Prediction 4217
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
2026 forecasts in PE
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 169.15 | 53.45 | 63.44 | 81.20 | 113.17 | 269.01 | 415.85 | 613.53 | 855.48 |
2025-10-12 | 148.77 | 48.84 | 59.12 | 74.02 | 100.83 | 229.06 | 353.72 | 436.62 | 530.32 |
2025-10-19 | 138.98 | 38.95 | 44.67 | 56.97 | 89.77 | 217.99 | 345.66 | 436.40 | 523.42 |
2025-10-26 | 138.29 | 39.18 | 46.42 | 56.84 | 85.64 | 224.99 | 349.56 | 515.08 | 633.32 |
2025-11-02 | 126.12 | 39.48 | 48.98 | 58.48 | 88.43 | 203.09 | 320.07 | 414.79 | 564.60 |
2025-11-09 | 106.55 | 24.34 | 32.97 | 42.17 | 61.36 | 171.43 | 282.65 | 374.36 | 474.65 |
2025-11-16 | 103.25 | 30.34 | 37.54 | 43.97 | 65.34 | 164.40 | 263.82 | 363.88 | 463.66 |
2025-11-23 | 113.80 | 28.03 | 38.23 | 47.32 | 71.85 | 185.06 | 274.34 | 362.03 | 450.85 |
2025-11-30 | 116.20 | 30.02 | 37.68 | 45.34 | 67.47 | 199.72 | 323.55 | 499.27 | 654.91 |
2025-12-07 | 77.45 | 20.59 | 26.41 | 34.72 | 48.81 | 140.36 | 231.38 | 315.93 | 440.55 |
2025-12-14 | 60.56 | 13.05 | 17.13 | 21.25 | 33.59 | 104.70 | 181.43 | 281.49 | 343.89 |
2025-12-21 | 57.13 | 13.01 | 15.28 | 19.02 | 32.04 | 95.32 | 169.15 | 232.20 | 292.30 |
2025-12-28 | 151.29 | 50.88 | 56.47 | 68.88 | 101.75 | 244.21 | 367.28 | 491.44 | 713.10 |
2026-01-04 | 172.61 | 50.10 | 65.86 | 82.58 | 113.37 | 278.01 | 433.54 | 575.74 | 745.19 |
2026-01-11 | 208.07 | 62.66 | 71.54 | 84.55 | 135.43 | 335.45 | 506.38 | 621.41 | 815.00 |
2026-01-18 | 194.57 | 61.98 | 70.93 | 86.16 | 129.18 | 313.16 | 469.95 | 683.41 | 897.54 |
2026-01-25 | 277.99 | 77.65 | 94.17 | 131.52 | 190.11 | 435.51 | 692.08 | 958.02 | 1237.45 |
2026-02-01 | 324.16 | 110.74 | 134.26 | 153.00 | 217.26 | 523.95 | 790.75 | 1004.80 | 1297.77 |
2026-02-08 | 331.00 | 114.76 | 136.02 | 167.75 | 235.53 | 520.32 | 775.36 | 1090.06 | 1363.30 |
2026-02-15 | 433.48 | 128.11 | 159.67 | 209.74 | 278.41 | 690.48 | 1070.34 | 1350.60 | 1711.79 |
2026-02-22 | 545.29 | 162.41 | 197.32 | 250.45 | 365.30 | 808.79 | 1172.70 | 1621.37 | 2119.72 |
2026-03-01 | 611.69 | 202.53 | 235.60 | 306.27 | 406.50 | 905.30 | 1301.31 | 1669.03 | 2307.75 |
2026-03-08 | 608.88 | 211.61 | 252.20 | 308.46 | 434.49 | 875.24 | 1205.44 | 1515.72 | 1951.73 |
2026-03-15 | 602.27 | 237.86 | 277.68 | 326.68 | 443.28 | 857.73 | 1159.49 | 1428.32 | 1608.27 |
2026-03-22 | 645.12 | 272.07 | 295.32 | 380.15 | 492.33 | 871.75 | 1178.87 | 1397.04 | 1637.37 |
2026-03-29 | 726.67 | 299.27 | 344.26 | 389.02 | 532.51 | 1033.45 | 1504.90 | 1728.01 | 2007.84 |
