Prediction 4231
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
2026 forecasts in RR
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 5.65 | 0.51 | 0.68 | 1.12 | 2.37 | 14.84 | 38.01 | 59.03 | 97.95 |
2025-10-12 | 7.60 | 0.54 | 0.90 | 1.42 | 3.04 | 17.91 | 40.34 | 65.84 | 94.32 |
2025-10-19 | 7.12 | 0.49 | 0.73 | 1.34 | 2.85 | 15.67 | 35.92 | 63.53 | 129.20 |
2025-10-26 | 7.88 | 0.73 | 0.90 | 1.53 | 3.39 | 18.77 | 48.13 | 81.21 | 120.47 |
2025-11-02 | 8.79 | 0.99 | 1.31 | 2.14 | 4.05 | 19.73 | 37.30 | 52.78 | 81.90 |
2025-11-09 | 11.80 | 0.96 | 1.48 | 2.21 | 5.22 | 29.00 | 68.17 | 104.44 | 144.58 |
2025-11-16 | 17.83 | 1.05 | 1.89 | 2.98 | 6.96 | 52.37 | 120.35 | 192.38 | 341.91 |
2025-11-23 | 19.93 | 1.12 | 1.85 | 2.91 | 6.98 | 60.40 | 151.38 | 240.83 | 333.00 |
2025-11-30 | 22.58 | 1.32 | 2.36 | 3.47 | 8.02 | 63.72 | 157.85 | 311.21 | 517.70 |
2025-12-07 | 19.64 | 1.37 | 2.00 | 3.21 | 6.89 | 57.64 | 129.65 | 216.10 | 437.51 |
2025-12-14 | 12.60 | 0.85 | 1.14 | 2.04 | 5.40 | 32.36 | 82.89 | 143.95 | 217.71 |
2025-12-21 | 9.45 | 0.76 | 1.04 | 1.76 | 3.61 | 26.01 | 58.14 | 105.72 | 154.80 |
2025-12-28 | 31.19 | 3.27 | 4.52 | 7.71 | 14.25 | 69.77 | 140.35 | 196.92 | 285.24 |
2026-01-04 | 36.81 | 3.56 | 4.83 | 7.82 | 16.00 | 78.32 | 157.31 | 233.12 | 298.28 |
2026-01-11 | 42.20 | 4.55 | 6.38 | 9.33 | 19.64 | 90.97 | 184.25 | 267.17 | 418.94 |
2026-01-18 | 40.53 | 6.24 | 8.61 | 12.31 | 19.70 | 88.80 | 160.17 | 225.25 | 292.69 |
2026-01-25 | 51.43 | 8.59 | 9.97 | 13.68 | 25.47 | 99.49 | 207.93 | 312.12 | 413.60 |
2026-02-01 | 58.82 | 8.11 | 10.02 | 14.56 | 26.33 | 114.50 | 218.28 | 342.81 | 495.50 |
2026-02-08 | 52.83 | 8.28 | 11.21 | 16.78 | 28.99 | 106.84 | 238.40 | 384.97 | 598.11 |
2026-02-15 | 55.91 | 7.67 | 10.87 | 15.71 | 28.01 | 111.95 | 201.98 | 326.27 | 451.38 |
2026-02-22 | 71.20 | 9.63 | 12.68 | 18.04 | 36.03 | 140.67 | 238.74 | 401.96 | 525.12 |
2026-03-01 | 65.81 | 9.15 | 12.98 | 18.05 | 30.77 | 135.79 | 248.93 | 451.07 | 656.46 |
2026-03-08 | 67.60 | 10.99 | 14.25 | 19.28 | 33.35 | 126.88 | 222.24 | 304.93 | 433.97 |
2026-03-15 | 62.45 | 7.37 | 12.32 | 19.08 | 34.40 | 133.05 | 254.26 | 404.94 | 487.91 |
2026-03-22 | 48.83 | 6.51 | 9.66 | 14.58 | 24.70 | 96.64 | 187.41 | 244.92 | 371.55 |
2026-03-29 | 52.34 | 9.23 | 11.66 | 15.40 | 26.04 | 97.29 | 180.69 | 250.23 | 372.19 |
