Prediction 4189
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=MA (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 78.0 | 125.0 | 159.0 | 193.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 84.0 | 134.0 | 170.0 | 205.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 80.0 | 129.0 | 165.0 | 200.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 92.0 | 145.0 | 184.0 | 222.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 91.0 | 145.0 | 184.0 | 223.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 94.0 | 149.0 | 189.0 | 229.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 99.0 | 155.0 | 197.0 | 238.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 100.0 | 157.0 | 200.0 | 242.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 108.0 | 169.0 | 213.0 | 257.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 101.0 | 160.0 | 203.0 | 246.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 93.0 | 149.0 | 191.0 | 232.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 97.0 | 156.0 | 198.0 | 241.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 41.0 | 150.0 | 225.0 | 279.0 | 334.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 68.0 | 200.0 | 289.0 | 355.0 | 421.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 141.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 80.0 | 222.0 | 319.0 | 390.0 | 461.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 141.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 80.0 | 222.0 | 319.0 | 391.0 | 462.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 166.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 53.0 | 99.0 | 257.0 | 364.0 | 443.0 | 523.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 210.0 | 32.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 131.0 | 316.0 | 442.0 | 535.0 | 628.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 262.0 | 54.0 | 77.0 | 107.0 | 170.0 | 386.0 | 533.0 | 642.0 | 751.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 282.0 | 62.0 | 86.0 | 118.0 | 185.0 | 414.0 | 570.0 | 685.0 | 801.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 321.0 | 78.0 | 105.0 | 140.0 | 213.0 | 466.0 | 638.0 | 765.0 | 894.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 321.0 | 78.0 | 104.0 | 140.0 | 213.0 | 466.0 | 639.0 | 767.0 | 896.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 320.0 | 77.0 | 104.0 | 139.0 | 212.0 | 465.0 | 638.0 | 766.0 | 895.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 311.0 | 73.0 | 99.0 | 134.0 | 206.0 | 454.0 | 624.0 | 749.0 | 876.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 279.0 | 60.0 | 84.0 | 115.0 | 182.0 | 411.0 | 568.0 | 684.0 | 801.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 289.0 | 64.0 | 88.0 | 121.0 | 189.0 | 424.0 | 586.0 | 705.0 | 826.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 281.0 | 60.0 | 84.0 | 116.0 | 183.0 | 413.0 | 571.0 | 689.0 | 807.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 302.0 | 69.0 | 94.0 | 128.0 | 198.0 | 442.0 | 610.0 | 734.0 | 859.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 266.0 | 53.0 | 76.0 | 107.0 | 171.0 | 393.0 | 546.0 | 658.0 | 772.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 246.0 | 45.0 | 66.0 | 96.0 | 156.0 | 366.0 | 510.0 | 617.0 | 725.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 219.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 136.0 | 330.0 | 464.0 | 562.0 | 662.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 208.0 | 29.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 128.0 | 315.0 | 444.0 | 540.0 | 636.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 180.0 | 17.0 | 35.0 | 58.0 | 107.0 | 278.0 | 395.0 | 482.0 | 570.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 156.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 45.0 | 90.0 | 246.0 | 353.0 | 433.0 | 513.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 137.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 34.0 | 75.0 | 220.0 | 319.0 | 393.0 | 467.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 119.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 62.0 | 196.0 | 288.0 | 356.0 | 425.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 53.0 | 180.0 | 267.0 | 331.0 | 396.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 45.0 | 165.0 | 248.0 | 309.0 | 371.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 39.0 | 155.0 | 235.0 | 294.0 | 353.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 144.0 | 221.0 | 278.0 | 335.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 138.0 | 212.0 | 268.0 | 324.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 124.0 | 194.0 | 246.0 | 299.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 129.0 | 201.0 | 254.0 | 308.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 132.0 | 205.0 | 259.0 | 314.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 67.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 126.0 | 197.0 | 250.0 | 304.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 117.0 | 185.0 | 236.0 | 288.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 101.0 | 164.0 | 211.0 | 259.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 99.0 | 162.0 | 209.0 | 256.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 97.0 | 159.0 | 205.0 | 252.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 94.0 | 156.0 | 202.0 | 248.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 131.0 | 173.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 138.0 | 181.0 | 224.0 |
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