Prediction 4209
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | ParanĂ¡ |
Description:
2026 forecasts in PR
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 58.53 | 14.53 | 17.88 | 21.57 | 35.18 | 115.74 | 213.85 | 322.10 | 551.73 |
2025-10-12 | 125.61 | 26.19 | 34.74 | 45.17 | 70.44 | 222.40 | 503.34 | 840.69 | 1437.79 |
2025-10-19 | 76.25 | 18.82 | 23.85 | 30.33 | 47.15 | 135.18 | 245.09 | 333.74 | 477.42 |
2025-10-26 | 101.62 | 24.26 | 32.62 | 41.52 | 61.65 | 179.70 | 323.29 | 490.08 | 667.24 |
2025-11-02 | 100.53 | 29.39 | 35.11 | 44.90 | 64.54 | 155.50 | 266.73 | 377.21 | 445.36 |
2025-11-09 | 130.71 | 34.14 | 43.15 | 50.51 | 78.07 | 240.68 | 424.62 | 609.52 | 761.66 |
2025-11-16 | 170.14 | 48.26 | 55.62 | 69.09 | 100.88 | 310.51 | 572.02 | 920.94 | 1383.81 |
2025-11-23 | 161.03 | 43.13 | 54.14 | 68.82 | 100.95 | 257.69 | 473.56 | 669.59 | 1091.62 |
2025-11-30 | 365.09 | 96.63 | 111.73 | 138.26 | 210.43 | 669.00 | 1299.23 | 1905.71 | 3530.66 |
2025-12-07 | 263.97 | 64.73 | 74.05 | 101.06 | 157.31 | 481.57 | 842.43 | 1167.54 | 1802.58 |
2025-12-14 | 298.21 | 90.10 | 101.38 | 129.17 | 191.31 | 471.96 | 776.06 | 1098.99 | 1510.07 |
2025-12-21 | 157.83 | 37.73 | 45.15 | 57.75 | 83.76 | 261.07 | 502.61 | 689.43 | 810.61 |
2025-12-28 | 212.77 | 45.96 | 60.76 | 78.95 | 124.87 | 372.83 | 685.91 | 933.31 | 1516.80 |
2026-01-04 | 388.17 | 81.66 | 115.36 | 144.64 | 221.33 | 725.58 | 1421.44 | 2390.24 | 4179.61 |
2026-01-11 | 382.75 | 86.92 | 114.85 | 144.02 | 215.93 | 732.70 | 1617.04 | 2768.29 | 4196.35 |
2026-01-18 | 374.67 | 103.30 | 121.54 | 156.27 | 237.72 | 677.99 | 1147.25 | 1572.39 | 2373.58 |
2026-01-25 | 503.25 | 161.08 | 179.12 | 218.41 | 305.05 | 812.23 | 1300.22 | 1756.24 | 2718.74 |
2026-02-01 | 640.16 | 197.64 | 225.57 | 269.24 | 388.25 | 1071.79 | 1853.72 | 2537.01 | 3472.95 |
2026-02-08 | 948.97 | 317.02 | 382.19 | 443.40 | 640.11 | 1364.26 | 2011.29 | 2576.76 | 3532.95 |
2026-02-15 | 1245.05 | 413.32 | 571.58 | 685.92 | 887.01 | 1765.29 | 2475.89 | 2965.35 | 3828.31 |
2026-02-22 | 2078.70 | 815.77 | 978.33 | 1182.01 | 1551.28 | 2832.60 | 4010.95 | 5023.31 | 6338.87 |
2026-03-01 | 3266.74 | 1458.67 | 1617.47 | 1860.46 | 2403.77 | 4370.19 | 6034.59 | 7329.69 | 8624.41 |
2026-03-08 | 4565.91 | 2267.69 | 2646.84 | 2948.07 | 3579.40 | 5764.39 | 7353.40 | 8586.32 | 10064.45 |
2026-03-15 | 7008.16 | 3446.57 | 3925.32 | 4359.25 | 5572.94 | 9112.79 | 11975.99 | 14689.83 | 17283.76 |
2026-03-22 | 9579.89 | 5065.23 | 5687.81 | 6306.08 | 7864.67 | 12189.92 | 15551.89 | 17581.94 | 20561.54 |
2026-03-29 | 12559.37 | 6856.99 | 7402.06 | 8206.97 | 10261.40 | 15992.01 | 20852.33 | 24138.36 | 26754.20 |
