Prediction 4223
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
2026 forecasts in SE
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 7.38 | 1.82 | 2.19 | 2.92 | 4.25 | 14.11 | 23.63 | 35.31 | 47.27 |
2025-10-12 | 7.37 | 1.73 | 2.06 | 2.76 | 4.34 | 13.39 | 21.82 | 33.65 | 48.76 |
2025-10-19 | 5.94 | 1.27 | 1.55 | 2.12 | 3.43 | 11.14 | 19.17 | 28.48 | 41.44 |
2025-10-26 | 5.54 | 1.11 | 1.37 | 1.93 | 3.21 | 10.49 | 19.00 | 26.73 | 35.06 |
2025-11-02 | 5.64 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 2.07 | 3.33 | 10.66 | 18.92 | 32.53 | 56.65 |
2025-11-09 | 4.99 | 0.90 | 1.12 | 1.54 | 2.75 | 10.32 | 19.50 | 28.28 | 47.43 |
2025-11-16 | 4.98 | 1.12 | 1.50 | 1.88 | 2.87 | 9.29 | 15.66 | 23.09 | 26.74 |
2025-11-23 | 5.53 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.99 | 3.17 | 9.44 | 17.98 | 27.49 | 35.43 |
2025-11-30 | 5.76 | 1.10 | 1.42 | 1.93 | 3.32 | 10.93 | 22.33 | 33.07 | 56.00 |
2025-12-07 | 3.96 | 0.78 | 1.05 | 1.30 | 2.12 | 8.03 | 15.46 | 21.38 | 39.61 |
2025-12-14 | 3.14 | 0.52 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 1.64 | 6.11 | 10.65 | 14.08 | 25.14 |
2025-12-21 | 3.25 | 0.45 | 0.63 | 0.87 | 1.65 | 6.58 | 14.05 | 23.67 | 34.07 |
2025-12-28 | 11.09 | 2.39 | 2.88 | 3.78 | 5.90 | 20.76 | 32.29 | 53.19 | 68.99 |
2026-01-04 | 11.56 | 2.17 | 3.33 | 3.91 | 6.56 | 22.00 | 48.76 | 72.99 | 111.13 |
2026-01-11 | 13.08 | 2.77 | 3.61 | 4.78 | 7.35 | 23.89 | 46.15 | 65.83 | 96.60 |
2026-01-18 | 13.38 | 3.04 | 3.78 | 4.97 | 7.54 | 25.98 | 44.26 | 63.51 | 87.47 |
2026-01-25 | 18.24 | 3.90 | 4.92 | 6.71 | 10.80 | 37.76 | 67.84 | 92.75 | 143.68 |
2026-02-01 | 23.16 | 5.40 | 6.66 | 8.14 | 12.77 | 43.01 | 82.62 | 133.40 | 171.44 |
2026-02-08 | 22.86 | 4.43 | 5.95 | 7.94 | 13.24 | 41.63 | 74.61 | 121.99 | 173.11 |
2026-02-15 | 31.92 | 5.51 | 7.92 | 10.91 | 17.76 | 56.99 | 111.62 | 146.48 | 204.10 |
2026-02-22 | 34.34 | 7.07 | 8.99 | 11.97 | 19.82 | 66.70 | 111.78 | 157.47 | 212.85 |
2026-03-01 | 36.11 | 9.01 | 10.84 | 13.58 | 20.68 | 59.02 | 116.50 | 168.44 | 237.40 |
2026-03-08 | 36.66 | 11.10 | 12.50 | 14.85 | 22.40 | 68.38 | 129.35 | 180.74 | 256.51 |
2026-03-15 | 41.63 | 11.70 | 13.91 | 17.91 | 27.06 | 67.93 | 106.74 | 127.07 | 154.49 |
2026-03-22 | 47.11 | 12.14 | 14.89 | 19.75 | 30.13 | 76.89 | 124.40 | 177.63 | 236.69 |
2026-03-29 | 47.73 | 13.80 | 15.90 | 20.75 | 29.79 | 77.06 | 130.18 | 189.03 | 263.01 |
