Prediction 4230
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
2026 forecasts in AM
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 65.37 | 17.40 | 19.53 | 24.61 | 38.13 | 123.50 | 290.82 | 602.46 | 1042.90 |
2025-10-12 | 78.04 | 18.58 | 22.84 | 29.41 | 44.33 | 145.70 | 268.74 | 414.65 | 771.22 |
2025-10-19 | 70.64 | 18.63 | 22.53 | 31.37 | 41.69 | 126.52 | 303.75 | 464.47 | 662.40 |
2025-10-26 | 94.71 | 26.26 | 29.79 | 38.85 | 58.16 | 158.29 | 318.10 | 517.04 | 754.67 |
2025-11-02 | 91.58 | 26.71 | 31.48 | 39.51 | 54.78 | 145.36 | 250.98 | 399.38 | 585.66 |
2025-11-09 | 134.10 | 35.25 | 42.32 | 53.49 | 83.71 | 241.70 | 488.96 | 872.12 | 1327.24 |
2025-11-16 | 201.10 | 41.00 | 57.73 | 77.13 | 119.16 | 382.22 | 791.09 | 1527.18 | 2432.11 |
2025-11-23 | 254.16 | 48.84 | 59.08 | 81.75 | 127.45 | 493.29 | 1021.50 | 1571.73 | 2597.61 |
2025-11-30 | 276.17 | 56.59 | 69.01 | 100.80 | 159.08 | 523.82 | 1046.69 | 1455.00 | 2231.46 |
2025-12-07 | 204.28 | 49.00 | 62.19 | 76.30 | 117.67 | 392.98 | 724.94 | 1014.50 | 1490.67 |
2025-12-14 | 144.70 | 31.31 | 42.60 | 53.35 | 82.09 | 248.27 | 536.71 | 819.25 | 1354.66 |
2025-12-21 | 110.91 | 23.74 | 30.64 | 36.29 | 55.93 | 204.74 | 407.54 | 733.74 | 1041.51 |
2025-12-28 | 310.65 | 82.69 | 94.22 | 117.15 | 181.74 | 519.16 | 1015.89 | 1431.82 | 1805.50 |
2026-01-04 | 336.70 | 94.79 | 124.67 | 149.45 | 214.54 | 604.44 | 1032.89 | 1710.09 | 2094.19 |
2026-01-11 | 354.43 | 98.70 | 119.31 | 146.69 | 218.16 | 636.81 | 1187.49 | 2083.16 | 3552.03 |
2026-01-18 | 365.94 | 122.44 | 139.62 | 167.76 | 237.61 | 632.18 | 1119.08 | 1577.75 | 2466.64 |
2026-01-25 | 469.45 | 136.63 | 163.80 | 206.94 | 311.82 | 745.99 | 1382.16 | 2031.33 | 2504.25 |
2026-02-01 | 457.89 | 134.52 | 156.55 | 203.44 | 297.75 | 758.85 | 1367.80 | 2263.06 | 2988.85 |
2026-02-08 | 567.84 | 165.22 | 193.35 | 253.03 | 360.98 | 887.71 | 1509.98 | 2267.83 | 3059.01 |
2026-02-15 | 562.15 | 166.84 | 198.58 | 246.17 | 355.23 | 1037.31 | 1654.73 | 2471.78 | 2863.62 |
2026-02-22 | 648.52 | 207.25 | 239.23 | 291.25 | 423.85 | 1163.07 | 1853.07 | 2742.78 | 3725.87 |
2026-03-01 | 630.58 | 182.82 | 225.75 | 291.14 | 396.79 | 1092.86 | 2075.09 | 3064.18 | 5325.74 |
2026-03-08 | 571.59 | 179.39 | 222.55 | 264.21 | 367.66 | 877.24 | 1545.81 | 2396.97 | 3630.13 |
2026-03-15 | 593.54 | 162.08 | 195.55 | 244.59 | 371.14 | 997.36 | 1985.08 | 2846.40 | 4596.74 |
2026-03-22 | 457.90 | 144.70 | 164.87 | 207.37 | 286.22 | 726.21 | 1226.39 | 1809.90 | 2975.36 |
