Prediction 4237
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
2026 forecasts in RS
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 24.70 | 3.80 | 4.87 | 6.41 | 10.64 | 55.04 | 138.19 | 262.81 | 675.32 |
2025-10-12 | 25.44 | 4.82 | 5.61 | 8.14 | 13.38 | 46.74 | 103.30 | 159.81 | 257.33 |
2025-10-19 | 43.65 | 6.61 | 8.54 | 11.79 | 22.29 | 98.49 | 206.58 | 390.76 | 1084.78 |
2025-10-26 | 51.98 | 7.79 | 10.55 | 13.75 | 23.99 | 116.26 | 307.83 | 522.86 | 1050.62 |
2025-11-02 | 32.40 | 8.02 | 10.38 | 12.98 | 19.84 | 63.00 | 135.70 | 229.84 | 438.44 |
2025-11-09 | 59.09 | 8.30 | 11.30 | 16.13 | 30.99 | 121.30 | 287.75 | 640.21 | 1103.81 |
2025-11-16 | 65.10 | 10.63 | 12.55 | 17.61 | 31.32 | 150.03 | 343.89 | 694.15 | 1277.57 |
2025-11-23 | 48.32 | 11.57 | 13.62 | 17.65 | 28.97 | 98.01 | 199.50 | 368.26 | 770.07 |
2025-11-30 | 98.99 | 20.61 | 27.35 | 36.04 | 59.56 | 204.63 | 420.33 | 660.30 | 915.47 |
2025-12-07 | 109.63 | 17.38 | 23.74 | 30.32 | 53.37 | 231.89 | 454.40 | 741.78 | 1275.22 |
2025-12-14 | 101.84 | 18.03 | 24.55 | 35.01 | 55.70 | 210.43 | 406.53 | 587.17 | 1121.63 |
2025-12-21 | 75.70 | 14.62 | 18.73 | 23.11 | 40.10 | 141.55 | 375.98 | 657.21 | 1169.17 |
2025-12-28 | 163.20 | 32.54 | 42.71 | 57.84 | 91.30 | 294.55 | 666.71 | 1040.44 | 1476.47 |
2026-01-04 | 183.17 | 35.14 | 41.58 | 56.24 | 96.59 | 375.45 | 816.28 | 1468.05 | 2367.89 |
2026-01-11 | 266.29 | 53.42 | 67.31 | 85.63 | 148.26 | 545.96 | 1185.79 | 2526.54 | 4833.43 |
2026-01-18 | 285.54 | 50.17 | 63.86 | 95.00 | 143.10 | 675.12 | 1578.02 | 2790.67 | 4684.81 |
2026-01-25 | 428.45 | 80.84 | 95.85 | 131.28 | 225.66 | 905.25 | 2024.11 | 3599.24 | 6617.91 |
2026-02-01 | 666.86 | 136.28 | 170.01 | 222.25 | 342.43 | 1343.21 | 2971.56 | 4555.35 | 7130.59 |
2026-02-08 | 871.25 | 213.62 | 263.91 | 318.88 | 491.10 | 1547.54 | 2906.74 | 4025.89 | 6125.12 |
2026-02-15 | 949.10 | 248.36 | 282.66 | 353.55 | 513.44 | 1643.50 | 3291.20 | 6278.11 | 8106.59 |
2026-02-22 | 1322.00 | 315.22 | 382.09 | 542.80 | 782.52 | 2231.03 | 4507.22 | 7371.14 | 10100.00 |
2026-03-01 | 1528.33 | 462.48 | 533.43 | 631.42 | 934.67 | 2636.89 | 4556.87 | 6225.51 | 11255.90 |
2026-03-08 | 2406.20 | 613.53 | 727.77 | 859.18 | 1478.23 | 4366.35 | 7703.11 | 11536.98 | 18418.91 |
2026-03-15 | 2633.60 | 833.12 | 916.96 | 1145.68 | 1753.04 | 4700.13 | 7652.94 | 11334.69 | 17730.88 |
2026-03-22 | 3794.75 | 1146.09 | 1346.77 | 1676.54 | 2537.42 | 6412.25 | 10438.79 | 13702.99 | 20704.43 |
2026-03-29 | 4139.03 | 1424.71 | 1559.04 | 1974.15 | 2801.70 | 7195.44 | 12222.86 | 18419.87 | 26205.22 |
