Prediction 4241
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | EspĂrito Santo |
Description:
2026 forecasts in ES
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 32.80 | 5.50 | 6.83 | 9.78 | 17.46 | 63.32 | 115.44 | 168.90 | 251.81 |
2025-10-12 | 40.33 | 6.13 | 8.21 | 12.12 | 20.73 | 77.06 | 156.82 | 236.22 | 317.77 |
2025-10-19 | 36.13 | 7.12 | 8.77 | 12.42 | 19.63 | 68.09 | 127.78 | 165.00 | 216.91 |
2025-10-26 | 38.79 | 6.33 | 8.32 | 11.60 | 21.58 | 75.26 | 127.22 | 178.19 | 231.43 |
2025-11-02 | 43.44 | 6.94 | 8.64 | 13.49 | 22.47 | 84.43 | 138.39 | 209.62 | 324.07 |
2025-11-09 | 49.65 | 8.31 | 10.18 | 14.70 | 26.66 | 87.54 | 163.93 | 247.00 | 321.38 |
2025-11-16 | 69.03 | 11.22 | 15.71 | 20.92 | 36.91 | 125.88 | 232.07 | 315.16 | 439.88 |
2025-11-23 | 68.94 | 13.94 | 18.05 | 23.47 | 39.98 | 126.57 | 222.43 | 356.86 | 499.71 |
2025-11-30 | 89.68 | 11.91 | 19.07 | 25.19 | 43.81 | 169.77 | 315.41 | 503.04 | 802.05 |
2025-12-07 | 95.35 | 13.71 | 20.64 | 29.08 | 47.06 | 186.62 | 320.93 | 426.56 | 586.80 |
2025-12-14 | 63.52 | 10.64 | 13.03 | 18.38 | 32.44 | 122.14 | 230.33 | 328.32 | 530.65 |
2025-12-21 | 51.07 | 8.52 | 10.71 | 15.56 | 27.65 | 109.61 | 210.51 | 355.03 | 488.31 |
2025-12-28 | 154.08 | 23.24 | 31.69 | 43.44 | 74.28 | 282.75 | 496.66 | 782.14 | 1655.30 |
2026-01-04 | 184.18 | 36.82 | 42.74 | 58.46 | 100.19 | 386.57 | 696.59 | 1098.47 | 1862.23 |
2026-01-11 | 258.52 | 36.63 | 50.96 | 75.70 | 128.60 | 512.18 | 931.79 | 1403.42 | 1985.05 |
2026-01-18 | 342.03 | 57.18 | 72.24 | 90.51 | 181.63 | 694.76 | 1245.80 | 1859.05 | 3102.43 |
2026-01-25 | 469.33 | 75.98 | 104.54 | 159.62 | 252.46 | 857.81 | 1708.85 | 2480.72 | 3345.57 |
2026-02-01 | 536.35 | 96.58 | 125.64 | 186.62 | 310.77 | 1113.44 | 2370.88 | 3374.67 | 4131.60 |
2026-02-08 | 708.64 | 135.03 | 175.56 | 249.19 | 400.44 | 1198.48 | 2063.13 | 3029.73 | 4367.77 |
2026-02-15 | 747.55 | 134.55 | 167.30 | 227.74 | 423.55 | 1336.66 | 2884.76 | 4905.21 | 6514.71 |
2026-02-22 | 821.85 | 157.81 | 198.81 | 272.84 | 469.85 | 1589.62 | 2750.73 | 3991.01 | 5383.01 |
2026-03-01 | 877.41 | 168.82 | 218.97 | 307.48 | 501.46 | 1502.49 | 2483.14 | 3486.90 | 4743.85 |
2026-03-08 | 994.80 | 239.18 | 293.71 | 370.05 | 578.49 | 1760.93 | 3061.66 | 4299.06 | 5839.52 |
2026-03-15 | 1069.41 | 223.93 | 282.12 | 380.41 | 617.66 | 1766.51 | 2982.44 | 3863.98 | 5346.11 |
2026-03-22 | 836.54 | 215.15 | 267.79 | 338.67 | 553.47 | 1553.62 | 2537.93 | 3206.82 | 5454.23 |
