Prediction 4222
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
2026 forecasts in AL
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 55.44 | 16.02 | 20.92 | 25.20 | 37.83 | 85.22 | 132.26 | 193.31 | 240.34 |
2025-10-12 | 51.34 | 17.26 | 19.96 | 23.82 | 33.51 | 78.20 | 123.25 | 152.08 | 203.73 |
2025-10-19 | 41.34 | 12.42 | 14.11 | 17.71 | 26.35 | 66.00 | 98.13 | 129.90 | 167.91 |
2025-10-26 | 42.76 | 11.76 | 14.46 | 17.60 | 26.02 | 66.88 | 117.36 | 162.49 | 206.90 |
2025-11-02 | 38.03 | 11.53 | 14.02 | 17.98 | 24.88 | 59.58 | 87.03 | 117.15 | 171.12 |
2025-11-09 | 37.46 | 10.24 | 11.80 | 15.58 | 23.07 | 54.39 | 87.28 | 104.45 | 129.40 |
2025-11-16 | 34.53 | 9.81 | 11.78 | 14.71 | 21.68 | 55.23 | 82.62 | 106.94 | 126.94 |
2025-11-23 | 34.56 | 10.12 | 11.89 | 14.57 | 22.92 | 56.48 | 96.41 | 121.86 | 153.06 |
2025-11-30 | 34.66 | 10.09 | 11.88 | 14.52 | 22.20 | 55.75 | 84.28 | 123.23 | 162.59 |
2025-12-07 | 27.53 | 6.49 | 8.44 | 10.59 | 17.79 | 45.40 | 83.66 | 113.48 | 149.39 |
2025-12-14 | 19.70 | 4.60 | 5.54 | 7.41 | 11.87 | 37.93 | 70.08 | 110.20 | 146.68 |
2025-12-21 | 17.94 | 4.24 | 5.26 | 6.46 | 10.38 | 32.25 | 58.24 | 95.90 | 122.51 |
2025-12-28 | 59.05 | 15.17 | 19.20 | 24.01 | 34.89 | 101.15 | 172.38 | 280.32 | 344.98 |
2026-01-04 | 64.77 | 18.82 | 21.45 | 27.08 | 40.84 | 108.18 | 170.88 | 246.48 | 345.27 |
2026-01-11 | 69.94 | 21.08 | 25.08 | 30.63 | 44.73 | 116.25 | 181.83 | 228.73 | 321.17 |
2026-01-18 | 66.92 | 20.64 | 24.92 | 32.91 | 44.62 | 117.31 | 176.15 | 278.80 | 351.64 |
2026-01-25 | 101.21 | 30.24 | 36.20 | 44.21 | 61.59 | 164.08 | 287.12 | 357.10 | 519.43 |
2026-02-01 | 111.38 | 33.33 | 37.88 | 49.73 | 71.59 | 168.77 | 272.50 | 436.15 | 606.87 |
2026-02-08 | 126.53 | 39.77 | 46.38 | 59.57 | 83.72 | 198.98 | 309.03 | 423.68 | 661.39 |
2026-02-15 | 150.00 | 51.20 | 58.75 | 74.96 | 103.02 | 238.60 | 338.20 | 474.77 | 629.62 |
2026-02-22 | 173.00 | 66.68 | 76.07 | 88.01 | 119.32 | 266.78 | 392.91 | 570.95 | 769.72 |
2026-03-01 | 195.98 | 75.43 | 86.12 | 102.16 | 140.43 | 287.86 | 429.02 | 566.41 | 761.17 |
2026-03-08 | 199.33 | 82.59 | 91.09 | 111.09 | 144.57 | 295.19 | 444.44 | 639.80 | 800.03 |
2026-03-15 | 204.19 | 83.62 | 90.68 | 108.25 | 150.43 | 278.05 | 410.97 | 519.43 | 708.87 |
2026-03-22 | 235.62 | 90.56 | 107.64 | 123.54 | 165.22 | 357.66 | 526.10 | 728.36 | 936.18 |
2026-03-29 | 265.35 | 95.55 | 117.52 | 136.00 | 179.21 | 392.33 | 543.31 | 701.71 | 928.95 |
