Prediction 4208
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
2026 forecasts in SC
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 24.82 | 4.15 | 5.14 | 6.77 | 12.05 | 52.12 | 103.44 | 187.19 | 407.31 |
2025-10-12 | 41.55 | 5.86 | 8.02 | 10.03 | 19.93 | 90.89 | 182.43 | 273.53 | 389.68 |
2025-10-19 | 28.25 | 4.73 | 6.62 | 8.70 | 14.58 | 53.75 | 115.41 | 197.15 | 260.39 |
2025-10-26 | 40.31 | 7.01 | 8.48 | 12.34 | 19.77 | 77.05 | 144.09 | 247.39 | 406.48 |
2025-11-02 | 38.41 | 8.00 | 9.81 | 13.15 | 20.84 | 75.77 | 139.10 | 212.60 | 291.20 |
2025-11-09 | 58.05 | 9.28 | 12.41 | 16.47 | 31.00 | 126.18 | 271.64 | 432.01 | 637.57 |
2025-11-16 | 69.79 | 12.54 | 16.14 | 21.42 | 36.94 | 168.14 | 366.00 | 525.31 | 771.16 |
2025-11-23 | 64.02 | 9.99 | 14.10 | 18.95 | 34.74 | 121.57 | 242.41 | 368.31 | 504.32 |
2025-11-30 | 155.82 | 27.02 | 33.57 | 41.18 | 71.90 | 300.37 | 614.18 | 894.67 | 1368.78 |
2025-12-07 | 97.53 | 19.19 | 25.96 | 33.67 | 57.57 | 229.40 | 471.81 | 748.71 | 1239.58 |
2025-12-14 | 138.49 | 24.42 | 31.82 | 45.35 | 70.31 | 272.09 | 498.14 | 728.14 | 928.55 |
2025-12-21 | 57.05 | 10.40 | 12.97 | 17.22 | 27.98 | 118.91 | 246.10 | 405.87 | 579.35 |
2025-12-28 | 87.97 | 13.06 | 16.16 | 24.21 | 45.60 | 182.71 | 398.16 | 623.79 | 980.31 |
2026-01-04 | 196.71 | 30.19 | 35.82 | 50.66 | 97.76 | 392.78 | 845.96 | 1401.92 | 2333.91 |
2026-01-11 | 166.25 | 24.38 | 29.84 | 38.24 | 81.25 | 349.80 | 802.03 | 1342.41 | 2110.32 |
2026-01-18 | 156.39 | 29.72 | 35.97 | 51.59 | 82.49 | 347.94 | 658.00 | 946.98 | 1685.72 |
2026-01-25 | 225.32 | 47.65 | 52.86 | 70.73 | 119.66 | 411.90 | 747.46 | 1154.18 | 1907.49 |
2026-02-01 | 296.10 | 62.20 | 75.54 | 96.97 | 167.74 | 552.41 | 969.23 | 1327.60 | 1788.15 |
2026-02-08 | 436.71 | 118.94 | 143.26 | 180.92 | 278.27 | 720.72 | 1185.61 | 1573.67 | 2182.41 |
2026-02-15 | 661.05 | 184.04 | 212.78 | 286.50 | 422.86 | 1016.98 | 1531.96 | 2049.79 | 3404.09 |
2026-02-22 | 1244.59 | 346.86 | 410.78 | 549.61 | 825.24 | 1983.62 | 3025.63 | 3733.23 | 5141.42 |
2026-03-01 | 1933.34 | 638.46 | 741.51 | 888.84 | 1319.75 | 2914.03 | 4262.39 | 5176.10 | 6567.74 |
2026-03-08 | 2839.54 | 1139.08 | 1290.92 | 1574.18 | 2087.76 | 4069.82 | 5901.47 | 7391.23 | 8805.47 |
2026-03-15 | 4258.60 | 1830.34 | 2046.58 | 2531.18 | 3236.48 | 6140.29 | 8372.06 | 11727.43 | 15308.17 |
2026-03-22 | 6173.12 | 2471.06 | 2717.06 | 3247.38 | 4421.07 | 8480.15 | 11910.37 | 14974.61 | 16961.53 |
2026-03-29 | 8244.72 | 3249.35 | 3834.48 | 4457.73 | 5822.03 | 11561.83 | 15833.22 | 17386.70 | 20567.85 |
