Prediction 4236
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | ParanĂ¡ |
Description:
2026 forecasts in PR
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 44.96 | 7.80 | 9.90 | 14.26 | 23.53 | 108.94 | 217.21 | 377.94 | 626.27 |
2025-10-12 | 49.83 | 11.51 | 14.45 | 17.27 | 27.91 | 97.88 | 220.92 | 363.85 | 577.68 |
2025-10-19 | 104.51 | 16.53 | 21.01 | 31.07 | 57.93 | 237.35 | 552.00 | 941.46 | 1330.41 |
2025-10-26 | 120.89 | 21.32 | 26.69 | 37.54 | 63.11 | 240.30 | 496.56 | 926.83 | 1591.99 |
2025-11-02 | 81.36 | 18.27 | 22.18 | 30.30 | 46.66 | 167.78 | 355.94 | 489.36 | 774.80 |
2025-11-09 | 122.84 | 22.21 | 30.05 | 39.54 | 64.97 | 281.95 | 640.00 | 1153.41 | 1651.67 |
2025-11-16 | 148.44 | 22.03 | 34.16 | 46.39 | 81.01 | 321.39 | 819.59 | 1664.74 | 2773.65 |
2025-11-23 | 108.45 | 27.44 | 35.61 | 46.05 | 64.60 | 208.21 | 454.70 | 751.69 | 1364.98 |
2025-11-30 | 245.18 | 49.09 | 69.12 | 84.04 | 134.97 | 525.07 | 1114.17 | 1830.06 | 3278.10 |
2025-12-07 | 230.05 | 51.35 | 63.55 | 81.45 | 125.96 | 442.19 | 878.67 | 1576.85 | 2501.64 |
2025-12-14 | 245.77 | 42.77 | 51.11 | 72.37 | 123.63 | 438.80 | 914.60 | 1351.23 | 2235.41 |
2025-12-21 | 194.44 | 38.72 | 47.71 | 65.85 | 102.27 | 402.25 | 758.01 | 1393.10 | 1893.69 |
2025-12-28 | 376.71 | 73.07 | 100.29 | 131.92 | 201.19 | 797.70 | 1968.61 | 3409.64 | 6839.38 |
2026-01-04 | 420.00 | 96.41 | 120.35 | 144.75 | 238.07 | 832.77 | 1681.79 | 2711.42 | 4465.95 |
2026-01-11 | 612.56 | 105.97 | 133.90 | 183.76 | 323.18 | 1208.00 | 2433.45 | 5074.14 | 9361.77 |
2026-01-18 | 666.97 | 127.81 | 168.94 | 229.64 | 373.75 | 1422.94 | 2772.08 | 4349.39 | 6299.19 |
2026-01-25 | 925.82 | 203.33 | 236.96 | 331.56 | 520.64 | 1821.28 | 3903.06 | 6865.01 | 12043.60 |
2026-02-01 | 1361.62 | 284.57 | 362.44 | 462.33 | 799.94 | 2946.93 | 6186.99 | 10101.38 | 14416.53 |
2026-02-08 | 2031.59 | 434.84 | 557.95 | 761.94 | 1148.18 | 3887.25 | 7304.72 | 12077.40 | 19846.69 |
2026-02-15 | 2056.49 | 551.38 | 684.84 | 829.28 | 1201.11 | 3605.13 | 6044.77 | 9671.85 | 12457.75 |
2026-02-22 | 3359.55 | 979.23 | 1145.86 | 1391.16 | 2093.30 | 5632.03 | 8932.44 | 13026.43 | 18244.45 |
2026-03-01 | 4048.61 | 1239.19 | 1372.09 | 1783.69 | 2606.29 | 6215.71 | 11138.64 | 16987.79 | 21817.86 |
2026-03-08 | 5249.17 | 1602.60 | 1853.41 | 2339.93 | 3335.70 | 8328.75 | 15164.64 | 24239.30 | 36452.43 |
2026-03-15 | 6667.56 | 2135.56 | 2665.55 | 3092.80 | 4156.82 | 11373.48 | 17864.57 | 23554.52 | 36296.94 |
2026-03-22 | 8933.75 | 3016.87 | 3657.68 | 4312.90 | 5648.78 | 14148.69 | 21150.44 | 28810.44 | 36899.92 |
2026-03-29 | 10363.18 | 3375.03 | 4203.61 | 4920.44 | 6953.70 | 17738.52 | 27042.75 | 38690.34 | 54490.95 |
