Prediction 4240
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
2026 forecasts in RJ
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 47.44 | 12.17 | 15.54 | 19.95 | 30.64 | 76.64 | 125.23 | 185.87 | 293.60 |
2025-10-12 | 62.47 | 15.01 | 18.73 | 23.43 | 36.63 | 107.59 | 186.85 | 313.80 | 456.73 |
2025-10-19 | 52.58 | 14.65 | 17.68 | 21.10 | 32.54 | 86.05 | 163.83 | 225.08 | 371.62 |
2025-10-26 | 58.09 | 13.45 | 16.97 | 21.47 | 34.47 | 96.60 | 188.67 | 292.15 | 400.78 |
2025-11-02 | 61.06 | 15.41 | 19.92 | 26.57 | 39.06 | 101.98 | 189.40 | 249.52 | 359.48 |
2025-11-09 | 65.77 | 16.38 | 21.05 | 25.44 | 39.83 | 114.56 | 169.71 | 223.32 | 351.27 |
2025-11-16 | 99.88 | 23.80 | 28.42 | 39.43 | 60.72 | 163.13 | 292.77 | 392.42 | 568.26 |
2025-11-23 | 110.73 | 27.62 | 34.02 | 44.37 | 68.02 | 178.35 | 293.56 | 417.81 | 621.27 |
2025-11-30 | 118.52 | 28.78 | 35.10 | 43.81 | 69.93 | 201.74 | 378.81 | 553.49 | 762.12 |
2025-12-07 | 139.13 | 31.33 | 38.04 | 48.13 | 76.98 | 242.83 | 496.20 | 798.54 | 1030.16 |
2025-12-14 | 92.37 | 21.84 | 28.21 | 35.66 | 53.42 | 161.19 | 244.22 | 347.69 | 533.56 |
2025-12-21 | 77.66 | 15.95 | 20.73 | 25.74 | 42.16 | 134.70 | 232.10 | 307.70 | 475.32 |
2025-12-28 | 235.18 | 50.67 | 59.30 | 75.62 | 122.65 | 447.72 | 759.44 | 1066.50 | 1542.79 |
2026-01-04 | 298.39 | 74.63 | 87.61 | 107.94 | 179.47 | 512.60 | 865.19 | 1211.03 | 1670.91 |
2026-01-11 | 406.12 | 88.10 | 103.32 | 127.04 | 219.93 | 690.00 | 1090.63 | 1598.21 | 2292.10 |
2026-01-18 | 497.50 | 118.40 | 141.22 | 182.46 | 297.16 | 888.21 | 1535.67 | 2658.48 | 4234.92 |
2026-01-25 | 637.40 | 164.95 | 203.13 | 250.00 | 358.14 | 1157.06 | 2112.17 | 3217.14 | 4024.99 |
2026-02-01 | 771.37 | 196.89 | 229.33 | 296.48 | 454.10 | 1419.11 | 2472.41 | 3468.65 | 4927.60 |
2026-02-08 | 996.07 | 244.96 | 326.36 | 374.41 | 563.17 | 1722.11 | 2932.36 | 4324.00 | 5909.17 |
2026-02-15 | 1027.58 | 252.11 | 297.19 | 389.66 | 600.45 | 1968.73 | 3442.66 | 5349.47 | 6924.41 |
2026-02-22 | 1131.95 | 258.52 | 332.61 | 432.54 | 660.58 | 1946.97 | 3839.64 | 5846.18 | 8063.02 |
2026-03-01 | 1200.48 | 310.41 | 372.25 | 495.82 | 713.31 | 1935.24 | 3504.35 | 4926.90 | 7310.36 |
2026-03-08 | 1464.42 | 389.68 | 449.65 | 570.99 | 890.59 | 2360.30 | 3817.40 | 5262.44 | 8131.76 |
2026-03-15 | 1522.94 | 539.40 | 624.23 | 745.31 | 1011.13 | 2440.03 | 3632.76 | 5253.88 | 6235.54 |
2026-03-22 | 1521.85 | 493.02 | 560.35 | 705.16 | 999.99 | 2442.02 | 3593.98 | 4742.83 | 6660.93 |
2026-03-29 | 1636.80 | 517.61 | 628.85 | 786.48 | 1082.70 | 2382.14 | 3533.71 | 4726.60 | 7114.66 |
