Prediction 4215
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
2026 forecasts in BA
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 233.74 | 89.90 | 110.75 | 128.01 | 161.33 | 326.56 | 447.21 | 557.69 | 747.06 |
2025-10-12 | 227.02 | 101.61 | 108.53 | 129.66 | 171.02 | 321.93 | 463.10 | 584.47 | 739.05 |
2025-10-19 | 182.59 | 73.03 | 83.16 | 99.17 | 127.91 | 259.38 | 361.44 | 465.53 | 667.53 |
2025-10-26 | 172.22 | 64.03 | 74.96 | 88.75 | 125.49 | 253.62 | 376.32 | 466.13 | 647.64 |
2025-11-02 | 179.58 | 73.87 | 81.29 | 98.72 | 128.06 | 281.04 | 435.74 | 543.88 | 692.45 |
2025-11-09 | 149.49 | 59.95 | 68.43 | 77.84 | 110.95 | 216.79 | 350.83 | 464.98 | 621.24 |
2025-11-16 | 142.74 | 60.23 | 67.28 | 77.85 | 101.12 | 206.58 | 298.06 | 362.32 | 416.44 |
2025-11-23 | 169.00 | 61.11 | 71.37 | 90.92 | 122.01 | 239.42 | 353.46 | 446.99 | 532.67 |
2025-11-30 | 184.57 | 69.82 | 79.83 | 92.29 | 126.34 | 269.23 | 406.20 | 545.20 | 774.93 |
2025-12-07 | 130.18 | 45.57 | 51.47 | 64.27 | 88.18 | 193.06 | 279.55 | 391.08 | 508.08 |
2025-12-14 | 98.44 | 34.37 | 39.25 | 49.00 | 66.06 | 144.25 | 245.37 | 351.20 | 403.37 |
2025-12-21 | 100.33 | 30.30 | 35.39 | 44.31 | 62.34 | 162.66 | 262.06 | 369.09 | 525.22 |
2025-12-28 | 318.33 | 122.59 | 143.84 | 167.56 | 225.47 | 482.94 | 762.38 | 965.06 | 1413.15 |
2026-01-04 | 339.08 | 135.80 | 154.73 | 185.23 | 236.09 | 540.47 | 753.96 | 1231.13 | 1768.95 |
2026-01-11 | 387.67 | 162.19 | 180.12 | 215.83 | 281.00 | 582.83 | 821.05 | 1055.46 | 1321.86 |
2026-01-18 | 408.28 | 164.46 | 185.82 | 220.27 | 294.72 | 567.72 | 889.15 | 1202.52 | 1650.08 |
2026-01-25 | 612.03 | 250.75 | 280.21 | 319.33 | 415.07 | 922.35 | 1415.21 | 1865.79 | 2484.72 |
2026-02-01 | 665.87 | 262.84 | 299.18 | 356.33 | 489.33 | 965.81 | 1437.10 | 1908.53 | 3159.40 |
2026-02-08 | 767.95 | 301.76 | 338.44 | 408.45 | 540.29 | 1147.52 | 1766.53 | 2406.30 | 3436.54 |
2026-02-15 | 905.62 | 366.24 | 424.93 | 503.06 | 653.44 | 1339.18 | 2013.26 | 2816.27 | 4113.61 |
2026-02-22 | 1016.90 | 431.16 | 493.17 | 571.80 | 721.93 | 1439.57 | 2144.14 | 3065.38 | 4803.29 |
2026-03-01 | 1114.43 | 483.39 | 551.14 | 636.41 | 817.14 | 1569.59 | 2510.69 | 2996.10 | 4283.73 |
2026-03-08 | 1102.70 | 512.48 | 556.48 | 640.13 | 831.51 | 1518.95 | 2283.52 | 3167.17 | 3844.83 |
2026-03-15 | 1114.35 | 555.18 | 601.26 | 688.95 | 845.01 | 1469.99 | 1993.07 | 2408.11 | 2929.17 |
2026-03-22 | 1382.89 | 658.22 | 727.10 | 824.29 | 1024.45 | 1824.29 | 2694.64 | 3940.60 | 5707.38 |
2026-03-29 | 1431.28 | 687.74 | 761.18 | 848.42 | 1045.98 | 1962.49 | 2784.55 | 3611.43 | 4426.16 |