2026-04-05 | 9882.70 | 3416.70 | 3862.72 | 4490.85 | 6489.34 | 15233.28 | 22802.95 | 34435.23 | 45252.67 |
2026-04-12 | 10826.15 | 3682.86 | 4406.95 | 5200.15 | 7145.81 | 16939.45 | 25701.01 | 34767.33 | 53970.96 |
2026-04-19 | 9662.04 | 3170.04 | 3713.12 | 4642.96 | 6209.77 | 13813.67 | 22791.39 | 29792.39 | 39914.82 |
2026-04-26 | 9232.83 | 2805.31 | 3375.20 | 4260.98 | 6137.47 | 14823.00 | 23398.08 | 34986.13 | 45593.90 |
2026-05-03 | 8200.44 | 2638.96 | 3226.06 | 3950.76 | 5257.75 | 12989.72 | 20458.55 | 25978.52 | 33182.84 |
2026-05-10 | 7103.52 | 2284.85 | 2555.89 | 3171.77 | 4368.78 | 11472.95 | 19354.15 | 31847.51 | 43391.81 |
2026-05-17 | 3111.73 | 1080.77 | 1279.84 | 1488.53 | 2089.91 | 4812.90 | 7528.11 | 10474.00 | 13413.03 |
2026-05-24 | 1983.35 | 691.52 | 785.36 | 961.17 | 1370.45 | 2950.07 | 4943.20 | 7216.55 | 9249.04 |
2026-05-31 | 1321.66 | 406.23 | 467.31 | 618.64 | 875.94 | 2076.71 | 3408.24 | 5030.50 | 8409.36 |
2026-06-07 | 1233.28 | 351.86 | 457.17 | 554.93 | 818.57 | 1976.96 | 3339.97 | 4895.12 | 6045.14 |
2026-06-14 | 937.04 | 226.05 | 281.19 | 362.41 | 533.32 | 1585.96 | 3282.55 | 5002.00 | 7320.47 |
2026-06-21 | 525.63 | 123.46 | 159.04 | 195.73 | 292.63 | 1017.24 | 2167.86 | 3272.21 | 4691.87 |
2026-06-28 | 363.46 | 81.79 | 100.95 | 140.33 | 220.41 | 659.54 | 1125.09 | 1797.38 | 3106.15 |
2026-07-05 | 234.26 | 45.64 | 55.43 | 72.10 | 121.47 | 438.00 | 890.97 | 1279.87 | 1818.76 |
2026-07-12 | 180.92 | 26.79 | 34.33 | 52.69 | 93.37 | 394.72 | 830.64 | 1771.42 | 2867.40 |
2026-07-19 | 206.37 | 34.80 | 41.50 | 52.78 | 99.24 | 437.29 | 930.49 | 1912.47 | 4427.09 |
2026-07-26 | 130.81 | 21.40 | 28.92 | 41.93 | 66.81 | 268.57 | 522.66 | 1107.63 | 1561.70 |
2026-08-02 | 100.96 | 14.91 | 19.02 | 25.58 | 48.08 | 207.90 | 474.92 | 874.33 | 1605.47 |
2026-08-09 | 69.71 | 13.13 | 19.20 | 23.39 | 36.37 | 137.28 | 294.76 | 452.23 | 953.49 |
2026-08-16 | 66.92 | 8.45 | 14.20 | 20.42 | 34.12 | 144.39 | 370.89 | 663.91 | 1188.82 |
2026-08-23 | 52.49 | 6.95 | 9.57 | 13.92 | 24.73 | 130.54 | 374.49 | 598.67 | 1271.48 |
2026-08-30 | 58.31 | 7.46 | 10.90 | 13.97 | 26.37 | 144.15 | 319.63 | 729.02 | 1551.01 |
2026-09-06 | 71.91 | 9.01 | 13.22 | 19.78 | 33.99 | 177.20 | 545.95 | 891.41 | 3087.84 |
2026-09-13 | 52.75 | 8.16 | 10.53 | 15.66 | 24.14 | 120.17 | 267.08 | 408.40 | 900.93 |
2026-09-20 | 51.89 | 8.22 | 11.19 | 14.43 | 25.84 | 119.94 | 267.40 | 526.85 | 801.25 |
2026-09-27 | 59.53 | 9.12 | 11.28 | 16.13 | 31.38 | 123.74 | 301.81 | 666.25 | 978.50 |
2026-10-04 | 59.53 | 9.12 | 11.28 | 16.13 | 31.38 | 123.74 | 301.81 | 666.25 | 978.50 |