Prediction 4233
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
2026 forecasts in AP
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 19.75 | 2.81 | 4.11 | 5.38 | 10.12 | 36.08 | 64.98 | 76.67 | 111.30 |
2025-10-12 | 23.22 | 4.16 | 5.28 | 7.69 | 12.66 | 40.02 | 70.51 | 93.31 | 141.28 |
2025-10-19 | 22.05 | 3.73 | 4.83 | 6.82 | 12.24 | 42.20 | 78.78 | 116.40 | 149.84 |
2025-10-26 | 27.76 | 4.95 | 6.26 | 8.53 | 14.33 | 49.54 | 88.27 | 119.79 | 172.89 |
2025-11-02 | 27.26 | 5.86 | 7.12 | 9.20 | 14.08 | 47.93 | 87.82 | 129.89 | 202.68 |
2025-11-09 | 38.04 | 7.16 | 8.67 | 11.83 | 19.19 | 75.99 | 142.90 | 210.88 | 261.01 |
2025-11-16 | 49.75 | 5.14 | 7.46 | 12.25 | 24.36 | 125.76 | 302.36 | 454.16 | 733.63 |
2025-11-23 | 61.29 | 7.99 | 9.93 | 14.73 | 28.64 | 156.07 | 345.71 | 522.73 | 816.32 |
2025-11-30 | 61.24 | 5.57 | 7.70 | 13.73 | 26.52 | 152.94 | 350.17 | 772.84 | 1278.50 |
2025-12-07 | 57.25 | 6.45 | 11.36 | 13.94 | 25.34 | 123.89 | 283.92 | 516.98 | 710.59 |
2025-12-14 | 38.30 | 5.40 | 7.63 | 9.89 | 17.72 | 86.49 | 159.18 | 296.26 | 459.68 |
2025-12-21 | 29.30 | 4.94 | 6.56 | 8.05 | 15.84 | 61.13 | 119.14 | 179.05 | 259.22 |
2025-12-28 | 79.98 | 16.48 | 22.20 | 29.07 | 45.81 | 159.11 | 266.60 | 376.24 | 513.34 |
2026-01-04 | 87.10 | 17.56 | 20.91 | 29.01 | 48.13 | 167.93 | 278.92 | 390.11 | 505.99 |
2026-01-11 | 91.22 | 20.88 | 25.58 | 35.56 | 54.20 | 154.80 | 265.97 | 390.01 | 548.95 |
2026-01-18 | 93.04 | 22.50 | 27.90 | 36.32 | 56.81 | 176.10 | 282.70 | 382.91 | 522.07 |
2026-01-25 | 113.14 | 24.99 | 32.71 | 42.99 | 69.78 | 192.96 | 302.75 | 474.57 | 660.10 |
2026-02-01 | 122.32 | 29.61 | 37.34 | 47.67 | 76.29 | 186.78 | 279.19 | 423.91 | 514.05 |
2026-02-08 | 117.77 | 31.57 | 36.81 | 49.34 | 69.89 | 180.87 | 319.60 | 420.34 | 542.29 |
2026-02-15 | 130.77 | 28.35 | 36.14 | 48.79 | 74.52 | 211.82 | 423.95 | 521.80 | 679.63 |
2026-02-22 | 156.11 | 37.91 | 47.59 | 61.46 | 89.04 | 277.43 | 487.90 | 657.54 | 861.57 |
2026-03-01 | 136.91 | 29.42 | 38.79 | 52.92 | 85.88 | 236.63 | 408.52 | 527.07 | 736.17 |
2026-03-08 | 141.47 | 33.17 | 40.42 | 56.38 | 86.42 | 229.98 | 365.78 | 484.28 | 602.04 |
2026-03-15 | 134.42 | 29.22 | 35.83 | 53.07 | 79.47 | 248.29 | 409.35 | 648.33 | 900.80 |
2026-03-22 | 111.91 | 29.08 | 33.76 | 43.12 | 70.21 | 195.76 | 291.24 | 351.05 | 447.17 |
2026-03-29 | 115.63 | 32.13 | 37.80 | 47.15 | 73.01 | 181.38 | 300.52 | 415.06 | 537.64 |