2026-04-05 | 4257.65 | 1444.13 | 1672.33 | 1966.87 | 2953.20 | 7084.13 | 11226.21 | 14203.54 | 17596.98 |
2026-04-12 | 4415.24 | 1521.24 | 1739.62 | 2080.00 | 2902.07 | 6833.28 | 10942.65 | 13790.72 | 18595.56 |
2026-04-19 | 3994.55 | 1294.58 | 1495.48 | 1785.37 | 2588.52 | 6724.51 | 11212.90 | 16792.53 | 19438.59 |
2026-04-26 | 3998.19 | 1156.74 | 1395.32 | 1747.69 | 2530.78 | 6825.42 | 10495.65 | 15268.98 | 22338.12 |
2026-05-03 | 3583.83 | 1231.89 | 1422.27 | 1605.49 | 2306.65 | 5585.70 | 9555.55 | 13708.72 | 18404.80 |
2026-05-10 | 2709.64 | 810.43 | 947.71 | 1219.16 | 1717.47 | 5150.78 | 9417.48 | 13829.52 | 22652.32 |
2026-05-17 | 1436.18 | 443.51 | 496.60 | 627.65 | 936.17 | 2334.54 | 3836.66 | 5458.41 | 7415.57 |
2026-05-24 | 851.64 | 255.36 | 315.09 | 377.77 | 555.11 | 1413.09 | 2498.80 | 3653.07 | 4584.61 |
2026-05-31 | 546.62 | 176.07 | 195.50 | 256.35 | 371.04 | 886.07 | 1480.31 | 1918.28 | 2391.82 |
2026-06-07 | 530.03 | 151.17 | 169.97 | 214.21 | 301.29 | 823.47 | 1381.54 | 2191.93 | 3507.13 |
2026-06-14 | 388.42 | 105.01 | 123.24 | 156.73 | 218.83 | 767.73 | 1336.91 | 2202.94 | 3136.90 |
2026-06-21 | 213.44 | 50.37 | 63.12 | 79.37 | 127.07 | 404.08 | 796.51 | 1351.13 | 1819.61 |
2026-06-28 | 146.80 | 35.66 | 43.51 | 54.34 | 83.11 | 275.65 | 628.55 | 840.07 | 1237.50 |
2026-07-05 | 87.47 | 17.24 | 21.55 | 29.25 | 46.90 | 192.92 | 362.36 | 665.34 | 974.26 |
2026-07-12 | 73.43 | 10.98 | 14.33 | 22.16 | 35.50 | 165.87 | 398.16 | 625.99 | 1197.31 |
2026-07-19 | 78.28 | 12.89 | 15.93 | 23.07 | 41.09 | 168.21 | 524.36 | 974.63 | 1529.20 |
2026-07-26 | 56.34 | 10.46 | 13.49 | 17.57 | 28.56 | 115.51 | 259.37 | 375.28 | 741.48 |
2026-08-02 | 40.02 | 5.93 | 7.56 | 10.86 | 20.23 | 93.11 | 241.51 | 412.61 | 698.61 |
2026-08-09 | 29.43 | 5.27 | 7.72 | 9.48 | 15.28 | 65.73 | 151.70 | 247.91 | 386.47 |
2026-08-16 | 27.86 | 5.00 | 6.33 | 7.71 | 13.78 | 69.39 | 149.94 | 304.65 | 585.27 |
2026-08-23 | 23.56 | 3.25 | 4.32 | 5.91 | 11.40 | 53.04 | 137.61 | 329.90 | 728.57 |
2026-08-30 | 19.22 | 3.82 | 4.82 | 6.21 | 9.76 | 40.97 | 105.34 | 219.59 | 410.79 |
2026-09-06 | 29.85 | 4.30 | 5.46 | 7.08 | 14.48 | 68.36 | 144.25 | 293.81 | 746.72 |
2026-09-13 | 23.03 | 3.43 | 5.36 | 6.96 | 11.25 | 44.77 | 93.57 | 210.02 | 314.56 |
2026-09-20 | 24.83 | 3.72 | 4.59 | 6.65 | 11.84 | 56.09 | 136.47 | 232.35 | 481.76 |
2026-09-27 | 24.40 | 3.42 | 4.88 | 6.69 | 12.74 | 50.44 | 115.80 | 192.31 | 277.23 |
2026-10-04 | 24.40 | 3.42 | 4.88 | 6.69 | 12.74 | 50.44 | 115.80 | 192.31 | 277.23 |