2026-04-05 | 48.69 | 7.87 | 9.99 | 16.04 | 27.40 | 96.59 | 179.07 | 245.80 | 305.18 |
2026-04-12 | 51.38 | 9.28 | 13.04 | 17.39 | 30.25 | 93.24 | 156.11 | 213.19 | 267.99 |
2026-04-19 | 38.50 | 6.92 | 9.25 | 11.86 | 20.69 | 80.91 | 155.87 | 220.76 | 283.24 |
2026-04-26 | 39.78 | 6.13 | 8.34 | 11.64 | 21.57 | 75.55 | 159.42 | 258.13 | 475.48 |
2026-05-03 | 39.09 | 6.09 | 7.39 | 11.97 | 22.40 | 78.37 | 136.64 | 186.50 | 250.56 |
2026-05-10 | 39.06 | 5.83 | 7.74 | 10.52 | 20.72 | 91.57 | 159.20 | 221.92 | 321.29 |
2026-05-17 | 32.35 | 3.98 | 5.41 | 9.00 | 15.82 | 63.76 | 122.35 | 172.34 | 233.51 |
2026-05-24 | 28.88 | 3.81 | 4.97 | 7.78 | 14.73 | 57.93 | 106.56 | 165.98 | 252.74 |
2026-05-31 | 24.11 | 2.65 | 3.14 | 5.60 | 10.52 | 46.73 | 88.88 | 124.47 | 248.77 |
2026-06-07 | 22.43 | 3.05 | 3.90 | 5.89 | 11.00 | 46.58 | 75.92 | 105.02 | 154.46 |
2026-06-14 | 18.44 | 1.86 | 3.36 | 4.98 | 9.36 | 43.23 | 97.05 | 150.04 | 213.71 |
2026-06-21 | 10.25 | 1.15 | 1.55 | 2.40 | 4.51 | 22.11 | 46.16 | 73.28 | 99.64 |
2026-06-28 | 14.42 | 1.39 | 1.90 | 3.23 | 6.03 | 31.20 | 66.18 | 100.43 | 143.23 |
2026-07-05 | 11.06 | 1.41 | 1.87 | 3.01 | 5.61 | 24.21 | 49.85 | 75.43 | 95.15 |
2026-07-12 | 9.22 | 1.03 | 1.41 | 2.26 | 4.14 | 18.66 | 40.59 | 62.29 | 92.23 |
2026-07-19 | 9.87 | 0.96 | 1.57 | 2.43 | 4.74 | 21.29 | 45.68 | 70.67 | 106.28 |
2026-07-26 | 10.83 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 2.54 | 5.09 | 26.05 | 52.92 | 81.06 | 128.28 |
2026-08-02 | 9.08 | 0.87 | 1.25 | 2.03 | 4.39 | 19.61 | 38.59 | 69.50 | 100.51 |
2026-08-09 | 9.71 | 0.97 | 1.37 | 2.07 | 4.60 | 22.59 | 46.78 | 79.99 | 112.66 |
2026-08-16 | 8.99 | 0.86 | 1.20 | 1.75 | 4.18 | 20.82 | 43.33 | 58.87 | 96.07 |
2026-08-23 | 7.46 | 0.65 | 0.92 | 1.57 | 3.34 | 19.51 | 54.70 | 86.16 | 138.75 |
2026-08-30 | 7.40 | 0.43 | 0.89 | 1.38 | 2.68 | 18.11 | 41.66 | 64.30 | 88.85 |
2026-09-06 | 8.02 | 0.62 | 0.90 | 1.49 | 3.49 | 23.61 | 55.02 | 94.84 | 154.46 |
2026-09-13 | 8.28 | 0.70 | 1.04 | 1.45 | 3.27 | 22.69 | 67.30 | 116.31 | 185.97 |
2026-09-20 | 10.34 | 0.68 | 1.04 | 1.72 | 4.06 | 25.87 | 73.09 | 139.48 | 272.56 |
2026-09-27 | 8.18 | 0.59 | 0.96 | 1.39 | 3.03 | 19.69 | 46.67 | 84.02 | 121.92 |
2026-10-04 | 8.18 | 0.59 | 0.96 | 1.39 | 3.03 | 19.69 | 46.67 | 84.02 | 121.92 |