Prediction 4234
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
2026 forecasts in TO
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 61.37 | 21.56 | 26.37 | 30.58 | 42.24 | 89.30 | 133.85 | 168.40 | 207.14 |
2025-10-12 | 74.46 | 24.67 | 27.63 | 35.18 | 50.48 | 109.90 | 161.48 | 209.89 | 257.90 |
2025-10-19 | 71.41 | 24.70 | 28.66 | 34.24 | 48.19 | 108.30 | 153.27 | 188.24 | 274.18 |
2025-10-26 | 88.28 | 34.95 | 37.25 | 43.14 | 57.97 | 127.77 | 188.30 | 247.24 | 322.85 |
2025-11-02 | 83.05 | 33.06 | 38.29 | 44.93 | 63.40 | 122.38 | 176.00 | 224.47 | 324.55 |
2025-11-09 | 115.01 | 37.06 | 42.93 | 53.97 | 73.68 | 182.07 | 283.00 | 441.58 | 736.05 |
2025-11-16 | 160.62 | 47.83 | 56.94 | 66.76 | 97.59 | 279.86 | 481.71 | 630.17 | 889.07 |
2025-11-23 | 190.66 | 50.34 | 64.52 | 79.94 | 116.70 | 344.19 | 622.04 | 914.78 | 1295.79 |
2025-11-30 | 195.69 | 48.49 | 63.90 | 81.87 | 122.81 | 347.34 | 757.16 | 1315.78 | 1895.68 |
2025-12-07 | 180.28 | 42.98 | 53.52 | 66.22 | 104.14 | 299.02 | 566.69 | 720.96 | 887.70 |
2025-12-14 | 112.25 | 27.85 | 38.03 | 46.03 | 70.11 | 180.35 | 326.15 | 420.32 | 557.57 |
2025-12-21 | 95.91 | 31.08 | 33.93 | 43.91 | 61.98 | 152.35 | 231.32 | 305.83 | 388.34 |
2025-12-28 | 259.64 | 85.50 | 100.79 | 127.45 | 174.87 | 388.25 | 575.60 | 745.17 | 963.95 |
2026-01-04 | 294.01 | 100.40 | 120.70 | 141.19 | 199.61 | 434.25 | 661.86 | 840.50 | 1077.64 |
2026-01-11 | 280.12 | 116.28 | 131.07 | 150.47 | 201.14 | 408.87 | 628.65 | 734.55 | 888.02 |
2026-01-18 | 267.09 | 112.14 | 131.33 | 154.91 | 196.61 | 381.23 | 517.47 | 630.33 | 819.23 |
2026-01-25 | 320.61 | 140.67 | 155.86 | 184.64 | 241.39 | 455.77 | 663.67 | 867.04 | 993.74 |
2026-02-01 | 330.77 | 146.22 | 164.64 | 183.13 | 239.30 | 462.36 | 591.68 | 832.36 | 1083.17 |
2026-02-08 | 361.33 | 164.23 | 185.08 | 217.63 | 285.54 | 512.20 | 697.81 | 934.60 | 1350.38 |
2026-02-15 | 359.94 | 149.56 | 173.32 | 199.30 | 256.95 | 504.52 | 744.13 | 1061.97 | 1283.24 |
2026-02-22 | 441.26 | 166.11 | 197.26 | 232.75 | 311.27 | 622.62 | 906.94 | 1095.55 | 1338.04 |
2026-03-01 | 428.51 | 171.81 | 199.20 | 229.34 | 316.99 | 614.03 | 861.72 | 1123.93 | 1481.80 |
2026-03-08 | 395.45 | 168.68 | 188.55 | 216.06 | 283.64 | 539.10 | 760.47 | 961.09 | 1205.28 |
2026-03-15 | 403.45 | 167.04 | 184.36 | 220.45 | 288.57 | 555.86 | 838.39 | 1147.46 | 1515.05 |
2026-03-22 | 317.44 | 142.47 | 160.83 | 184.62 | 241.56 | 452.12 | 643.25 | 766.76 | 925.83 |
