0 | 212.0 | 295.0 | 384.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 110.0 | 211.0 | 294.0 | 384.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 124.0 | 233.0 | 322.0 | 419.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 121.0 | 229.0 | 317.0 | 413.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 137.0 | 253.0 | 348.0 | 451.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 151.0 | 274.0 | 375.0 | 484.0 |
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