2026-04-05 | 114.75 | 24.41 | 32.40 | 40.92 | 65.44 | 189.69 | 308.26 | 426.31 | 687.09 |
2026-04-12 | 105.71 | 26.71 | 38.01 | 44.86 | 66.66 | 172.62 | 265.00 | 376.99 | 464.19 |
2026-04-19 | 84.00 | 21.97 | 26.73 | 32.93 | 51.48 | 145.12 | 256.32 | 353.94 | 452.94 |
2026-04-26 | 97.84 | 20.68 | 26.60 | 34.19 | 58.91 | 163.99 | 245.41 | 357.34 | 421.75 |
2026-05-03 | 81.77 | 20.67 | 24.56 | 33.19 | 54.56 | 142.75 | 223.61 | 344.23 | 417.42 |
2026-05-10 | 88.78 | 19.42 | 24.87 | 31.69 | 48.52 | 146.30 | 260.51 | 365.26 | 464.87 |
2026-05-17 | 72.14 | 14.67 | 17.18 | 23.23 | 38.88 | 117.77 | 194.64 | 289.64 | 380.13 |
2026-05-24 | 65.88 | 13.54 | 17.99 | 21.55 | 37.12 | 110.71 | 174.12 | 250.19 | 332.52 |
2026-05-31 | 51.81 | 10.32 | 13.32 | 18.21 | 29.73 | 99.71 | 175.12 | 257.19 | 409.99 |
2026-06-07 | 53.20 | 10.88 | 13.64 | 19.07 | 32.55 | 86.53 | 135.32 | 201.92 | 283.19 |
2026-06-14 | 45.18 | 9.98 | 11.66 | 15.27 | 26.08 | 80.17 | 135.75 | 184.74 | 249.21 |
2026-06-21 | 31.57 | 5.13 | 6.63 | 8.69 | 17.25 | 56.49 | 103.04 | 144.96 | 217.84 |
2026-06-28 | 32.89 | 6.30 | 7.51 | 10.50 | 18.30 | 65.73 | 141.87 | 211.16 | 323.57 |
2026-07-05 | 29.26 | 5.67 | 6.96 | 9.43 | 16.71 | 54.80 | 90.96 | 126.79 | 181.31 |
2026-07-12 | 25.81 | 4.86 | 6.49 | 8.74 | 13.87 | 43.35 | 73.32 | 104.22 | 154.31 |
2026-07-19 | 25.97 | 4.84 | 5.79 | 8.27 | 13.87 | 48.18 | 90.26 | 136.09 | 168.70 |
2026-07-26 | 27.24 | 4.71 | 6.94 | 9.24 | 15.52 | 53.63 | 99.15 | 151.39 | 222.08 |
2026-08-02 | 25.60 | 4.23 | 5.52 | 7.96 | 13.18 | 53.49 | 109.06 | 172.03 | 206.72 |
2026-08-09 | 25.68 | 4.96 | 6.16 | 8.18 | 14.02 | 52.55 | 102.20 | 175.58 | 240.97 |
2026-08-16 | 27.37 | 3.69 | 4.84 | 7.03 | 12.58 | 49.11 | 96.44 | 162.30 | 241.82 |
2026-08-23 | 22.13 | 3.04 | 4.26 | 6.24 | 11.97 | 41.09 | 74.97 | 148.99 | 196.75 |
2026-08-30 | 20.23 | 2.94 | 3.96 | 5.80 | 10.77 | 38.43 | 68.16 | 90.60 | 120.09 |
2026-09-06 | 25.06 | 2.84 | 3.99 | 5.85 | 11.31 | 59.76 | 124.10 | 208.48 | 382.79 |
2026-09-13 | 27.30 | 3.66 | 5.07 | 7.04 | 13.17 | 61.00 | 117.14 | 198.80 | 291.96 |
2026-09-20 | 24.12 | 2.53 | 3.67 | 5.81 | 11.07 | 55.92 | 109.13 | 173.95 | 247.58 |
2026-09-27 | 21.32 | 3.30 | 4.51 | 6.52 | 10.68 | 48.30 | 98.25 | 137.31 | 196.69 |
2026-10-04 | 21.32 | 3.30 | 4.51 | 6.52 | 10.68 | 48.30 | 98.25 | 137.31 | 196.69 |