Prediction 4211
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
2026 forecasts in SP
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 987.20 | 588.67 | 643.24 | 696.96 | 814.65 | 1195.95 | 1507.45 | 1820.25 | 2073.85 |
2025-10-12 | 1113.80 | 680.45 | 706.00 | 764.55 | 906.13 | 1415.14 | 1736.38 | 1961.97 | 2438.63 |
2025-10-19 | 1033.99 | 632.36 | 671.79 | 746.49 | 853.59 | 1223.99 | 1649.61 | 2059.48 | 2552.59 |
2025-10-26 | 1039.62 | 650.88 | 704.86 | 773.21 | 903.38 | 1227.39 | 1510.69 | 1839.49 | 2131.67 |
2025-11-02 | 1278.70 | 767.30 | 823.57 | 890.42 | 1041.21 | 1543.06 | 1993.10 | 2232.81 | 2931.79 |
2025-11-09 | 1234.05 | 764.28 | 801.83 | 887.11 | 1034.64 | 1506.73 | 1833.66 | 2062.61 | 2398.02 |
2025-11-16 | 1674.46 | 1082.43 | 1140.97 | 1256.93 | 1427.26 | 2013.03 | 2486.06 | 2845.77 | 3266.07 |
2025-11-23 | 1793.38 | 1162.09 | 1215.72 | 1325.80 | 1511.62 | 2168.31 | 2719.25 | 2982.91 | 3491.86 |
2025-11-30 | 2249.89 | 1324.67 | 1465.15 | 1637.51 | 1909.89 | 2724.05 | 3406.13 | 3965.01 | 4544.52 |
2025-12-07 | 2303.32 | 1433.06 | 1509.32 | 1633.86 | 1893.30 | 2836.61 | 3571.67 | 4446.17 | 4853.37 |
2025-12-14 | 2087.26 | 1131.06 | 1278.02 | 1408.58 | 1667.71 | 2522.84 | 3324.23 | 3886.58 | 4264.00 |
2025-12-21 | 1347.13 | 755.51 | 846.18 | 955.33 | 1102.89 | 1708.05 | 2156.96 | 2488.19 | 2928.56 |
2025-12-28 | 3080.55 | 1962.26 | 2064.75 | 2254.01 | 2594.78 | 3721.88 | 4590.28 | 5395.16 | 6093.12 |
2026-01-04 | 3372.90 | 2140.74 | 2278.23 | 2528.06 | 2862.36 | 4060.41 | 4843.62 | 5872.70 | 6923.88 |
2026-01-11 | 4123.68 | 2666.67 | 2862.73 | 3104.53 | 3495.56 | 4925.60 | 6121.64 | 7281.81 | 8966.93 |
2026-01-18 | 5195.31 | 3383.26 | 3611.91 | 3879.03 | 4482.84 | 6193.81 | 7636.56 | 8646.24 | 10991.62 |
2026-01-25 | 5885.80 | 3860.32 | 4145.47 | 4467.58 | 5118.41 | 6865.94 | 8182.51 | 9630.11 | 10394.72 |
2026-02-01 | 6578.63 | 4371.63 | 4625.15 | 5041.55 | 5716.27 | 8048.50 | 9960.09 | 12354.36 | 14492.42 |
2026-02-08 | 7830.48 | 5215.25 | 5611.16 | 5939.44 | 6778.30 | 9549.82 | 11222.12 | 13208.20 | 14170.41 |
2026-02-15 | 9641.16 | 6285.68 | 6574.34 | 7069.94 | 8341.95 | 11804.97 | 14536.44 | 16616.03 | 18651.94 |
2026-02-22 | 11773.09 | 7735.32 | 8227.67 | 8964.57 | 10233.56 | 13984.99 | 16846.01 | 18788.86 | 22866.36 |
2026-03-01 | 13995.36 | 9164.33 | 10097.66 | 10735.83 | 12211.78 | 16713.06 | 20659.23 | 24308.77 | 28374.28 |
2026-03-08 | 17875.80 | 11684.46 | 12204.58 | 13027.12 | 14949.65 | 21355.08 | 26381.93 | 31717.36 | 35791.12 |
2026-03-15 | 21338.90 | 13911.86 | 14655.77 | 15830.76 | 18004.31 | 25876.78 | 32072.14 | 36685.56 | 41725.54 |
2026-03-22 | 22319.93 | 14086.45 | 15353.18 | 16652.49 | 19021.64 | 27780.66 | 34765.34 | 39664.44 | 44496.57 |
2026-03-29 | 24939.19 | 16291.91 | 17465.96 | 18700.36 | 21149.84 | 29632.49 | 36187.14 | 41835.81 | 47808.26 |