2026-04-05 | 269.25 | 108.38 | 127.69 | 156.68 | 205.21 | 426.98 | 625.11 | 806.90 | 1022.46 |
2026-04-12 | 308.08 | 112.65 | 130.83 | 155.82 | 211.94 | 445.02 | 672.91 | 858.50 | 1023.89 |
2026-04-19 | 291.86 | 123.73 | 135.97 | 164.71 | 212.01 | 409.56 | 624.11 | 766.69 | 910.79 |
2026-04-26 | 336.16 | 133.18 | 153.12 | 181.52 | 239.39 | 477.54 | 666.54 | 846.39 | 1092.85 |
2026-05-03 | 337.87 | 133.13 | 155.81 | 181.44 | 239.70 | 482.35 | 647.44 | 823.05 | 1026.37 |
2026-05-10 | 339.08 | 126.61 | 152.83 | 186.40 | 245.86 | 539.66 | 745.12 | 1053.61 | 1350.65 |
2026-05-17 | 320.90 | 115.78 | 130.24 | 153.42 | 222.29 | 464.29 | 718.01 | 935.11 | 1156.41 |
2026-05-24 | 306.87 | 114.58 | 127.35 | 150.40 | 197.52 | 467.40 | 742.55 | 978.28 | 1278.77 |
2026-05-31 | 303.33 | 105.48 | 120.90 | 146.66 | 209.12 | 503.01 | 833.50 | 1112.14 | 1468.76 |
2026-06-07 | 278.06 | 83.40 | 102.69 | 120.64 | 177.17 | 416.69 | 771.70 | 1003.44 | 1531.70 |
2026-06-14 | 290.34 | 88.28 | 102.63 | 128.87 | 185.12 | 456.53 | 848.06 | 1219.75 | 1475.53 |
2026-06-21 | 220.58 | 60.94 | 71.25 | 84.90 | 136.69 | 376.07 | 665.82 | 969.03 | 1385.06 |
2026-06-28 | 193.61 | 60.02 | 74.02 | 89.08 | 126.40 | 352.43 | 572.70 | 804.55 | 1033.90 |
2026-07-05 | 200.89 | 56.23 | 70.92 | 90.46 | 124.48 | 341.04 | 564.51 | 913.95 | 1305.90 |
2026-07-12 | 167.36 | 44.47 | 55.76 | 70.90 | 101.96 | 294.70 | 510.95 | 822.94 | 1156.95 |
2026-07-19 | 156.49 | 41.19 | 51.96 | 63.07 | 93.02 | 268.59 | 528.05 | 771.36 | 965.42 |
2026-07-26 | 123.75 | 37.30 | 44.69 | 55.37 | 78.66 | 216.06 | 352.19 | 452.81 | 622.76 |
2026-08-02 | 134.69 | 32.57 | 38.03 | 51.40 | 75.79 | 234.38 | 417.55 | 667.99 | 893.49 |
2026-08-09 | 117.41 | 31.93 | 37.13 | 44.66 | 71.63 | 207.15 | 412.98 | 649.25 | 952.61 |
2026-08-16 | 110.35 | 26.07 | 32.43 | 43.11 | 70.65 | 196.48 | 373.95 | 547.40 | 738.09 |
2026-08-23 | 97.57 | 22.74 | 28.48 | 36.97 | 56.19 | 172.30 | 290.84 | 486.82 | 635.27 |
2026-08-30 | 80.53 | 20.32 | 24.08 | 29.91 | 49.06 | 150.86 | 279.99 | 429.82 | 563.38 |
2026-09-06 | 83.30 | 18.98 | 24.22 | 29.89 | 45.06 | 151.36 | 299.81 | 468.11 | 711.17 |
2026-09-13 | 73.99 | 15.40 | 18.71 | 27.52 | 44.34 | 140.60 | 275.67 | 412.47 | 676.48 |
2026-09-20 | 57.08 | 14.32 | 16.55 | 22.37 | 34.25 | 99.38 | 177.97 | 270.10 | 345.69 |
2026-09-27 | 51.27 | 13.62 | 15.67 | 19.27 | 29.63 | 86.97 | 166.94 | 246.20 | 350.97 |
2026-10-04 | 51.27 | 13.62 | 15.67 | 19.27 | 29.63 | 86.97 | 166.94 | 246.20 | 350.97 |