Prediction 4210
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
2026 forecasts in RS
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 38.53 | 8.75 | 11.09 | 13.27 | 21.54 | 77.36 | 142.77 | 231.22 | 347.33 |
2025-10-12 | 65.04 | 15.38 | 19.45 | 25.00 | 36.87 | 122.72 | 230.61 | 366.03 | 505.85 |
2025-10-19 | 49.80 | 13.35 | 15.14 | 17.56 | 29.48 | 93.65 | 153.16 | 235.91 | 275.31 |
2025-10-26 | 64.57 | 17.69 | 22.00 | 28.17 | 40.73 | 117.75 | 193.85 | 322.23 | 449.95 |
2025-11-02 | 71.72 | 19.22 | 23.44 | 29.20 | 43.56 | 129.45 | 215.87 | 294.22 | 396.10 |
2025-11-09 | 82.26 | 21.71 | 26.09 | 33.79 | 48.98 | 151.93 | 257.22 | 387.31 | 612.99 |
2025-11-16 | 94.82 | 26.42 | 30.39 | 37.20 | 56.64 | 161.23 | 276.31 | 384.50 | 498.17 |
2025-11-23 | 98.44 | 31.52 | 36.74 | 44.00 | 62.65 | 162.32 | 268.90 | 340.13 | 430.52 |
2025-11-30 | 189.01 | 56.78 | 68.71 | 82.76 | 116.18 | 343.54 | 544.83 | 846.88 | 1234.28 |
2025-12-07 | 158.23 | 47.72 | 57.42 | 67.99 | 100.37 | 247.25 | 432.57 | 655.83 | 830.25 |
2025-12-14 | 163.23 | 54.91 | 62.53 | 78.30 | 113.46 | 244.15 | 364.42 | 493.73 | 677.73 |
2025-12-21 | 121.56 | 33.46 | 42.29 | 51.45 | 77.95 | 207.17 | 309.89 | 448.55 | 666.40 |
2025-12-28 | 186.10 | 50.93 | 57.74 | 77.04 | 111.46 | 308.86 | 534.11 | 799.83 | 1125.56 |
2026-01-04 | 273.98 | 69.01 | 81.95 | 103.47 | 157.22 | 491.67 | 956.96 | 1398.75 | 2365.91 |
2026-01-11 | 256.70 | 68.17 | 81.71 | 106.54 | 151.48 | 436.38 | 880.68 | 1283.49 | 1731.34 |
2026-01-18 | 284.59 | 82.47 | 95.13 | 117.46 | 169.74 | 452.27 | 849.63 | 1310.06 | 1989.14 |
2026-01-25 | 375.31 | 102.83 | 127.46 | 153.95 | 237.52 | 589.30 | 969.56 | 1370.65 | 1623.19 |
2026-02-01 | 489.84 | 163.72 | 188.66 | 223.23 | 314.92 | 736.36 | 1160.50 | 1474.95 | 1938.93 |
2026-02-08 | 721.46 | 248.71 | 273.33 | 360.70 | 476.31 | 1003.21 | 1555.28 | 1953.84 | 2424.43 |
2026-02-15 | 905.97 | 381.83 | 421.11 | 523.79 | 683.53 | 1270.94 | 1874.79 | 2400.35 | 2978.90 |
2026-02-22 | 1396.54 | 662.41 | 720.63 | 831.49 | 1019.28 | 1929.16 | 2492.98 | 2898.57 | 3311.82 |
2026-03-01 | 1873.12 | 945.95 | 1058.48 | 1190.78 | 1446.86 | 2447.92 | 3251.29 | 3945.96 | 4705.58 |
2026-03-08 | 2634.44 | 1318.93 | 1524.91 | 1750.97 | 2096.08 | 3422.06 | 4156.48 | 4856.62 | 5908.98 |
2026-03-15 | 3589.87 | 2075.09 | 2145.43 | 2383.49 | 2854.65 | 4664.78 | 5849.77 | 6669.44 | 7210.43 |
2026-03-22 | 4993.70 | 2871.84 | 3056.87 | 3423.83 | 4013.76 | 6367.64 | 7899.85 | 8792.90 | 10784.42 |
2026-03-29 | 6186.77 | 3690.67 | 3992.02 | 4386.25 | 5204.39 | 7604.93 | 9371.39 | 10957.99 | 12096.26 |