2026-04-05 | 26318.61 | 16880.71 | 17993.10 | 19054.31 | 22266.96 | 31679.02 | 40050.58 | 50590.17 | 58616.95 |
2026-04-12 | 26058.41 | 16761.88 | 17408.95 | 19437.16 | 22200.70 | 31454.29 | 39485.08 | 43517.90 | 47326.73 |
2026-04-19 | 26396.91 | 18100.01 | 19143.01 | 20486.22 | 22985.62 | 32253.00 | 40788.21 | 46321.03 | 54552.33 |
2026-04-26 | 29933.44 | 19488.80 | 20950.46 | 22672.59 | 25834.43 | 35504.60 | 44900.97 | 52731.38 | 60855.01 |
2026-05-03 | 26841.82 | 17516.32 | 19029.34 | 20481.24 | 23246.86 | 31683.10 | 39055.19 | 44761.30 | 54287.52 |
2026-05-10 | 21012.38 | 14513.39 | 15135.28 | 16009.00 | 18130.68 | 25284.22 | 31026.96 | 36181.61 | 40187.80 |
2026-05-17 | 15090.74 | 10111.96 | 10766.34 | 11715.53 | 13011.35 | 17688.15 | 21273.61 | 24304.96 | 27366.37 |
2026-05-24 | 12525.13 | 8721.92 | 9112.03 | 9765.11 | 10876.71 | 14905.98 | 18261.92 | 20695.73 | 22297.18 |
2026-05-31 | 9685.82 | 6588.76 | 7047.69 | 7394.03 | 8243.06 | 11322.51 | 13562.84 | 15877.95 | 18793.37 |
2026-06-07 | 7430.02 | 5119.31 | 5438.30 | 5749.45 | 6521.94 | 8629.37 | 10239.35 | 11757.01 | 13418.00 |
2026-06-14 | 6065.92 | 4008.91 | 4284.99 | 4593.53 | 5172.95 | 7207.82 | 8636.71 | 9898.57 | 11279.43 |
2026-06-21 | 4402.72 | 2758.15 | 2943.14 | 3217.39 | 3686.20 | 5531.41 | 6949.31 | 8051.78 | 9948.70 |
2026-06-28 | 3438.49 | 2136.98 | 2276.37 | 2454.47 | 2981.82 | 4261.34 | 5328.19 | 6404.01 | 7715.02 |
2026-07-05 | 2643.46 | 1618.68 | 1746.64 | 1908.37 | 2270.72 | 3343.35 | 4176.76 | 4869.58 | 5586.98 |
2026-07-12 | 2423.05 | 1452.73 | 1547.44 | 1682.81 | 2002.28 | 3035.69 | 3762.60 | 4318.08 | 5049.60 |
2026-07-19 | 2238.85 | 1366.65 | 1488.89 | 1599.49 | 1879.28 | 2777.30 | 3421.41 | 4207.84 | 4837.03 |
2026-07-26 | 2096.58 | 1209.80 | 1302.88 | 1400.27 | 1686.07 | 2555.73 | 3328.13 | 3977.77 | 4642.13 |
2026-08-02 | 1824.79 | 999.43 | 1128.87 | 1231.31 | 1449.18 | 2312.79 | 3202.56 | 3939.83 | 4693.91 |
2026-08-09 | 1571.22 | 893.07 | 956.81 | 1049.22 | 1240.10 | 2037.52 | 2608.45 | 3011.11 | 3430.01 |
2026-08-16 | 1495.23 | 834.36 | 902.25 | 997.68 | 1211.57 | 1928.95 | 2495.07 | 3135.02 | 3735.12 |
2026-08-23 | 1368.61 | 785.71 | 835.21 | 908.01 | 1083.69 | 1822.08 | 2429.18 | 2833.91 | 3844.53 |
2026-08-30 | 1457.84 | 842.78 | 887.30 | 987.59 | 1173.46 | 1860.11 | 2428.83 | 3049.14 | 3838.43 |
2026-09-06 | 1673.03 | 946.77 | 1034.11 | 1175.20 | 1358.07 | 2114.21 | 2641.77 | 3064.02 | 3543.10 |
2026-09-13 | 1434.39 | 830.29 | 904.71 | 1000.39 | 1181.73 | 1797.15 | 2314.10 | 2808.91 | 3350.50 |
2026-09-20 | 1418.11 | 766.43 | 818.08 | 909.37 | 1106.87 | 1800.64 | 2391.57 | 2866.62 | 3721.00 |
2026-09-27 | 1507.15 | 831.95 | 889.16 | 978.91 | 1190.41 | 1913.39 | 2472.93 | 3088.18 | 3892.28 |
2026-10-04 | 1507.15 | 831.95 | 889.16 | 978.91 | 1190.41 | 1913.39 | 2472.93 | 3088.18 | 3892.28 |