Prediction 4213
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
2026 forecasts in RJ
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 64.84 | 17.49 | 21.22 | 27.11 | 39.85 | 105.97 | 187.87 | 293.29 | 429.48 |
2025-10-12 | 65.30 | 18.80 | 23.22 | 28.30 | 41.17 | 106.34 | 174.35 | 255.70 | 307.65 |
2025-10-19 | 56.92 | 16.65 | 19.18 | 22.67 | 35.10 | 96.58 | 156.62 | 242.21 | 337.34 |
2025-10-26 | 60.46 | 16.91 | 21.95 | 26.22 | 38.09 | 100.15 | 165.43 | 230.65 | 317.24 |
2025-11-02 | 59.98 | 17.41 | 21.15 | 24.96 | 38.22 | 98.09 | 163.96 | 203.32 | 245.80 |
2025-11-09 | 57.70 | 16.41 | 19.70 | 23.32 | 37.58 | 97.61 | 150.97 | 242.23 | 362.93 |
2025-11-16 | 82.26 | 28.31 | 32.40 | 38.54 | 53.74 | 139.48 | 231.04 | 314.65 | 435.80 |
2025-11-23 | 85.83 | 23.06 | 27.18 | 37.90 | 56.38 | 136.72 | 228.04 | 338.69 | 501.58 |
2025-11-30 | 96.08 | 27.05 | 33.02 | 39.97 | 60.46 | 157.82 | 270.84 | 341.67 | 482.39 |
2025-12-07 | 112.92 | 34.00 | 39.40 | 45.49 | 73.55 | 180.01 | 295.66 | 414.19 | 567.74 |
2025-12-14 | 89.77 | 25.08 | 31.06 | 37.75 | 56.05 | 143.20 | 220.02 | 294.69 | 477.53 |
2025-12-21 | 52.05 | 12.90 | 14.97 | 19.79 | 30.26 | 87.99 | 144.49 | 189.36 | 251.01 |
2025-12-28 | 150.11 | 40.13 | 45.34 | 59.83 | 100.33 | 256.61 | 416.68 | 616.28 | 877.17 |
2026-01-04 | 154.55 | 42.88 | 49.36 | 62.66 | 96.09 | 249.57 | 423.35 | 667.44 | 892.01 |
2026-01-11 | 183.27 | 50.47 | 59.79 | 76.39 | 114.53 | 318.80 | 612.79 | 848.85 | 1167.15 |
2026-01-18 | 229.18 | 62.70 | 78.46 | 98.92 | 143.25 | 368.32 | 605.29 | 826.21 | 1040.12 |
2026-01-25 | 256.87 | 80.49 | 92.15 | 114.97 | 171.28 | 411.07 | 684.14 | 1092.51 | 1495.33 |
2026-02-01 | 322.33 | 98.04 | 120.65 | 141.00 | 219.65 | 538.56 | 902.33 | 1382.21 | 2047.30 |
2026-02-08 | 387.32 | 99.33 | 133.83 | 169.26 | 246.61 | 612.59 | 999.94 | 1345.13 | 1839.71 |
2026-02-15 | 515.53 | 154.98 | 183.75 | 236.89 | 325.53 | 805.65 | 1321.48 | 2004.81 | 2520.44 |
2026-02-22 | 739.54 | 221.35 | 265.81 | 331.27 | 458.91 | 1116.55 | 1873.07 | 2452.22 | 3835.47 |
2026-03-01 | 883.28 | 278.38 | 374.29 | 447.15 | 614.89 | 1286.29 | 2065.23 | 3201.34 | 4420.02 |
2026-03-08 | 1232.80 | 368.12 | 435.05 | 536.22 | 814.94 | 1915.60 | 2900.38 | 3632.99 | 4806.22 |
2026-03-15 | 1562.88 | 542.44 | 648.89 | 751.92 | 1080.25 | 2444.41 | 3354.80 | 4422.02 | 5694.20 |
2026-03-22 | 1673.16 | 667.53 | 740.17 | 841.90 | 1157.99 | 2488.53 | 4044.35 | 5264.26 | 6025.50 |
2026-03-29 | 1947.63 | 798.46 | 932.17 | 1058.75 | 1421.47 | 2785.48 | 3983.10 | 5124.22 | 6084.77 |