2026-04-05 | 1533.17 | 722.03 | 795.91 | 929.04 | 1226.59 | 2142.62 | 3037.33 | 3714.50 | 5628.67 |
2026-04-12 | 1684.20 | 820.20 | 923.06 | 989.61 | 1312.52 | 2358.99 | 3357.49 | 4287.97 | 5444.39 |
2026-04-19 | 1638.64 | 771.75 | 867.34 | 971.55 | 1190.92 | 2210.74 | 3171.81 | 3858.75 | 5315.85 |
2026-04-26 | 1856.15 | 861.17 | 970.59 | 1127.13 | 1393.46 | 2548.54 | 3579.10 | 4507.79 | 5691.69 |
2026-05-03 | 1719.39 | 838.04 | 925.58 | 1044.32 | 1305.84 | 2365.04 | 3286.91 | 3959.91 | 4901.35 |
2026-05-10 | 1753.18 | 803.25 | 879.64 | 996.63 | 1285.38 | 2438.60 | 3464.93 | 4512.36 | 5230.11 |
2026-05-17 | 1667.60 | 749.50 | 818.63 | 953.01 | 1211.36 | 2339.09 | 3263.14 | 4520.11 | 6252.92 |
2026-05-24 | 1518.90 | 645.84 | 711.10 | 873.13 | 1145.82 | 2207.06 | 3268.75 | 4295.29 | 5767.40 |
2026-05-31 | 1616.43 | 706.88 | 807.78 | 935.71 | 1180.43 | 2289.32 | 3574.02 | 4680.07 | 5946.29 |
2026-06-07 | 1532.72 | 633.40 | 736.04 | 839.41 | 1102.41 | 2261.14 | 3372.83 | 4241.71 | 5728.92 |
2026-06-14 | 1594.82 | 658.75 | 719.44 | 841.47 | 1086.71 | 2508.26 | 3585.84 | 4508.57 | 5945.82 |
2026-06-21 | 1235.73 | 427.60 | 484.43 | 593.31 | 829.09 | 1906.94 | 3286.23 | 4601.22 | 6449.34 |
2026-06-28 | 1078.37 | 422.32 | 482.48 | 554.62 | 753.45 | 1708.01 | 3158.70 | 4214.62 | 6087.16 |
2026-07-05 | 1035.07 | 384.22 | 432.89 | 524.66 | 706.21 | 1634.54 | 2478.87 | 3672.27 | 5513.30 |
2026-07-12 | 913.37 | 337.41 | 389.12 | 479.35 | 635.29 | 1407.39 | 2414.89 | 3687.47 | 5906.24 |
2026-07-19 | 822.70 | 277.08 | 336.33 | 391.49 | 538.62 | 1416.25 | 2276.67 | 3102.79 | 4124.52 |
2026-07-26 | 733.21 | 238.09 | 274.73 | 320.86 | 493.53 | 1079.32 | 1679.79 | 2147.50 | 2656.08 |
2026-08-02 | 683.19 | 266.11 | 297.51 | 348.71 | 452.03 | 1041.34 | 1648.18 | 2341.60 | 4281.91 |
2026-08-09 | 631.84 | 231.90 | 257.62 | 307.48 | 411.47 | 941.04 | 1619.25 | 2085.50 | 3006.68 |
2026-08-16 | 517.11 | 189.35 | 227.88 | 254.04 | 365.97 | 763.94 | 1232.89 | 1591.36 | 2034.68 |
2026-08-23 | 475.73 | 172.43 | 203.40 | 242.45 | 326.59 | 738.51 | 1205.07 | 1843.64 | 2750.68 |
2026-08-30 | 408.75 | 157.63 | 174.76 | 202.54 | 274.39 | 639.23 | 1088.43 | 1427.75 | 2121.68 |
2026-09-06 | 461.54 | 136.24 | 155.19 | 201.87 | 295.04 | 750.83 | 1278.62 | 1908.28 | 2712.56 |
2026-09-13 | 461.10 | 139.80 | 158.84 | 196.81 | 295.22 | 772.49 | 1312.82 | 2085.89 | 2997.30 |
2026-09-20 | 298.79 | 96.16 | 119.79 | 149.97 | 202.45 | 507.73 | 772.40 | 1123.12 | 1500.39 |
2026-09-27 | 281.72 | 100.31 | 113.00 | 133.45 | 185.69 | 433.02 | 646.76 | 852.37 | 1237.84 |
2026-10-04 | 281.72 | 100.31 | 113.00 | 133.45 | 185.69 | 433.02 | 646.76 | 852.37 | 1237.84 |