2026-04-05 | 6720.89 | 3952.59 | 4253.45 | 4764.57 | 5648.18 | 8050.29 | 9356.97 | 10120.72 | 11884.77 |
2026-04-12 | 6248.17 | 3938.90 | 4142.38 | 4566.00 | 5341.29 | 7558.62 | 9175.16 | 10246.23 | 11588.38 |
2026-04-19 | 5860.86 | 3659.25 | 3993.14 | 4297.79 | 4937.98 | 6946.18 | 8320.84 | 9170.56 | 10186.44 |
2026-04-26 | 6055.45 | 3626.39 | 3854.59 | 4272.66 | 5011.25 | 7169.54 | 8754.33 | 9841.93 | 11274.81 |
2026-05-03 | 5002.01 | 2925.82 | 3271.18 | 3573.34 | 4245.20 | 6084.00 | 7360.21 | 8100.19 | 9594.65 |
2026-05-10 | 3806.85 | 2238.07 | 2456.67 | 2624.36 | 3166.90 | 4672.64 | 5690.33 | 6274.31 | 7048.55 |
2026-05-17 | 2841.95 | 1599.79 | 1679.19 | 1922.52 | 2314.58 | 3539.79 | 4520.38 | 5226.49 | 6073.21 |
2026-05-24 | 1707.32 | 962.45 | 1082.49 | 1212.91 | 1429.81 | 2094.12 | 2522.04 | 2854.47 | 3256.20 |
2026-05-31 | 1032.31 | 580.28 | 619.32 | 688.10 | 850.33 | 1348.38 | 1648.50 | 1874.69 | 2054.82 |
2026-06-07 | 839.10 | 419.62 | 464.22 | 525.04 | 634.39 | 1054.96 | 1355.90 | 1635.12 | 1836.66 |
2026-06-14 | 457.64 | 206.56 | 241.74 | 277.45 | 341.88 | 608.43 | 805.88 | 952.96 | 1152.91 |
2026-06-21 | 290.27 | 122.22 | 145.48 | 162.88 | 208.64 | 377.42 | 506.28 | 609.40 | 722.26 |
2026-06-28 | 236.11 | 95.55 | 105.01 | 121.27 | 164.41 | 346.71 | 517.29 | 631.58 | 801.79 |
2026-07-05 | 159.41 | 57.88 | 64.81 | 75.34 | 106.35 | 269.43 | 462.20 | 702.60 | 857.93 |
2026-07-12 | 136.58 | 30.88 | 40.77 | 48.82 | 78.69 | 275.85 | 596.44 | 1094.45 | 1665.10 |
2026-07-19 | 89.91 | 28.51 | 32.27 | 39.75 | 53.71 | 158.25 | 327.94 | 580.48 | 795.79 |
2026-07-26 | 109.11 | 32.29 | 36.69 | 47.74 | 68.85 | 173.39 | 298.17 | 493.67 | 707.17 |
2026-08-02 | 56.88 | 18.15 | 20.91 | 25.47 | 36.38 | 90.84 | 167.19 | 219.82 | 316.55 |
2026-08-09 | 72.59 | 16.52 | 19.35 | 25.50 | 40.95 | 143.47 | 356.90 | 545.68 | 899.42 |
2026-08-16 | 45.61 | 10.97 | 12.53 | 17.72 | 26.36 | 84.19 | 157.14 | 298.33 | 389.06 |
2026-08-23 | 26.88 | 6.34 | 7.66 | 9.33 | 15.35 | 52.96 | 96.31 | 146.29 | 246.40 |
2026-08-30 | 35.49 | 8.16 | 10.02 | 13.03 | 20.20 | 65.42 | 132.11 | 201.09 | 303.59 |
2026-09-06 | 51.61 | 10.14 | 12.42 | 15.93 | 26.07 | 102.33 | 210.93 | 367.30 | 742.57 |
2026-09-13 | 38.68 | 7.63 | 9.58 | 13.32 | 21.79 | 68.69 | 139.22 | 209.42 | 294.86 |
2026-09-20 | 43.72 | 11.03 | 12.79 | 16.97 | 25.64 | 89.42 | 168.00 | 260.12 | 428.48 |
2026-09-27 | 33.85 | 9.47 | 11.91 | 14.79 | 20.68 | 63.70 | 99.05 | 150.24 | 184.97 |
2026-10-04 | 33.85 | 9.47 | 11.91 | 14.79 | 20.68 | 63.70 | 99.05 | 150.24 | 184.97 |