Prediction 4238
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
2026 forecasts in SP
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 1100.91 | 616.52 | 668.25 | 732.55 | 885.13 | 1503.39 | 1978.48 | 2465.05 | 2791.83 |
2025-10-12 | 1310.38 | 726.52 | 786.90 | 871.73 | 1062.15 | 1701.69 | 2375.90 | 2937.52 | 4009.38 |
2025-10-19 | 1266.36 | 685.54 | 734.25 | 839.76 | 1005.59 | 1623.82 | 2170.25 | 2598.58 | 3355.42 |
2025-10-26 | 1320.38 | 754.87 | 797.26 | 879.70 | 1064.74 | 1693.50 | 2107.52 | 2675.40 | 3210.72 |
2025-11-02 | 1509.49 | 842.14 | 921.67 | 1014.80 | 1227.38 | 1997.97 | 2677.27 | 3152.78 | 4540.61 |
2025-11-09 | 1633.32 | 926.44 | 983.34 | 1092.37 | 1322.99 | 2203.84 | 2972.31 | 3609.84 | 4149.86 |
2025-11-16 | 2365.02 | 1271.12 | 1373.42 | 1557.79 | 1909.15 | 3171.68 | 4268.53 | 4929.71 | 6037.46 |
2025-11-23 | 2574.83 | 1467.95 | 1544.97 | 1752.80 | 2106.62 | 3332.68 | 4351.97 | 5157.09 | 6303.77 |
2025-11-30 | 3074.62 | 1561.09 | 1725.63 | 1927.62 | 2388.90 | 3905.61 | 4933.00 | 6434.40 | 8852.60 |
2025-12-07 | 3463.61 | 1758.35 | 1949.86 | 2206.05 | 2724.99 | 4774.47 | 6589.13 | 8770.09 | 13072.10 |
2025-12-14 | 2666.10 | 1358.39 | 1497.97 | 1712.35 | 2075.28 | 3618.36 | 4755.45 | 7212.16 | 9254.32 |
2025-12-21 | 2598.29 | 1260.24 | 1382.09 | 1582.87 | 1972.84 | 3627.96 | 4842.19 | 5684.41 | 7147.80 |
2025-12-28 | 6059.69 | 3260.03 | 3586.09 | 3906.69 | 4600.36 | 8124.00 | 12185.94 | 15127.02 | 19034.12 |
2026-01-04 | 7942.25 | 4028.06 | 4394.23 | 4990.91 | 6267.18 | 10495.36 | 14782.31 | 17390.75 | 21793.26 |
2026-01-11 | 10690.69 | 5650.03 | 6283.23 | 6988.85 | 8536.96 | 14219.14 | 20422.87 | 26085.18 | 35435.30 |
2026-01-18 | 13603.52 | 7372.30 | 8413.50 | 9222.84 | 11267.15 | 17621.01 | 23761.61 | 28690.90 | 40979.63 |
2026-01-25 | 16770.60 | 9471.13 | 10013.56 | 11003.85 | 13131.18 | 21525.38 | 30249.25 | 37556.26 | 47455.93 |
2026-02-01 | 20290.31 | 10821.34 | 12574.62 | 13240.64 | 15758.96 | 25604.56 | 34665.65 | 42182.92 | 55121.91 |
2026-02-08 | 23537.04 | 13692.77 | 14880.65 | 15982.76 | 18939.40 | 30514.20 | 41211.01 | 52070.83 | 65670.04 |
2026-02-15 | 25006.92 | 14091.46 | 15610.43 | 17356.74 | 20538.68 | 32891.69 | 43235.25 | 54489.19 | 65396.99 |
2026-02-22 | 28653.40 | 16625.62 | 17886.34 | 19439.89 | 22937.50 | 38366.99 | 51395.83 | 68232.89 | 92155.08 |
2026-03-01 | 29463.43 | 17466.54 | 19214.46 | 21120.61 | 24607.40 | 37059.55 | 47443.77 | 57243.28 | 66733.37 |
2026-03-08 | 33258.37 | 20390.40 | 21512.08 | 23666.60 | 27366.67 | 42387.81 | 55466.25 | 64075.69 | 81395.49 |
2026-03-15 | 33961.91 | 21600.92 | 22686.13 | 24973.20 | 28416.63 | 42287.04 | 53352.98 | 66665.56 | 80550.51 |
2026-03-22 | 30603.18 | 19402.11 | 20681.44 | 22636.83 | 25397.18 | 37155.50 | 47456.31 | 57111.76 | 69628.31 |
