Prediction 4206
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=GO (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 1111.0 | 358.0 | 435.0 | 541.0 | 767.0 | 1593.0 | 2388.0 | 2641.0 | 3105.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1200.0 | 382.0 | 465.0 | 579.0 | 824.0 | 1730.0 | 2388.0 | 2891.0 | 3409.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1145.0 | 353.0 | 433.0 | 542.0 | 779.0 | 1663.0 | 2311.0 | 2808.0 | 3322.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1127.0 | 339.0 | 418.0 | 526.0 | 761.0 | 1649.0 | 2305.0 | 2810.0 | 3333.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 1360.0 | 413.0 | 507.0 | 637.0 | 919.0 | 1993.0 | 2793.0 | 3411.0 | 4054.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 1385.0 | 414.0 | 510.0 | 642.0 | 931.0 | 2039.0 | 2871.0 | 3517.0 | 4189.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 1568.0 | 469.0 | 577.0 | 726.0 | 1052.0 | 2315.0 | 3270.0 | 4013.0 | 4790.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 1649.0 | 489.0 | 601.0 | 758.0 | 1102.0 | 2444.0 | 3465.0 | 4262.0 | 5097.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1751.0 | 515.0 | 634.0 | 801.0 | 1167.0 | 2605.0 | 3706.0 | 4568.0 | 5473.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1633.0 | 469.0 | 580.0 | 736.0 | 1081.0 | 2443.0 | 3492.0 | 4316.0 | 5182.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1204.0 | 323.0 | 407.0 | 525.0 | 785.0 | 1821.0 | 2623.0 | 3255.0 | 3921.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1213.0 | 321.0 | 406.0 | 524.0 | 788.0 | 1842.0 | 2662.0 | 3309.0 | 3993.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 3082.0 | 910.0 | 1115.0 | 1403.0 | 2044.0 | 4623.0 | 6638.0 | 8235.0 | 9923.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 3430.0 | 1010.0 | 1237.0 | 1556.0 | 2270.0 | 5156.0 | 7421.0 | 9221.0 | 11126.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 4039.0 | 1189.0 | 1455.0 | 1831.0 | 2671.0 | 6084.0 | 8775.0 | 10917.0 | 13190.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 4660.0 | 1369.0 | 1675.0 | 2107.0 | 3076.0 | 7032.0 | 10165.0 | 12663.0 | 15318.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 5707.0 | 1678.0 | 2050.0 | 2578.0 | 3764.0 | 8628.0 | 12493.0 | 15583.0 | 18871.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 6021.0 | 1759.0 | 2151.0 | 2708.0 | 3962.0 | 9125.0 | 13244.0 | 16543.0 | 20058.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 6146.0 | 1782.0 | 2183.0 | 2751.0 | 4034.0 | 9337.0 | 13583.0 | 16990.0 | 20625.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 6250.0 | 1800.0 | 2207.0 | 2785.0 | 4092.0 | 9518.0 | 13877.0 | 17380.0 | 21123.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 6799.0 | 1950.0 | 2392.0 | 3020.0 | 4444.0 | 10374.0 | 15153.0 | 19001.0 | 23116.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 7013.0 | 2000.0 | 2455.0 | 3103.0 | 4574.0 | 10724.0 | 15695.0 | 19703.0 | 23995.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 7354.0 | 2087.0 | 2564.0 | 3243.0 | 4788.0 | 11268.0 | 16520.0 | 20762.0 | 25308.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 7407.0 | 2089.0 | 2569.0 | 3254.0 | 4813.0 | 11372.0 | 16703.0 | 21014.0 | 25640.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 6903.0 | 1931.0 | 2378.0 | 3017.0 | 4474.0 | 10622.0 | 15632.0 | 19689.0 | 24047.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 7342.0 | 2047.0 | 2522.0 | 3201.0 | 4752.0 | 11315.0 | 16677.0 | 21024.0 | 25698.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 7356.0 | 2040.0 | 2516.0 | 3197.0 | 4753.0 | 11358.0 | 16766.0 | 21157.0 | 25881.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 7068.0 | 1947.0 | 2404.0 | 3059.0 | 4557.0 | 10933.0 | 16165.0 | 20418.0 | 24997.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 6786.0 | 1858.0 | 2297.0 | 2926.0 | 4367.0 | 10516.0 | 15573.0 | 19688.0 | 24123.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 6765.0 | 1843.0 | 2280.0 | 2908.0 | 4346.0 | 10499.0 | 15570.0 | 19700.0 | 24155.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 6207.0 | 1678.0 | 2079.0 | 2656.0 | 3979.0 | 9652.0 | 14335.0 | 18155.0 | 22277.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 5297.0 | 1415.0 | 1758.0 | 2252.0 | 3385.0 | 8256.0 | 12284.0 | 15572.0 | 19123.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 4222.0 | 1109.0 | 1384.0 | 1779.0 | 2688.0 | 6601.0 | 9843.0 | 12492.0 | 15355.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 3537.0 | 913.0 | 1144.0 | 1477.0 | 2243.0 | 5545.0 | 8286.0 | 10527.0 | 12951.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 3047.0 | 774.0 | 974.0 | 1262.0 | 1925.0 | 4791.0 | 7173.0 | 9123.0 | 11233.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 2615.0 | 652.0 | 824.0 | 1072.0 | 1645.0 | 4125.0 | 6190.0 | 7881.0 | 9712.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 2154.0 | 522.0 | 665.0 | 871.0 | 1347.0 | 3410.0 | 5131.0 | 6541.0 | 8069.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 1683.0 | 388.0 | 501.0 | 664.0 | 1042.0 | 2686.0 | 4062.0 | 5192.0 | 6418.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 1383.0 | 303.0 | 397.0 | 533.0 | 847.0 | 2223.0 | 3379.0 | 4330.0 | 5362.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 1194.0 | 249.0 | 331.0 | 449.0 | 724.0 | 1931.0 | 2947.0 | 3785.0 | 4697.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 1039.0 | 205.0 | 277.0 | 381.0 | 624.0 | 1692.0 | 2594.0 | 3340.0 | 4151.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 882.0 | 161.0 | 223.0 | 313.0 | 523.0 | 1449.0 | 2234.0 | 2883.0 | 3591.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 881.0 | 160.0 | 221.0 | 311.0 | 521.0 | 1450.0 | 2240.0 | 2895.0 | 3608.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 798.0 | 136.0 | 193.0 | 275.0 | 467.0 | 1322.0 | 2051.0 | 2655.0 | 3315.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 817.0 | 140.0 | 197.0 | 281.0 | 478.0 | 1354.0 | 2103.0 | 2725.0 | 3405.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 729.0 | 116.0 | 168.0 | 244.0 | 421.0 | 1217.0 | 1899.0 | 2465.0 | 3085.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 704.0 | 108.0 | 159.0 | 232.0 | 405.0 | 1180.0 | 1845.0 | 2399.0 | 3006.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 684.0 | 102.0 | 151.0 | 223.0 | 392.0 | 1151.0 | 1804.0 | 2348.0 | 2945.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 737.0 | 115.0 | 167.0 | 244.0 | 424.0 | 1237.0 | 1938.0 | 2523.0 | 3164.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 743.0 | 115.0 | 168.0 | 245.0 | 427.0 | 1248.0 | 1957.0 | 2550.0 | 3200.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 722.0 | 109.0 | 161.0 | 236.0 | 413.0 | 1217.0 | 1913.0 | 2494.0 | 3133.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 784.0 | 124.0 | 179.0 | 260.0 | 451.0 | 1318.0 | 2070.0 | 2699.0 | 3390.0 |
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