2026-04-05 | 754.19 | 332.96 | 373.85 | 422.50 | 540.96 | 1082.07 | 1458.18 | 1878.77 | 2230.83 |
2026-04-12 | 877.54 | 313.85 | 364.51 | 444.68 | 620.58 | 1260.31 | 1745.96 | 2150.51 | 2800.29 |
2026-04-19 | 833.13 | 340.80 | 368.29 | 454.35 | 620.40 | 1191.20 | 1585.64 | 1806.08 | 2342.96 |
2026-04-26 | 967.53 | 382.32 | 407.20 | 507.76 | 666.96 | 1372.25 | 1973.07 | 2450.82 | 2829.39 |
2026-05-03 | 947.98 | 354.06 | 397.62 | 498.92 | 651.98 | 1465.30 | 2056.08 | 2721.11 | 3435.49 |
2026-05-10 | 927.25 | 334.16 | 389.42 | 461.67 | 651.17 | 1406.99 | 2029.53 | 2754.62 | 3327.53 |
2026-05-17 | 845.62 | 328.11 | 364.51 | 451.97 | 602.10 | 1221.55 | 1909.96 | 2400.43 | 3427.64 |
2026-05-24 | 831.25 | 267.61 | 324.98 | 425.37 | 551.00 | 1278.90 | 2033.75 | 2483.49 | 3142.10 |
2026-05-31 | 831.41 | 276.13 | 305.85 | 365.62 | 537.35 | 1257.47 | 1889.46 | 2650.36 | 3326.54 |
2026-06-07 | 834.61 | 256.32 | 299.36 | 395.81 | 555.31 | 1288.45 | 1947.01 | 2453.84 | 2948.64 |
2026-06-14 | 834.14 | 270.23 | 336.94 | 434.92 | 581.95 | 1207.92 | 1862.48 | 2497.36 | 3196.59 |
2026-06-21 | 616.86 | 181.30 | 209.06 | 264.92 | 409.25 | 974.06 | 1622.93 | 2275.33 | 2945.52 |
2026-06-28 | 606.01 | 203.97 | 231.33 | 282.75 | 409.61 | 941.95 | 1571.10 | 2039.30 | 2656.71 |
2026-07-05 | 566.94 | 174.99 | 213.39 | 262.05 | 385.29 | 858.81 | 1326.16 | 1793.29 | 2288.35 |
2026-07-12 | 511.84 | 146.65 | 172.60 | 225.95 | 333.52 | 789.60 | 1268.69 | 1837.63 | 2180.06 |
2026-07-19 | 478.67 | 125.42 | 169.92 | 211.59 | 307.01 | 766.52 | 1319.70 | 1795.29 | 2577.62 |
2026-07-26 | 401.52 | 120.34 | 150.19 | 181.37 | 274.43 | 601.11 | 940.30 | 1363.56 | 1847.86 |
2026-08-02 | 373.99 | 112.48 | 140.93 | 175.60 | 245.11 | 591.60 | 859.71 | 1135.24 | 1331.66 |
2026-08-09 | 381.61 | 107.02 | 118.59 | 163.06 | 234.47 | 597.58 | 977.33 | 1186.81 | 1583.50 |
2026-08-16 | 312.33 | 94.38 | 107.70 | 140.36 | 195.85 | 477.16 | 782.76 | 1070.24 | 1357.69 |
2026-08-23 | 288.72 | 90.96 | 100.43 | 126.44 | 183.15 | 504.54 | 711.49 | 916.12 | 1140.15 |
2026-08-30 | 248.41 | 68.51 | 86.48 | 104.81 | 159.78 | 381.00 | 602.53 | 795.34 | 1145.93 |
2026-09-06 | 247.16 | 72.53 | 85.64 | 106.30 | 156.28 | 422.15 | 753.93 | 1020.62 | 1863.91 |
2026-09-13 | 235.10 | 59.32 | 68.54 | 92.44 | 136.77 | 415.89 | 670.27 | 919.31 | 1219.05 |
2026-09-20 | 180.36 | 50.68 | 58.21 | 72.86 | 117.80 | 312.12 | 517.67 | 784.01 | 943.80 |
2026-09-27 | 165.32 | 43.34 | 51.30 | 67.27 | 99.74 | 287.93 | 441.22 | 613.15 | 805.02 |
2026-10-04 | 165.32 | 43.34 | 51.30 | 67.27 | 99.74 | 287.93 | 441.22 | 613.15 | 805.02 |