2026-03-29 | 31237.27 | 20318.08 | 21591.16 | 23126.71 | 26491.78 | 38320.33 | 47007.91 | 56190.36 | 70343.15 |
2026-04-05 | 30359.39 | 19171.70 | 20706.38 | 22346.12 | 25735.64 | 36670.27 | 45290.66 | 56676.96 | 63740.20 |
2026-04-12 | 26868.85 | 16633.47 | 18247.66 | 20053.25 | 23078.60 | 32186.04 | 40839.00 | 49811.79 | 55395.96 |
2026-04-19 | 25874.20 | 16484.08 | 17596.11 | 18564.72 | 21465.29 | 31466.03 | 39776.74 | 46349.11 | 57257.02 |
2026-04-26 | 24005.87 | 15137.13 | 15929.70 | 17450.53 | 20445.83 | 29154.85 | 36226.86 | 41203.02 | 48023.12 |
2026-05-03 | 21887.48 | 13503.16 | 14300.95 | 15655.92 | 18465.01 | 26489.18 | 33926.87 | 38039.75 | 45073.80 |
2026-05-10 | 17494.47 | 11014.40 | 11954.06 | 12709.71 | 14847.78 | 21004.45 | 25970.05 | 30824.99 | 34558.91 |
2026-05-17 | 13783.65 | 8315.69 | 9061.63 | 9803.17 | 11426.21 | 16660.67 | 20338.74 | 23177.18 | 27272.38 |
2026-05-24 | 9805.60 | 6314.30 | 6689.13 | 7144.28 | 8123.03 | 12185.13 | 15359.64 | 17963.43 | 20962.83 |
2026-05-31 | 7736.73 | 4597.20 | 5000.44 | 5357.95 | 6367.01 | 9670.21 | 12128.36 | 13758.62 | 16750.79 |
2026-06-07 | 6052.66 | 3529.37 | 3810.02 | 4221.17 | 4924.19 | 7544.05 | 9551.17 | 11372.15 | 13029.36 |
2026-06-14 | 4609.00 | 2604.25 | 2907.38 | 3165.79 | 3694.60 | 5906.63 | 7744.60 | 9083.18 | 12359.95 |
2026-06-21 | 2842.01 | 1311.07 | 1438.41 | 1618.37 | 2152.47 | 3922.38 | 5733.12 | 7697.36 | 9194.42 |
2026-06-28 | 2236.81 | 1121.45 | 1235.38 | 1375.84 | 1696.67 | 2994.33 | 3989.77 | 4921.27 | 6185.73 |
2026-07-05 | 1677.79 | 821.70 | 898.20 | 993.21 | 1235.83 | 2315.36 | 3243.92 | 4704.56 | 5522.17 |
2026-07-12 | 1519.23 | 652.44 | 736.27 | 886.43 | 1158.45 | 2234.26 | 3346.67 | 4387.99 | 6032.32 |
2026-07-19 | 1235.16 | 539.92 | 607.73 | 686.60 | 876.36 | 1763.30 | 2843.25 | 3882.59 | 5243.40 |
2026-07-26 | 1259.34 | 479.68 | 546.83 | 668.50 | 833.94 | 1977.60 | 3008.92 | 3799.71 | 4896.87 |
2026-08-02 | 1034.20 | 428.84 | 482.60 | 562.13 | 760.30 | 1544.95 | 2349.58 | 3212.17 | 5056.32 |
2026-08-09 | 1063.75 | 426.94 | 508.47 | 583.39 | 759.23 | 1586.47 | 2684.63 | 3736.76 | 5564.70 |
2026-08-16 | 886.17 | 359.72 | 407.81 | 497.36 | 638.83 | 1357.26 | 2625.85 | 3436.39 | 4841.80 |
2026-08-23 | 808.02 | 320.65 | 364.42 | 430.70 | 556.06 | 1245.61 | 2041.95 | 3277.14 | 4539.10 |
2026-08-30 | 976.59 | 346.66 | 398.87 | 488.49 | 642.24 | 1511.66 | 2304.84 | 3325.16 | 5698.92 |
2026-09-06 | 1008.71 | 346.62 | 404.78 | 496.36 | 656.14 | 1643.04 | 2706.68 | 3984.26 | 4646.46 |
2026-09-13 | 893.14 | 327.45 | 381.89 | 448.97 | 644.38 | 1460.28 | 2362.87 | 3688.19 | 5812.01 |
2026-09-20 | 918.80 | 350.34 | 419.83 | 468.70 | 614.34 | 1356.85 | 2041.46 | 2882.65 | 3788.62 |
2026-09-27 | 881.87 | 345.35 | 383.92 | 435.28 | 591.46 | 1458.42 | 2386.52 | 3027.99 | 5075.90 |
2026-10-04 | 881.87 | 345.35 | 383.92 | 435.28 | 591.46 | 1458.42 | 2386.52 | 3027.99 | 5075.90 |