2026-03-29 | 513.71 | 149.26 | 197.88 | 244.52 | 338.35 | 839.29 | 1722.04 | 2669.12 | 4088.01 |
2026-04-05 | 471.09 | 140.29 | 162.53 | 195.40 | 288.54 | 742.09 | 1254.83 | 2029.25 | 2720.32 |
2026-04-12 | 488.19 | 141.99 | 166.07 | 220.03 | 309.69 | 747.21 | 1165.41 | 1729.62 | 2593.46 |
2026-04-19 | 385.90 | 108.18 | 122.73 | 158.17 | 229.19 | 706.18 | 1388.87 | 2170.17 | 2859.26 |
2026-04-26 | 452.90 | 137.23 | 150.47 | 186.14 | 270.51 | 729.38 | 1335.71 | 1955.71 | 2734.78 |
2026-05-03 | 336.30 | 108.65 | 130.57 | 159.08 | 220.24 | 572.30 | 1023.69 | 1261.08 | 1948.84 |
2026-05-10 | 336.51 | 102.05 | 121.64 | 151.30 | 217.51 | 659.80 | 1298.44 | 2037.32 | 2984.28 |
2026-05-17 | 281.52 | 85.28 | 100.04 | 128.79 | 180.60 | 467.87 | 799.06 | 1252.40 | 1600.02 |
2026-05-24 | 292.83 | 84.54 | 95.82 | 119.55 | 180.55 | 487.60 | 933.70 | 1334.01 | 2166.00 |
2026-05-31 | 220.29 | 57.31 | 73.01 | 91.19 | 131.93 | 412.20 | 708.86 | 1107.09 | 1633.91 |
2026-06-07 | 217.45 | 63.26 | 78.58 | 94.56 | 142.73 | 367.95 | 692.23 | 985.36 | 1485.26 |
2026-06-14 | 204.99 | 52.57 | 65.04 | 85.39 | 122.94 | 346.69 | 607.63 | 943.09 | 1390.50 |
2026-06-21 | 115.32 | 34.62 | 42.31 | 50.39 | 74.33 | 197.65 | 353.18 | 528.90 | 814.46 |
2026-06-28 | 130.85 | 26.70 | 37.60 | 47.85 | 80.34 | 252.85 | 484.56 | 820.88 | 1456.83 |
2026-07-05 | 109.11 | 30.62 | 34.73 | 42.60 | 68.77 | 185.78 | 368.93 | 543.20 | 780.48 |
2026-07-12 | 84.91 | 25.84 | 29.59 | 35.99 | 52.61 | 148.55 | 275.37 | 360.41 | 617.04 |
2026-07-19 | 94.33 | 27.69 | 31.83 | 40.21 | 55.60 | 154.07 | 278.74 | 456.15 | 623.67 |
2026-07-26 | 102.64 | 30.31 | 36.34 | 43.50 | 67.12 | 179.06 | 296.78 | 441.18 | 657.46 |
2026-08-02 | 90.90 | 28.07 | 32.87 | 40.96 | 57.88 | 148.76 | 285.73 | 417.44 | 607.99 |
2026-08-09 | 94.20 | 25.08 | 30.58 | 37.82 | 59.98 | 168.40 | 286.44 | 391.38 | 611.55 |
2026-08-16 | 94.64 | 27.08 | 31.85 | 39.04 | 56.47 | 162.90 | 324.60 | 425.40 | 655.30 |
2026-08-23 | 82.02 | 21.36 | 26.74 | 34.91 | 50.31 | 139.65 | 272.45 | 361.40 | 531.13 |
2026-08-30 | 68.51 | 15.87 | 19.65 | 24.63 | 40.31 | 137.33 | 259.67 | 477.39 | 739.34 |
2026-09-06 | 98.46 | 21.67 | 26.42 | 33.81 | 55.93 | 225.04 | 431.25 | 708.43 | 1201.39 |
2026-09-13 | 101.41 | 23.70 | 26.96 | 33.77 | 57.64 | 210.22 | 464.61 | 961.71 | 1535.42 |
2026-09-20 | 106.67 | 20.83 | 27.73 | 35.29 | 58.37 | 210.84 | 481.90 | 865.86 | 1973.53 |
2026-09-27 | 91.53 | 18.85 | 22.05 | 28.48 | 49.99 | 168.96 | 383.94 | 590.46 | 1719.96 |
2026-10-04 | 91.53 | 18.85 | 22.05 | 28.48 | 49.99 | 168.96 | 383.94 | 590.46 | 1719.96 |