Prediction 4235
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
2026 forecasts in SC
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 20.84 | 2.40 | 3.34 | 4.70 | 9.92 | 49.64 | 152.85 | 320.29 | 510.10 |
2025-10-12 | 21.58 | 2.88 | 3.82 | 5.82 | 10.42 | 49.61 | 119.34 | 280.00 | 586.24 |
2025-10-19 | 40.78 | 4.03 | 6.11 | 8.61 | 17.13 | 106.35 | 285.57 | 602.21 | 1039.65 |
2025-10-26 | 46.23 | 3.99 | 6.20 | 9.68 | 21.37 | 117.50 | 345.40 | 666.42 | 1105.20 |
2025-11-02 | 38.39 | 6.20 | 7.63 | 10.37 | 18.53 | 81.62 | 171.44 | 269.67 | 396.18 |
2025-11-09 | 57.31 | 5.33 | 8.06 | 12.91 | 24.75 | 154.28 | 382.11 | 600.52 | 1236.18 |
2025-11-16 | 64.73 | 7.83 | 9.86 | 16.77 | 30.50 | 149.06 | 501.77 | 769.07 | 1631.03 |
2025-11-23 | 54.24 | 7.82 | 9.96 | 13.77 | 25.68 | 124.72 | 293.13 | 476.22 | 955.20 |
2025-11-30 | 96.70 | 12.05 | 15.94 | 26.73 | 49.28 | 221.98 | 574.59 | 851.08 | 1429.92 |
2025-12-07 | 109.07 | 11.64 | 19.02 | 29.97 | 52.78 | 219.32 | 515.96 | 931.99 | 1462.90 |
2025-12-14 | 105.11 | 14.13 | 19.90 | 26.26 | 48.78 | 225.06 | 567.78 | 970.35 | 1703.03 |
2025-12-21 | 77.06 | 10.05 | 12.99 | 16.36 | 35.15 | 188.05 | 493.16 | 872.35 | 1510.18 |
2025-12-28 | 162.84 | 18.57 | 25.10 | 40.99 | 69.02 | 356.49 | 844.14 | 1876.08 | 3569.24 |
2026-01-04 | 215.63 | 22.51 | 28.98 | 45.63 | 93.39 | 469.71 | 1042.83 | 2204.70 | 3619.67 |
2026-01-11 | 276.80 | 35.30 | 46.70 | 68.51 | 127.39 | 712.24 | 1624.48 | 2664.61 | 5315.81 |
2026-01-18 | 311.60 | 37.73 | 51.13 | 78.52 | 136.15 | 697.65 | 1742.14 | 3457.01 | 4928.56 |
2026-01-25 | 435.28 | 53.14 | 78.94 | 116.06 | 222.24 | 1088.09 | 2220.53 | 4416.96 | 8910.00 |
2026-02-01 | 642.31 | 95.62 | 131.80 | 196.14 | 321.51 | 1372.43 | 2821.21 | 4808.96 | 9978.12 |
2026-02-08 | 948.41 | 157.43 | 190.96 | 264.09 | 441.73 | 2060.68 | 5315.79 | 8568.82 | 15581.61 |
2026-02-15 | 920.07 | 182.62 | 221.45 | 306.69 | 478.37 | 2188.25 | 4864.85 | 7693.24 | 13068.42 |
2026-02-22 | 1397.54 | 283.32 | 382.10 | 496.13 | 800.51 | 3026.53 | 5513.17 | 8366.66 | 15029.50 |
2026-03-01 | 1940.68 | 401.15 | 578.29 | 730.52 | 1124.04 | 4010.28 | 8003.51 | 11190.37 | 15044.55 |
2026-03-08 | 2855.86 | 533.89 | 680.99 | 853.46 | 1486.54 | 5367.17 | 11029.18 | 15811.07 | 26743.42 |
2026-03-15 | 3355.94 | 695.90 | 897.05 | 1181.83 | 1882.75 | 6192.20 | 10764.78 | 17001.50 | 25022.62 |
2026-03-22 | 4561.87 | 1072.02 | 1330.26 | 1722.85 | 2626.91 | 8299.75 | 15350.47 | 22001.65 | 35967.24 |
2026-03-29 | 4957.16 | 1255.49 | 1553.24 | 1880.92 | 2870.29 | 9435.78 | 18198.18 | 34258.11 | 52000.28 |
