Prediction 4224
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
2026 forecasts in DF
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 36.32 | 1.98 | 4.18 | 6.52 | 15.12 | 86.01 | 193.96 | 285.02 | 433.69 |
2025-10-12 | 34.65 | 2.19 | 3.36 | 5.55 | 13.17 | 94.25 | 196.17 | 349.95 | 541.65 |
2025-10-19 | 35.15 | 2.35 | 4.31 | 5.88 | 14.81 | 82.43 | 164.25 | 283.10 | 400.75 |
2025-10-26 | 40.40 | 3.15 | 5.33 | 8.34 | 17.01 | 86.60 | 172.27 | 278.32 | 435.65 |
2025-11-02 | 56.93 | 4.99 | 6.78 | 11.72 | 25.70 | 129.75 | 246.28 | 345.55 | 457.38 |
2025-11-09 | 64.52 | 6.29 | 9.12 | 13.53 | 29.78 | 137.68 | 257.57 | 318.11 | 551.02 |
2025-11-16 | 75.17 | 8.47 | 10.31 | 15.72 | 35.26 | 163.75 | 348.85 | 464.60 | 776.79 |
2025-11-23 | 71.61 | 6.43 | 9.96 | 15.54 | 30.61 | 160.48 | 270.97 | 476.76 | 625.36 |
2025-11-30 | 81.81 | 8.44 | 12.79 | 17.68 | 36.09 | 168.78 | 350.10 | 615.35 | 873.85 |
2025-12-07 | 80.89 | 7.71 | 11.90 | 18.42 | 35.39 | 202.41 | 399.97 | 622.91 | 840.06 |
2025-12-14 | 77.74 | 8.20 | 10.32 | 18.25 | 34.07 | 149.23 | 274.02 | 423.81 | 701.96 |
2025-12-21 | 51.71 | 2.76 | 3.96 | 7.64 | 20.48 | 138.97 | 338.58 | 529.00 | 858.00 |
2025-12-28 | 110.02 | 5.74 | 10.52 | 17.17 | 43.41 | 301.91 | 666.19 | 1214.47 | 1922.37 |
2026-01-04 | 143.49 | 12.39 | 20.20 | 31.98 | 61.33 | 341.27 | 704.09 | 1105.77 | 1536.23 |
2026-01-11 | 176.85 | 10.89 | 14.94 | 24.35 | 56.78 | 535.77 | 1617.67 | 2953.18 | 4053.07 |
2026-01-18 | 234.80 | 7.65 | 17.44 | 28.02 | 90.10 | 584.87 | 1305.02 | 2093.19 | 3316.84 |
2026-01-25 | 272.92 | 10.19 | 16.93 | 30.23 | 83.47 | 816.71 | 2179.99 | 3615.73 | 6272.96 |
2026-02-01 | 289.33 | 14.83 | 19.04 | 39.16 | 111.43 | 825.06 | 1959.81 | 3370.93 | 4950.95 |
2026-02-08 | 339.90 | 17.03 | 25.46 | 48.10 | 124.40 | 826.23 | 1844.30 | 2889.50 | 3952.61 |
2026-02-15 | 313.41 | 13.57 | 28.27 | 49.58 | 127.87 | 750.12 | 1666.34 | 3162.39 | 4149.83 |
2026-02-22 | 400.38 | 17.69 | 31.22 | 55.63 | 136.62 | 1047.88 | 2449.68 | 3886.60 | 6603.72 |
2026-03-01 | 456.38 | 31.53 | 44.09 | 78.74 | 170.47 | 1236.74 | 2943.72 | 5536.50 | 9063.26 |
2026-03-08 | 512.89 | 28.08 | 42.64 | 77.64 | 187.91 | 1220.12 | 2792.79 | 4380.10 | 6568.47 |
2026-03-15 | 605.31 | 26.98 | 37.59 | 73.95 | 203.91 | 1488.35 | 3590.64 | 6838.45 | 10561.10 |
2026-03-22 | 537.44 | 31.29 | 50.26 | 79.79 | 185.54 | 1228.07 | 3487.28 | 5233.57 | 7997.61 |
2026-03-29 | 693.54 | 47.22 | 74.68 | 114.66 | 260.88 | 1730.51 | 3645.54 | 5211.84 | 7365.73 |