2026-03-29 | 338.29 | 137.93 | 158.90 | 187.85 | 245.56 | 476.78 | 700.66 | 879.60 | 1152.48 |
2026-04-05 | 314.36 | 149.01 | 163.50 | 184.08 | 228.95 | 453.93 | 639.55 | 780.19 | 947.63 |
2026-04-12 | 318.18 | 130.79 | 150.17 | 175.91 | 230.26 | 445.07 | 613.81 | 721.32 | 846.93 |
2026-04-19 | 280.58 | 114.87 | 127.69 | 143.49 | 197.88 | 424.83 | 607.94 | 790.73 | 883.95 |
2026-04-26 | 285.94 | 110.26 | 130.19 | 162.72 | 211.92 | 426.44 | 615.11 | 834.89 | 1038.27 |
2026-05-03 | 238.09 | 94.23 | 108.97 | 131.20 | 174.97 | 358.40 | 512.75 | 632.27 | 782.60 |
2026-05-10 | 272.57 | 112.85 | 126.49 | 146.09 | 181.68 | 389.70 | 532.19 | 680.67 | 812.08 |
2026-05-17 | 209.88 | 77.14 | 89.50 | 103.87 | 150.54 | 317.19 | 472.42 | 573.78 | 770.54 |
2026-05-24 | 205.50 | 81.14 | 93.06 | 105.59 | 143.83 | 284.18 | 377.28 | 474.04 | 609.11 |
2026-05-31 | 167.28 | 61.22 | 72.68 | 84.58 | 114.60 | 242.99 | 357.14 | 432.75 | 666.36 |
2026-06-07 | 169.21 | 59.33 | 73.20 | 83.47 | 117.37 | 239.68 | 348.53 | 452.75 | 602.11 |
2026-06-14 | 148.55 | 51.36 | 62.98 | 73.45 | 99.86 | 214.21 | 319.90 | 439.77 | 573.46 |
2026-06-21 | 101.94 | 35.44 | 43.41 | 50.72 | 68.13 | 160.02 | 242.49 | 339.71 | 429.17 |
2026-06-28 | 115.53 | 36.83 | 41.12 | 52.63 | 73.50 | 174.43 | 271.74 | 349.71 | 423.77 |
2026-07-05 | 91.12 | 28.87 | 33.77 | 40.20 | 60.32 | 141.45 | 201.60 | 254.59 | 364.65 |
2026-07-12 | 75.53 | 26.87 | 31.83 | 37.94 | 50.70 | 107.60 | 160.35 | 209.00 | 258.87 |
2026-07-19 | 78.11 | 26.77 | 29.87 | 37.37 | 54.99 | 115.39 | 190.78 | 249.71 | 354.12 |
2026-07-26 | 84.23 | 27.45 | 31.28 | 38.38 | 56.12 | 136.48 | 217.33 | 293.22 | 440.03 |
2026-08-02 | 88.41 | 29.75 | 33.55 | 41.83 | 58.15 | 141.65 | 211.54 | 289.53 | 366.78 |
2026-08-09 | 81.61 | 26.15 | 28.76 | 35.40 | 54.02 | 126.77 | 196.10 | 300.51 | 383.68 |
2026-08-16 | 78.41 | 24.48 | 29.06 | 35.92 | 51.64 | 123.00 | 180.26 | 220.61 | 264.74 |
2026-08-23 | 71.87 | 22.08 | 26.55 | 32.77 | 45.54 | 113.98 | 182.05 | 251.03 | 308.87 |
2026-08-30 | 59.95 | 17.52 | 20.83 | 25.36 | 37.49 | 99.44 | 161.04 | 208.53 | 309.67 |
2026-09-06 | 76.41 | 20.15 | 24.68 | 31.23 | 46.32 | 140.47 | 219.28 | 286.37 | 436.86 |
2026-09-13 | 83.04 | 21.08 | 27.46 | 31.76 | 50.82 | 129.07 | 223.74 | 335.27 | 480.56 |
2026-09-20 | 76.95 | 17.59 | 20.94 | 26.30 | 44.24 | 130.81 | 229.55 | 350.19 | 535.27 |
2026-09-27 | 65.36 | 19.42 | 23.49 | 29.38 | 41.50 | 109.88 | 196.74 | 289.02 | 357.86 |
2026-10-04 | 65.36 | 19.42 | 23.49 | 29.38 | 41.50 | 109.88 | 196.74 | 289.02 | 357.86 |