2026-04-05 | 1721.42 | 622.31 | 683.42 | 842.43 | 1188.19 | 2467.26 | 3888.06 | 4744.99 | 6482.47 |
2026-04-12 | 1582.31 | 508.93 | 607.94 | 818.04 | 1062.39 | 2452.00 | 3809.59 | 4596.52 | 6406.39 |
2026-04-19 | 1514.95 | 524.95 | 643.10 | 769.06 | 1019.93 | 2145.69 | 3415.92 | 4345.92 | 5956.59 |
2026-04-26 | 1496.55 | 519.02 | 603.82 | 726.15 | 1038.06 | 2247.51 | 3488.02 | 4449.38 | 6102.22 |
2026-05-03 | 1419.29 | 522.84 | 638.04 | 745.03 | 1002.55 | 2036.72 | 3143.56 | 3772.71 | 5013.44 |
2026-05-10 | 1101.71 | 378.04 | 453.69 | 561.44 | 751.46 | 1683.05 | 2418.03 | 3247.21 | 3979.19 |
2026-05-17 | 877.98 | 315.84 | 365.40 | 460.09 | 625.01 | 1368.20 | 1876.93 | 2343.97 | 2830.13 |
2026-05-24 | 713.12 | 241.83 | 276.45 | 348.63 | 483.05 | 1064.91 | 1653.04 | 2214.02 | 2924.30 |
2026-05-31 | 563.07 | 203.62 | 224.65 | 280.66 | 377.64 | 844.57 | 1264.06 | 1707.93 | 2171.62 |
2026-06-07 | 423.14 | 148.21 | 169.48 | 207.71 | 287.64 | 631.40 | 906.87 | 1198.72 | 1340.85 |
2026-06-14 | 279.86 | 98.07 | 115.66 | 144.33 | 200.51 | 426.26 | 651.28 | 916.58 | 1052.20 |
2026-06-21 | 207.46 | 47.04 | 68.51 | 84.17 | 128.14 | 336.83 | 579.11 | 841.96 | 1085.33 |
2026-06-28 | 157.74 | 42.69 | 50.85 | 60.79 | 96.06 | 260.29 | 462.61 | 654.85 | 906.41 |
2026-07-05 | 110.76 | 27.68 | 34.07 | 46.16 | 69.13 | 178.01 | 302.66 | 422.75 | 510.04 |
2026-07-12 | 90.19 | 21.25 | 28.29 | 34.92 | 52.01 | 157.90 | 280.70 | 402.07 | 659.39 |
2026-07-19 | 79.94 | 18.42 | 22.64 | 31.33 | 51.04 | 153.46 | 264.83 | 390.83 | 547.99 |
2026-07-26 | 71.77 | 15.03 | 19.34 | 23.44 | 38.49 | 134.22 | 244.12 | 377.81 | 570.04 |
2026-08-02 | 57.92 | 11.27 | 13.75 | 20.45 | 32.07 | 111.76 | 201.06 | 305.39 | 538.61 |
2026-08-09 | 50.02 | 9.98 | 14.07 | 18.30 | 28.64 | 91.18 | 162.73 | 257.72 | 358.68 |
2026-08-16 | 50.41 | 10.89 | 14.25 | 18.26 | 28.24 | 99.06 | 170.61 | 292.17 | 472.72 |
2026-08-23 | 41.61 | 9.34 | 11.08 | 14.39 | 21.67 | 74.89 | 148.91 | 250.96 | 382.90 |
2026-08-30 | 41.86 | 8.59 | 11.55 | 15.02 | 24.69 | 82.07 | 159.70 | 263.99 | 359.66 |
2026-09-06 | 53.92 | 10.40 | 12.62 | 17.81 | 28.98 | 121.68 | 227.36 | 400.97 | 553.23 |
2026-09-13 | 47.14 | 9.99 | 11.75 | 16.75 | 27.30 | 92.08 | 186.08 | 276.85 | 477.20 |
2026-09-20 | 49.69 | 9.53 | 13.13 | 17.41 | 28.26 | 103.25 | 212.20 | 364.25 | 535.88 |
2026-09-27 | 51.70 | 8.36 | 11.71 | 15.44 | 26.87 | 98.97 | 241.91 | 339.50 | 494.45 |
2026-10-04 | 51.70 | 8.36 | 11.71 | 15.44 | 26.87 | 98.97 | 241.91 | 339.50 | 494.45 |