2026-04-05 | 51.39 | 13.47 | 15.47 | 21.25 | 32.09 | 89.72 | 147.92 | 219.26 | 291.97 |
2026-04-12 | 56.31 | 12.87 | 16.58 | 22.54 | 34.24 | 98.98 | 170.17 | 250.47 | 372.74 |
2026-04-19 | 57.60 | 15.79 | 19.66 | 24.42 | 33.56 | 91.14 | 147.06 | 210.37 | 346.78 |
2026-04-26 | 58.64 | 14.61 | 18.01 | 23.86 | 33.48 | 101.61 | 170.15 | 255.85 | 348.00 |
2026-05-03 | 64.30 | 14.52 | 19.28 | 25.35 | 42.17 | 106.40 | 187.10 | 276.55 | 369.54 |
2026-05-10 | 64.12 | 19.23 | 22.10 | 27.63 | 39.20 | 104.67 | 167.93 | 214.00 | 286.37 |
2026-05-17 | 56.20 | 14.46 | 16.95 | 21.82 | 34.15 | 108.64 | 192.34 | 292.31 | 389.75 |
2026-05-24 | 55.83 | 12.00 | 15.36 | 20.96 | 32.58 | 92.08 | 152.13 | 210.24 | 258.81 |
2026-05-31 | 57.20 | 12.29 | 14.97 | 19.72 | 33.94 | 100.60 | 171.06 | 234.52 | 328.22 |
2026-06-07 | 53.33 | 10.41 | 13.14 | 18.53 | 29.88 | 95.68 | 176.07 | 240.16 | 376.81 |
2026-06-14 | 51.17 | 10.39 | 13.64 | 17.44 | 29.02 | 96.05 | 159.76 | 266.51 | 426.11 |
2026-06-21 | 35.90 | 6.16 | 8.41 | 11.44 | 18.72 | 70.46 | 148.53 | 221.80 | 347.23 |
2026-06-28 | 36.39 | 5.18 | 7.01 | 9.98 | 19.66 | 83.06 | 183.07 | 327.77 | 404.52 |
2026-07-05 | 36.34 | 6.35 | 7.79 | 10.26 | 18.10 | 75.35 | 144.07 | 224.57 | 371.80 |
2026-07-12 | 29.00 | 4.89 | 6.33 | 8.97 | 15.57 | 56.02 | 97.59 | 143.44 | 181.36 |
2026-07-19 | 28.34 | 3.41 | 4.66 | 6.84 | 13.13 | 59.24 | 135.89 | 238.76 | 417.85 |
2026-07-26 | 21.28 | 3.71 | 4.50 | 6.36 | 10.93 | 41.74 | 83.38 | 120.38 | 158.42 |
2026-08-02 | 20.96 | 3.37 | 4.83 | 6.50 | 11.17 | 48.58 | 93.10 | 127.73 | 229.70 |
2026-08-09 | 22.18 | 3.51 | 4.54 | 6.71 | 11.35 | 43.33 | 76.45 | 112.73 | 194.24 |
2026-08-16 | 16.55 | 2.90 | 3.87 | 5.04 | 8.55 | 34.53 | 73.68 | 109.00 | 156.50 |
2026-08-23 | 16.76 | 2.46 | 3.43 | 4.77 | 8.32 | 31.27 | 75.62 | 120.66 | 180.14 |
2026-08-30 | 12.16 | 2.16 | 2.68 | 3.52 | 6.29 | 25.62 | 51.82 | 95.77 | 129.88 |
2026-09-06 | 14.54 | 2.00 | 2.62 | 3.45 | 6.74 | 31.65 | 80.27 | 134.63 | 245.50 |
2026-09-13 | 13.64 | 1.72 | 2.47 | 3.84 | 7.19 | 28.92 | 65.99 | 137.06 | 256.38 |
2026-09-20 | 9.76 | 1.24 | 1.69 | 2.44 | 4.24 | 20.26 | 42.18 | 64.13 | 100.50 |
2026-09-27 | 8.79 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.51 | 4.51 | 18.97 | 35.91 | 49.98 | 91.53 |
2026-10-04 | 8.79 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.51 | 4.51 | 18.97 | 35.91 | 49.98 | 91.53 |