Prediction 4201
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RS (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 234.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 101.0 | 455.0 | 776.0 | 1051.0 | 1359.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 233.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 99.0 | 459.0 | 790.0 | 1076.0 | 1397.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 240.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 101.0 | 475.0 | 824.0 | 1127.0 | 1469.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 256.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 108.0 | 508.0 | 884.0 | 1213.0 | 1586.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 271.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 115.0 | 539.0 | 943.0 | 1298.0 | 1702.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 271.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 114.0 | 544.0 | 958.0 | 1324.0 | 1742.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 301.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 39.0 | 130.0 | 602.0 | 1060.0 | 1468.0 | 1936.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 366.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 59.0 | 165.0 | 721.0 | 1266.0 | 1752.0 | 2312.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 414.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 73.0 | 190.0 | 810.0 | 1423.0 | 1973.0 | 2607.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 567.0 | 25.0 | 63.0 | 123.0 | 274.0 | 1089.0 | 1900.0 | 2630.0 | 3476.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 562.0 | 22.0 | 60.0 | 119.0 | 270.0 | 1087.0 | 1906.0 | 2647.0 | 3507.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 419.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 70.0 | 188.0 | 835.0 | 1489.0 | 2081.0 | 2772.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 410.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 65.0 | 182.0 | 823.0 | 1474.0 | 2066.0 | 2758.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 517.0 | 9.0 | 44.0 | 98.0 | 239.0 | 1022.0 | 1823.0 | 2553.0 | 3408.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 587.0 | 19.0 | 58.0 | 119.0 | 276.0 | 1155.0 | 2059.0 | 2886.0 | 3857.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 759.0 | 47.0 | 96.0 | 171.0 | 368.0 | 1475.0 | 2618.0 | 3667.0 | 4901.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 979.0 | 83.0 | 144.0 | 239.0 | 486.0 | 1887.0 | 3340.0 | 4679.0 | 6255.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1640.0 | 193.0 | 290.0 | 442.0 | 842.0 | 3114.0 | 5483.0 | 7670.0 | 10250.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1660.0 | 193.0 | 291.0 | 445.0 | 850.0 | 3162.0 | 5585.0 | 7825.0 | 10473.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 2031.0 | 252.0 | 370.0 | 556.0 | 1046.0 | 3861.0 | 6822.0 | 9566.0 | 12814.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 2236.0 | 282.0 | 411.0 | 615.0 | 1153.0 | 4256.0 | 7530.0 | 10572.0 | 14177.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 2842.0 | 378.0 | 540.0 | 796.0 | 1474.0 | 5400.0 | 9558.0 | 13428.0 | 18020.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 4065.0 | 571.0 | 800.0 | 1163.0 | 2122.0 | 7705.0 | 13638.0 | 19169.0 | 25740.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 5738.0 | 834.0 | 1155.0 | 1662.0 | 3008.0 | 10866.0 | 19242.0 | 27063.0 | 36367.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 7222.0 | 1065.0 | 1465.0 | 2101.0 | 3789.0 | 13685.0 | 24261.0 | 34152.0 | 45931.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 9755.0 | 1458.0 | 1996.0 | 2851.0 | 5124.0 | 18491.0 | 32813.0 | 46227.0 | 62218.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 11105.0 | 1662.0 | 2273.0 | 3243.0 | 5829.0 | 21077.0 | 37455.0 | 52814.0 | 71139.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 11921.0 | 1781.0 | 2435.0 | 3475.0 | 6250.0 | 22658.0 | 40321.0 | 56904.0 | 76707.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 9731.0 | 1432.0 | 1965.0 | 2815.0 | 5085.0 | 18541.0 | 33057.0 | 46699.0 | 63003.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 10201.0 | 1498.0 | 2056.0 | 2946.0 | 5325.0 | 19460.0 | 34736.0 | 49107.0 | 66294.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 9805.0 | 1431.0 | 1967.0 | 2822.0 | 5110.0 | 18733.0 | 33479.0 | 47366.0 | 63984.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 10329.0 | 1507.0 | 2070.0 | 2970.0 | 5379.0 | 19753.0 | 35335.0 | 50021.0 | 67605.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 5159.0 | 708.0 | 992.0 | 1445.0 | 2660.0 | 9921.0 | 17804.0 | 25237.0 | 34144.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 4401.0 | 589.0 | 832.0 | 1220.0 | 2260.0 | 8485.0 | 15251.0 | 21636.0 | 29289.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 3083.0 | 386.0 | 558.0 | 832.0 | 1568.0 | 5977.0 | 10773.0 | 15302.0 | 20733.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 3979.0 | 522.0 | 742.0 | 1093.0 | 2035.0 | 7691.0 | 13850.0 | 19668.0 | 26647.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 2406.0 | 281.0 | 416.0 | 631.0 | 1210.0 | 4691.0 | 8486.0 | 12073.0 | 16379.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 2150.0 | 230.0 | 349.0 | 541.0 | 1062.0 | 4256.0 | 7793.0 | 11167.0 | 15241.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 2269.0 | 232.0 | 355.0 | 555.0 | 1105.0 | 4560.0 | 8467.0 | 12233.0 | 16816.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 1383.0 | 99.0 | 175.0 | 299.0 | 643.0 | 2860.0 | 5413.0 | 7900.0 | 10949.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 804.0 | 17.0 | 62.0 | 137.0 | 347.0 | 1730.0 | 3351.0 | 4945.0 | 6913.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 737.0 | 4.0 | 45.0 | 114.0 | 308.0 | 1616.0 | 3173.0 | 4718.0 | 6637.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 694.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 99.0 | 283.0 | 1548.0 | 3077.0 | 4607.0 | 6519.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 705.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 97.0 | 284.0 | 1588.0 | 3188.0 | 4800.0 | 6826.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 547.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 55.0 | 205.0 | 1272.0 | 2598.0 | 3944.0 | 5644.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 410.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 138.0 | 993.0 | 2068.0 | 3166.0 | 4561.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 414.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 138.0 | 1010.0 | 2121.0 | 3263.0 | 4720.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 305.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 782.0 | 1679.0 | 2607.0 | 3795.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 376.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 117.0 | 947.0 | 2026.0 | 3149.0 | 4594.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 337.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 867.0 | 1878.0 | 2935.0 | 4300.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 317.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 831.0 | 1816.0 | 2851.0 | 4192.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 344.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 98.0 | 898.0 | 1966.0 | 3095.0 | 4562.0 |
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