2026-04-05 | 719.40 | 51.86 | 82.41 | 142.17 | 310.49 | 1618.39 | 3665.29 | 5503.87 | 8450.16 |
2026-04-12 | 599.13 | 35.19 | 56.87 | 102.19 | 234.65 | 1374.22 | 2971.49 | 4505.36 | 7228.42 |
2026-04-19 | 628.16 | 52.72 | 87.03 | 136.50 | 299.74 | 1389.23 | 2684.63 | 3854.28 | 5712.33 |
2026-04-26 | 606.34 | 60.71 | 98.67 | 131.25 | 282.91 | 1201.81 | 2550.26 | 3929.44 | 5028.28 |
2026-05-03 | 693.34 | 66.44 | 92.79 | 158.83 | 304.26 | 1597.37 | 2940.80 | 4304.46 | 6014.79 |
2026-05-10 | 607.96 | 48.34 | 72.97 | 120.83 | 256.22 | 1484.93 | 3146.17 | 4734.22 | 6550.39 |
2026-05-17 | 578.27 | 46.33 | 66.97 | 106.98 | 258.03 | 1333.91 | 2667.72 | 4186.86 | 6051.71 |
2026-05-24 | 511.21 | 37.92 | 55.57 | 105.51 | 226.16 | 1171.15 | 2596.95 | 3648.21 | 6743.10 |
2026-05-31 | 379.95 | 31.64 | 49.97 | 81.91 | 174.16 | 933.98 | 1893.53 | 2748.86 | 4274.35 |
2026-06-07 | 335.86 | 25.82 | 40.28 | 64.64 | 151.19 | 718.64 | 1333.97 | 1933.22 | 2659.60 |
2026-06-14 | 295.72 | 25.05 | 34.06 | 49.92 | 122.49 | 657.35 | 1400.80 | 2114.26 | 3061.96 |
2026-06-21 | 164.23 | 5.58 | 12.90 | 20.19 | 56.91 | 415.95 | 897.96 | 1425.18 | 2266.20 |
2026-06-28 | 81.88 | 3.63 | 6.86 | 10.94 | 30.13 | 224.37 | 574.72 | 894.76 | 1471.47 |
2026-07-05 | 76.04 | 3.51 | 5.12 | 10.34 | 27.04 | 210.29 | 569.54 | 830.95 | 1062.55 |
2026-07-12 | 60.30 | 3.56 | 5.63 | 10.13 | 25.36 | 166.47 | 359.23 | 616.11 | 857.27 |
2026-07-19 | 50.84 | 1.42 | 2.71 | 5.62 | 14.95 | 135.07 | 451.16 | 925.67 | 1627.15 |
2026-07-26 | 52.23 | 2.03 | 3.56 | 5.87 | 16.01 | 158.00 | 395.96 | 692.19 | 1016.23 |
2026-08-02 | 26.16 | 0.80 | 1.09 | 2.35 | 7.63 | 82.86 | 220.33 | 445.13 | 859.85 |
2026-08-09 | 30.51 | 0.96 | 1.41 | 2.89 | 9.01 | 108.15 | 363.88 | 586.85 | 1298.73 |
2026-08-16 | 31.27 | 0.57 | 0.96 | 1.96 | 7.07 | 110.93 | 268.15 | 493.55 | 891.80 |
2026-08-23 | 15.30 | 0.30 | 0.58 | 1.25 | 4.02 | 62.49 | 236.24 | 391.29 | 654.15 |
2026-08-30 | 22.72 | 0.49 | 0.75 | 1.22 | 6.27 | 91.98 | 250.89 | 517.43 | 834.25 |
2026-09-06 | 25.66 | 0.43 | 0.71 | 1.46 | 7.50 | 94.90 | 325.38 | 653.65 | 1090.65 |
2026-09-13 | 21.90 | 0.49 | 1.01 | 2.17 | 6.62 | 93.12 | 357.22 | 687.44 | 1357.42 |
2026-09-20 | 25.17 | 0.40 | 0.76 | 2.21 | 6.80 | 97.24 | 270.50 | 536.94 | 825.37 |
2026-09-27 | 22.54 | 0.32 | 0.59 | 1.23 | 4.92 | 86.09 | 295.38 | 619.85 | 1113.02 |
2026-10-04 | 22.54 | 0.32 | 0.59 | 1.23 | 4.92 | 86.09 | 295.38 | 619.85 | 1113.02 |