2026-04-05 | 2213.47 | 757.45 | 958.98 | 1167.92 | 1573.52 | 3273.75 | 4857.73 | 6154.83 | 7040.78 |
2026-04-12 | 2347.12 | 1002.93 | 1092.14 | 1303.87 | 1721.35 | 3301.44 | 4907.83 | 6177.96 | 7824.90 |
2026-04-19 | 2457.25 | 1004.92 | 1178.22 | 1372.03 | 1801.31 | 3423.52 | 4658.77 | 6290.15 | 9233.43 |
2026-04-26 | 2766.10 | 1155.23 | 1361.08 | 1554.99 | 2080.92 | 3922.67 | 5831.57 | 7447.61 | 10681.55 |
2026-05-03 | 2508.31 | 1115.33 | 1284.91 | 1458.96 | 1846.10 | 3579.02 | 5239.10 | 6613.95 | 7675.14 |
2026-05-10 | 1898.47 | 829.63 | 956.51 | 1119.29 | 1429.73 | 2680.63 | 3527.97 | 4873.04 | 6043.58 |
2026-05-17 | 1331.70 | 610.07 | 656.65 | 740.38 | 1002.99 | 1843.24 | 2600.71 | 3194.19 | 4071.12 |
2026-05-24 | 1149.39 | 506.61 | 571.08 | 679.04 | 841.30 | 1625.75 | 2395.10 | 3089.57 | 3597.35 |
2026-05-31 | 889.31 | 358.21 | 417.77 | 483.21 | 654.59 | 1234.86 | 1767.72 | 2490.08 | 2971.99 |
2026-06-07 | 635.01 | 273.17 | 308.37 | 356.57 | 475.35 | 896.61 | 1239.95 | 1554.05 | 2118.75 |
2026-06-14 | 483.00 | 211.93 | 240.14 | 277.59 | 353.07 | 697.38 | 941.03 | 1237.60 | 1593.99 |
2026-06-21 | 424.66 | 188.61 | 204.89 | 231.40 | 311.78 | 616.49 | 923.29 | 1126.76 | 1330.87 |
2026-06-28 | 312.45 | 132.52 | 147.47 | 177.27 | 236.08 | 449.76 | 627.61 | 748.82 | 878.80 |
2026-07-05 | 252.40 | 101.46 | 113.59 | 130.82 | 178.02 | 372.92 | 554.68 | 731.49 | 807.88 |
2026-07-12 | 205.21 | 79.49 | 92.11 | 111.42 | 143.95 | 303.24 | 447.25 | 606.09 | 929.29 |
2026-07-19 | 210.22 | 75.83 | 92.27 | 104.62 | 137.96 | 291.52 | 417.80 | 545.01 | 679.44 |
2026-07-26 | 185.10 | 67.29 | 76.61 | 95.16 | 130.39 | 289.06 | 409.43 | 527.53 | 675.24 |
2026-08-02 | 149.09 | 58.61 | 66.13 | 79.50 | 109.50 | 214.18 | 331.35 | 431.88 | 603.45 |
2026-08-09 | 139.84 | 46.18 | 59.73 | 71.18 | 95.95 | 209.33 | 297.76 | 381.26 | 496.17 |
2026-08-16 | 126.88 | 44.20 | 49.71 | 63.51 | 87.33 | 199.97 | 305.79 | 413.44 | 587.34 |
2026-08-23 | 120.54 | 41.25 | 47.71 | 58.57 | 86.56 | 182.58 | 303.30 | 408.62 | 518.32 |
2026-08-30 | 124.22 | 41.43 | 47.64 | 58.81 | 80.00 | 189.97 | 275.51 | 367.65 | 520.45 |
2026-09-06 | 151.71 | 49.79 | 60.25 | 70.92 | 98.59 | 236.02 | 346.21 | 472.86 | 563.45 |
2026-09-13 | 122.43 | 41.96 | 48.28 | 63.31 | 88.40 | 185.54 | 276.40 | 342.59 | 402.88 |
2026-09-20 | 126.83 | 41.78 | 46.81 | 56.62 | 79.06 | 195.32 | 298.14 | 404.11 | 542.13 |
2026-09-27 | 123.04 | 42.85 | 48.40 | 60.43 | 85.22 | 190.79 | 286.06 | 371.27 | 443.86 |
2026-10-04 | 123.04 | 42.85 | 48.40 | 60.43 | 85.22 | 190.79 | 286.06 | 371.27 | 443.86 |