2026-03-29 | 954.03 | 234.71 | 293.41 | 369.06 | 568.81 | 1591.39 | 2794.40 | 3858.86 | 4917.41 |
2026-04-05 | 973.90 | 232.49 | 294.31 | 415.41 | 631.50 | 1751.14 | 2927.97 | 3790.00 | 4679.34 |
2026-04-12 | 862.34 | 221.49 | 286.64 | 357.52 | 519.73 | 1552.84 | 2438.76 | 3069.69 | 4066.69 |
2026-04-19 | 837.73 | 239.63 | 281.87 | 373.61 | 530.19 | 1399.50 | 2450.08 | 3303.90 | 4155.55 |
2026-04-26 | 828.31 | 188.57 | 245.62 | 316.31 | 523.03 | 1431.75 | 2178.14 | 2928.00 | 3615.06 |
2026-05-03 | 768.30 | 191.18 | 251.60 | 318.68 | 482.19 | 1280.99 | 1916.05 | 2500.56 | 3281.79 |
2026-05-10 | 614.49 | 165.09 | 200.34 | 282.11 | 392.33 | 977.60 | 1477.64 | 2054.89 | 2742.60 |
2026-05-17 | 484.10 | 121.00 | 148.45 | 178.33 | 278.82 | 803.74 | 1276.79 | 1761.28 | 2297.48 |
2026-05-24 | 362.42 | 94.11 | 123.43 | 161.79 | 237.11 | 569.86 | 1026.15 | 1325.35 | 1484.33 |
2026-05-31 | 270.50 | 78.28 | 98.05 | 117.20 | 173.87 | 471.10 | 767.23 | 1022.18 | 1386.76 |
2026-06-07 | 211.11 | 56.60 | 67.41 | 89.01 | 141.01 | 386.74 | 632.44 | 780.62 | 890.70 |
2026-06-14 | 170.48 | 45.02 | 55.52 | 68.92 | 102.27 | 271.17 | 423.31 | 593.32 | 780.44 |
2026-06-21 | 89.00 | 15.71 | 19.95 | 30.17 | 49.96 | 174.04 | 354.42 | 502.54 | 731.87 |
2026-06-28 | 76.11 | 11.34 | 14.36 | 21.75 | 37.69 | 135.53 | 256.79 | 373.08 | 434.80 |
2026-07-05 | 50.93 | 8.70 | 10.74 | 15.22 | 27.79 | 102.97 | 183.36 | 261.98 | 441.18 |
2026-07-12 | 46.09 | 5.95 | 7.84 | 12.71 | 23.34 | 94.94 | 224.65 | 378.88 | 530.34 |
2026-07-19 | 37.03 | 4.38 | 6.76 | 9.26 | 17.72 | 79.22 | 159.44 | 257.39 | 428.42 |
2026-07-26 | 34.03 | 4.52 | 7.26 | 10.09 | 17.33 | 76.53 | 191.93 | 296.19 | 457.91 |
2026-08-02 | 25.73 | 3.39 | 4.69 | 7.51 | 12.40 | 60.96 | 131.08 | 247.27 | 375.43 |
2026-08-09 | 29.38 | 3.02 | 4.28 | 6.78 | 13.68 | 60.86 | 136.31 | 253.49 | 323.03 |
2026-08-16 | 23.86 | 2.62 | 4.15 | 6.17 | 11.65 | 57.01 | 148.98 | 209.12 | 295.49 |
2026-08-23 | 21.94 | 1.69 | 2.74 | 4.82 | 9.99 | 53.80 | 127.03 | 251.43 | 394.18 |
2026-08-30 | 25.10 | 2.55 | 3.82 | 5.65 | 10.14 | 54.43 | 126.83 | 239.71 | 492.58 |
2026-09-06 | 24.31 | 2.10 | 2.99 | 4.56 | 10.29 | 50.89 | 156.22 | 305.85 | 475.53 |
2026-09-13 | 23.06 | 2.08 | 2.99 | 4.95 | 10.44 | 48.01 | 115.29 | 178.16 | 258.00 |
2026-09-20 | 21.33 | 2.45 | 3.20 | 4.23 | 10.35 | 49.98 | 119.48 | 207.55 | 306.82 |
2026-09-27 | 24.88 | 2.32 | 3.28 | 5.31 | 10.70 | 54.40 | 130.15 | 224.67 | 338.21 |
2026-10-04 | 24.88 | 2.32 | 3.28 | 5.31 | 10.70 | 54.40 | 130.15 | 224.67 | 338.21 |