Prediction 4205
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=TO (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 61.0 | 98.0 | 125.0 | 151.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 72.0 | 113.0 | 142.0 | 170.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 83.0 | 127.0 | 159.0 | 190.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 93.0 | 141.0 | 175.0 | 208.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 107.0 | 159.0 | 197.0 | 233.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 137.0 | 197.0 | 240.0 | 283.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 60.0 | 167.0 | 235.0 | 285.0 | 333.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 139.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 47.0 | 85.0 | 209.0 | 290.0 | 347.0 | 404.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 153.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 95.0 | 227.0 | 313.0 | 375.0 | 436.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 165.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 61.0 | 104.0 | 244.0 | 336.0 | 402.0 | 467.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 126.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 74.0 | 194.0 | 273.0 | 330.0 | 387.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 48.0 | 151.0 | 219.0 | 268.0 | 317.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 190.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 75.0 | 122.0 | 279.0 | 383.0 | 457.0 | 532.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 206.0 | 40.0 | 59.0 | 84.0 | 134.0 | 301.0 | 411.0 | 491.0 | 570.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 213.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 139.0 | 310.0 | 424.0 | 506.0 | 588.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 234.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 99.0 | 154.0 | 339.0 | 461.0 | 549.0 | 638.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 250.0 | 58.0 | 79.0 | 108.0 | 166.0 | 360.0 | 488.0 | 582.0 | 675.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 260.0 | 62.0 | 84.0 | 113.0 | 173.0 | 374.0 | 508.0 | 605.0 | 702.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 262.0 | 62.0 | 85.0 | 114.0 | 175.0 | 378.0 | 513.0 | 612.0 | 710.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 237.0 | 50.0 | 71.0 | 99.0 | 155.0 | 345.0 | 472.0 | 564.0 | 656.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 239.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 99.0 | 156.0 | 348.0 | 476.0 | 569.0 | 662.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 244.0 | 52.0 | 74.0 | 102.0 | 160.0 | 355.0 | 486.0 | 581.0 | 677.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 247.0 | 53.0 | 75.0 | 103.0 | 162.0 | 359.0 | 491.0 | 588.0 | 685.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 244.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 | 102.0 | 160.0 | 357.0 | 489.0 | 585.0 | 682.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 239.0 | 49.0 | 70.0 | 98.0 | 155.0 | 350.0 | 480.0 | 576.0 | 671.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 254.0 | 55.0 | 77.0 | 107.0 | 167.0 | 371.0 | 508.0 | 608.0 | 708.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 253.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 106.0 | 166.0 | 369.0 | 506.0 | 607.0 | 707.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 248.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 | 102.0 | 161.0 | 362.0 | 498.0 | 597.0 | 696.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 244.0 | 50.0 | 71.0 | 100.0 | 158.0 | 358.0 | 492.0 | 591.0 | 689.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 252.0 | 53.0 | 75.0 | 104.0 | 164.0 | 369.0 | 507.0 | 608.0 | 709.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 242.0 | 49.0 | 70.0 | 98.0 | 157.0 | 356.0 | 491.0 | 589.0 | 688.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 229.0 | 42.0 | 63.0 | 90.0 | 146.0 | 338.0 | 468.0 | 563.0 | 658.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 197.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 72.0 | 123.0 | 297.0 | 414.0 | 501.0 | 587.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 177.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 60.0 | 108.0 | 270.0 | 380.0 | 460.0 | 541.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 151.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 45.0 | 88.0 | 235.0 | 335.0 | 408.0 | 482.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 131.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 73.0 | 209.0 | 300.0 | 368.0 | 436.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 55.0 | 178.0 | 261.0 | 321.0 | 383.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 44.0 | 158.0 | 235.0 | 292.0 | 348.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 137.0 | 209.0 | 261.0 | 313.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 125.0 | 193.0 | 242.0 | 292.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 117.0 | 182.0 | 230.0 | 278.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 105.0 | 167.0 | 213.0 | 258.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 111.0 | 174.0 | 221.0 | 268.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 97.0 | 156.0 | 199.0 | 243.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 101.0 | 161.0 | 206.0 | 251.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 89.0 | 146.0 | 188.0 | 230.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 82.0 | 137.0 | 178.0 | 219.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 127.0 | 166.0 | 205.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 134.0 | 174.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 132.0 | 172.0 | 212.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 134.0 | 175.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 127.0 | 166.0 | 206.0 |
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