2026-04-05 | 5265.92 | 1097.70 | 1484.59 | 1962.17 | 3217.26 | 9895.80 | 17405.80 | 27361.72 | 37269.84 |
2026-04-12 | 5275.07 | 1132.19 | 1385.05 | 1879.36 | 3025.78 | 10342.65 | 22148.83 | 34216.57 | 61237.43 |
2026-04-19 | 4592.75 | 1153.96 | 1402.47 | 1815.47 | 2708.94 | 8263.65 | 17191.81 | 25076.47 | 37995.28 |
2026-04-26 | 4928.18 | 1140.29 | 1393.20 | 1741.84 | 2897.22 | 8357.41 | 16148.76 | 24617.12 | 39124.10 |
2026-05-03 | 4308.87 | 1050.25 | 1254.52 | 1597.93 | 2558.58 | 8047.92 | 16218.36 | 26025.14 | 47993.75 |
2026-05-10 | 3346.01 | 658.03 | 892.34 | 1191.82 | 1916.69 | 7352.22 | 16493.32 | 25136.63 | 37158.45 |
2026-05-17 | 1599.20 | 485.31 | 568.70 | 686.80 | 971.49 | 2820.94 | 4643.29 | 7000.84 | 11438.10 |
2026-05-24 | 1105.83 | 237.25 | 292.27 | 382.08 | 670.68 | 2046.22 | 4047.11 | 5949.79 | 9100.19 |
2026-05-31 | 673.65 | 153.71 | 194.89 | 236.56 | 407.78 | 1202.33 | 2333.34 | 3540.85 | 4498.35 |
2026-06-07 | 601.30 | 109.76 | 141.17 | 189.88 | 317.82 | 1251.00 | 2226.21 | 3546.95 | 4486.64 |
2026-06-14 | 465.99 | 72.47 | 102.02 | 148.46 | 242.09 | 1053.64 | 2095.44 | 3259.48 | 4973.58 |
2026-06-21 | 268.21 | 51.05 | 60.79 | 79.23 | 143.98 | 475.17 | 966.14 | 1475.63 | 2573.35 |
2026-06-28 | 173.21 | 20.30 | 27.71 | 39.56 | 80.12 | 363.72 | 838.98 | 1437.68 | 2787.69 |
2026-07-05 | 94.67 | 14.03 | 17.79 | 23.82 | 47.73 | 202.37 | 636.80 | 993.15 | 1484.86 |
2026-07-12 | 70.37 | 6.48 | 8.91 | 13.23 | 29.53 | 169.70 | 430.38 | 736.50 | 1275.15 |
2026-07-19 | 75.29 | 6.39 | 9.87 | 15.65 | 36.64 | 196.94 | 605.49 | 1126.02 | 1978.39 |
2026-07-26 | 47.44 | 6.33 | 8.34 | 12.52 | 22.08 | 138.04 | 324.41 | 739.22 | 981.54 |
2026-08-02 | 33.02 | 3.01 | 4.83 | 7.16 | 14.95 | 85.39 | 217.54 | 388.52 | 724.57 |
2026-08-09 | 32.39 | 3.63 | 4.97 | 6.88 | 14.34 | 78.51 | 178.43 | 328.42 | 751.88 |
2026-08-16 | 28.41 | 2.81 | 3.73 | 5.41 | 11.92 | 70.01 | 211.21 | 408.65 | 739.40 |
2026-08-23 | 23.82 | 1.78 | 2.45 | 4.63 | 9.24 | 74.34 | 229.73 | 432.58 | 1115.67 |
2026-08-30 | 20.52 | 1.86 | 3.03 | 4.29 | 8.72 | 56.25 | 168.35 | 385.57 | 766.80 |
2026-09-06 | 29.72 | 2.69 | 4.00 | 5.91 | 12.29 | 74.46 | 183.20 | 421.42 | 1049.50 |
2026-09-13 | 19.81 | 2.29 | 3.35 | 4.56 | 8.36 | 48.52 | 127.16 | 251.98 | 424.40 |
2026-09-20 | 23.07 | 2.80 | 3.77 | 5.57 | 9.68 | 51.50 | 131.54 | 270.17 | 427.67 |
2026-09-27 | 25.29 | 2.26 | 3.44 | 4.86 | 10.52 | 64.25 | 175.50 | 390.57 | 677.94 |
2026-10-04 | 25.29 | 2.26 | 3.44 | 4.86 | 10.52 | 64.25 | 175.50 | 390.57 | 677.94 |