2026-04-05 | 14338.96 | 8125.08 | 8914.44 | 9773.85 | 11721.56 | 17544.97 | 21350.00 | 25426.20 | 27362.95 |
2026-04-12 | 13587.06 | 8135.38 | 8687.91 | 9406.92 | 11061.11 | 16511.85 | 19760.28 | 22067.13 | 27484.08 |
2026-04-19 | 12061.13 | 7246.33 | 7983.09 | 8806.42 | 10229.63 | 14605.55 | 17715.51 | 19489.78 | 22199.77 |
2026-04-26 | 12444.96 | 6981.35 | 7665.54 | 8678.77 | 10279.14 | 15006.86 | 17791.13 | 19809.56 | 21627.64 |
2026-05-03 | 10105.53 | 6318.78 | 6709.91 | 7413.60 | 8400.58 | 12516.94 | 15046.08 | 17525.46 | 19424.46 |
2026-05-10 | 7485.44 | 4239.32 | 4663.83 | 5015.13 | 6174.99 | 8977.66 | 11139.50 | 12666.08 | 13899.63 |
2026-05-17 | 5695.28 | 2973.31 | 3237.47 | 3670.36 | 4613.92 | 7178.35 | 9059.54 | 10700.70 | 12763.08 |
2026-05-24 | 3534.61 | 1862.37 | 2079.74 | 2338.49 | 2904.62 | 4536.09 | 5536.19 | 6554.92 | 7228.11 |
2026-05-31 | 2097.84 | 1092.55 | 1205.18 | 1369.16 | 1655.98 | 2621.52 | 3431.57 | 4054.88 | 4785.55 |
2026-06-07 | 1636.11 | 843.79 | 968.07 | 1071.92 | 1309.30 | 2104.50 | 2544.13 | 3113.62 | 3556.57 |
2026-06-14 | 942.64 | 413.83 | 463.18 | 564.01 | 705.31 | 1282.77 | 1738.27 | 2082.62 | 2411.36 |
2026-06-21 | 556.74 | 237.61 | 268.89 | 319.20 | 409.12 | 801.74 | 1092.07 | 1430.08 | 1622.43 |
2026-06-28 | 518.83 | 194.28 | 222.85 | 270.78 | 367.97 | 801.28 | 1179.92 | 1658.96 | 2203.36 |
2026-07-05 | 399.52 | 125.95 | 149.26 | 182.18 | 257.99 | 630.87 | 1082.78 | 1622.97 | 2256.08 |
2026-07-12 | 362.63 | 77.10 | 94.48 | 126.26 | 199.30 | 716.99 | 1567.61 | 2760.01 | 4234.28 |
2026-07-19 | 262.51 | 63.46 | 77.62 | 99.46 | 156.61 | 462.69 | 884.99 | 1526.80 | 2647.49 |
2026-07-26 | 271.27 | 79.14 | 87.41 | 107.75 | 160.11 | 472.45 | 910.75 | 1401.90 | 2127.43 |
2026-08-02 | 137.79 | 44.20 | 51.54 | 61.33 | 89.56 | 227.22 | 409.38 | 652.61 | 742.08 |
2026-08-09 | 187.98 | 41.12 | 47.56 | 60.26 | 101.04 | 391.49 | 787.36 | 1526.84 | 2590.48 |
2026-08-16 | 121.09 | 23.65 | 27.66 | 42.44 | 71.63 | 258.56 | 484.68 | 807.54 | 1030.98 |
2026-08-23 | 69.99 | 14.25 | 19.16 | 25.79 | 41.39 | 134.80 | 298.47 | 508.74 | 1018.53 |
2026-08-30 | 100.96 | 16.71 | 22.23 | 29.27 | 50.50 | 202.73 | 448.19 | 687.29 | 1476.63 |
2026-09-06 | 126.56 | 24.08 | 30.25 | 40.83 | 66.95 | 264.64 | 724.96 | 1505.05 | 3440.09 |
2026-09-13 | 99.02 | 20.29 | 26.44 | 33.68 | 54.09 | 196.07 | 397.31 | 747.83 | 1115.89 |
2026-09-20 | 111.74 | 25.79 | 30.25 | 41.80 | 60.54 | 226.11 | 486.99 | 764.74 | 1228.33 |
2026-09-27 | 90.61 | 25.31 | 26.95 | 33.94 | 54.25 | 158.50 | 283.89 | 372.00 | 614.49 |
2026-10-04 | 90.61 | 25.31 | 26.95 | 33.94 | 54.25 | 158.50 | 283.89 | 372.00 | 614.49 |