2026-04-05 | 8891.98 | 3690.92 | 4196.89 | 5129.76 | 6389.83 | 12227.74 | 16264.79 | 19132.84 | 24781.20 |
2026-04-12 | 8986.44 | 4349.58 | 4905.27 | 5580.92 | 6856.14 | 11848.74 | 15666.97 | 18012.89 | 20786.95 |
2026-04-19 | 8078.91 | 4086.98 | 4498.17 | 5037.72 | 6311.42 | 10716.49 | 13520.69 | 15429.31 | 17251.66 |
2026-04-26 | 8362.53 | 3879.27 | 4394.79 | 5080.09 | 6228.05 | 11172.61 | 15012.19 | 18119.12 | 19645.97 |
2026-05-03 | 6897.23 | 2997.35 | 3594.75 | 3983.42 | 5173.44 | 9127.54 | 11397.26 | 13349.44 | 15275.91 |
2026-05-10 | 4771.81 | 2085.10 | 2359.38 | 2946.65 | 3679.50 | 6350.70 | 8602.67 | 10175.04 | 11460.08 |
2026-05-17 | 3383.66 | 1146.52 | 1441.77 | 1734.82 | 2354.87 | 4713.64 | 6531.41 | 8020.07 | 9476.95 |
2026-05-24 | 2022.73 | 880.98 | 976.39 | 1156.95 | 1537.66 | 2725.84 | 3663.31 | 4677.95 | 5655.36 |
2026-05-31 | 1282.18 | 534.95 | 614.53 | 698.30 | 924.70 | 1775.97 | 2564.14 | 3079.82 | 3621.29 |
2026-06-07 | 1006.36 | 421.97 | 469.82 | 567.78 | 739.56 | 1437.37 | 1928.92 | 2409.19 | 2782.53 |
2026-06-14 | 544.80 | 164.43 | 197.04 | 244.22 | 354.17 | 850.55 | 1257.95 | 1802.66 | 2631.91 |
2026-06-21 | 364.06 | 112.00 | 138.26 | 172.13 | 238.95 | 578.76 | 935.29 | 1228.68 | 1595.53 |
2026-06-28 | 321.85 | 92.37 | 107.38 | 129.80 | 198.91 | 551.76 | 1005.26 | 1372.59 | 2060.42 |
2026-07-05 | 236.83 | 48.76 | 63.74 | 80.68 | 129.39 | 405.41 | 790.00 | 1233.66 | 1835.54 |
2026-07-12 | 177.60 | 25.56 | 33.37 | 47.81 | 87.11 | 424.94 | 1160.33 | 2307.24 | 5086.87 |
2026-07-19 | 130.49 | 15.11 | 21.79 | 31.57 | 61.27 | 247.46 | 513.00 | 900.07 | 1404.01 |
2026-07-26 | 136.88 | 25.01 | 33.84 | 41.84 | 73.05 | 285.34 | 561.15 | 961.28 | 1266.31 |
2026-08-02 | 69.18 | 12.81 | 16.97 | 24.30 | 39.29 | 143.10 | 252.92 | 405.73 | 583.60 |
2026-08-09 | 79.88 | 10.01 | 13.64 | 19.58 | 35.46 | 199.96 | 461.35 | 980.56 | 1830.16 |
2026-08-16 | 64.52 | 8.35 | 10.82 | 14.81 | 27.65 | 134.79 | 333.37 | 538.70 | 930.28 |
2026-08-23 | 30.97 | 4.53 | 5.62 | 7.74 | 14.12 | 76.27 | 195.41 | 348.25 | 660.69 |
2026-08-30 | 38.71 | 4.90 | 6.05 | 9.30 | 18.80 | 85.04 | 181.31 | 321.48 | 541.10 |
2026-09-06 | 55.82 | 6.20 | 8.45 | 11.03 | 24.03 | 146.77 | 380.62 | 740.18 | 1441.45 |
2026-09-13 | 43.22 | 4.10 | 7.23 | 10.42 | 19.97 | 103.46 | 244.09 | 414.68 | 654.37 |
2026-09-20 | 46.01 | 6.23 | 8.60 | 11.69 | 21.53 | 102.99 | 229.44 | 379.68 | 589.42 |
2026-09-27 | 32.18 | 6.51 | 8.34 | 10.73 | 17.63 | 73.07 | 142.32 | 236.93 | 308.49 |
2026-10-04 | 32.18 | 6.51 | 8.34 | 10.73 | 17.63 | 73.07 | 142.32 | 236.93 | 308.49 |