Prediction 4184
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AP (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 121.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 58.0 | 85.0 | 164.0 | 210.0 | 241.0 | 270.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 115.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 79.0 | 157.0 | 203.0 | 234.0 | 263.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 107.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 46.0 | 72.0 | 149.0 | 194.0 | 224.0 | 253.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 113.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 77.0 | 157.0 | 204.0 | 236.0 | 267.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 104.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | 69.0 | 146.0 | 192.0 | 223.0 | 253.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 91.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 58.0 | 131.0 | 175.0 | 204.0 | 233.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 80.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 48.0 | 119.0 | 160.0 | 189.0 | 216.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 43.0 | 112.0 | 153.0 | 181.0 | 208.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 43.0 | 113.0 | 154.0 | 183.0 | 210.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 67.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 37.0 | 104.0 | 144.0 | 172.0 | 199.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 35.0 | 102.0 | 142.0 | 169.0 | 196.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 103.0 | 144.0 | 172.0 | 199.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 100.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 63.0 | 146.0 | 195.0 | 230.0 | 263.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 103.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 65.0 | 149.0 | 200.0 | 235.0 | 269.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 108.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 156.0 | 208.0 | 244.0 | 279.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 108.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 156.0 | 209.0 | 246.0 | 281.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 133.0 | 27.0 | 40.0 | 57.0 | 89.0 | 188.0 | 247.0 | 289.0 | 329.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 131.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 55.0 | 87.0 | 185.0 | 245.0 | 286.0 | 326.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 136.0 | 28.0 | 41.0 | 58.0 | 91.0 | 192.0 | 254.0 | 296.0 | 338.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 130.0 | 24.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | 86.0 | 184.0 | 245.0 | 286.0 | 327.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 142.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 61.0 | 96.0 | 200.0 | 264.0 | 308.0 | 351.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 141.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 60.0 | 94.0 | 199.0 | 262.0 | 307.0 | 350.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 122.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 79.0 | 176.0 | 235.0 | 276.0 | 316.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 107.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 67.0 | 157.0 | 212.0 | 251.0 | 288.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 113.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | 164.0 | 221.0 | 261.0 | 300.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 122.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 79.0 | 176.0 | 236.0 | 278.0 | 318.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 101.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 62.0 | 150.0 | 204.0 | 242.0 | 279.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 94.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 56.0 | 142.0 | 195.0 | 232.0 | 267.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 47.0 | 129.0 | 179.0 | 214.0 | 247.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 43.0 | 123.0 | 172.0 | 206.0 | 239.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 46.0 | 127.0 | 176.0 | 211.0 | 245.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 39.0 | 117.0 | 164.0 | 198.0 | 230.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 34.0 | 109.0 | 155.0 | 188.0 | 219.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 33.0 | 107.0 | 153.0 | 186.0 | 217.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 33.0 | 107.0 | 153.0 | 186.0 | 217.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 31.0 | 105.0 | 150.0 | 182.0 | 213.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 104.0 | 149.0 | 181.0 | 212.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 99.0 | 144.0 | 175.0 | 206.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 100.0 | 145.0 | 176.0 | 207.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 | 99.0 | 143.0 | 175.0 | 206.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 95.0 | 139.0 | 170.0 | 200.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 | 99.0 | 144.0 | 176.0 | 207.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 30.0 | 105.0 | 151.0 | 184.0 | 216.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 34.0 | 112.0 | 161.0 | 195.0 | 228.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 32.0 | 108.0 | 156.0 | 190.0 | 223.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 67.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 33.0 | 110.0 | 159.0 | 193.0 | 226.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 108.0 | 156.0 | 190.0 | 223.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 28.0 | 103.0 | 150.0 | 183.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 29.0 | 105.0 | 152.0 | 185.0 | 218.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 30.0 | 107.0 | 155.0 | 190.0 | 223.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 30.0 | 108.0 | 156.0 | 190.0 | 223.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 109.0 | 158.0 | 192.0 | 226.0 |
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