Prediction 4242
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
2026 forecasts in BA
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 250.33 | 103.38 | 122.36 | 142.55 | 178.43 | 355.25 | 572.70 | 732.97 | 913.54 |
2025-10-12 | 235.76 | 97.49 | 105.82 | 125.23 | 163.73 | 349.76 | 519.60 | 711.61 | 994.95 |
2025-10-19 | 229.09 | 83.77 | 98.05 | 119.06 | 154.93 | 329.04 | 475.31 | 724.45 | 1125.57 |
2025-10-26 | 226.15 | 82.40 | 91.91 | 114.71 | 153.01 | 338.56 | 512.79 | 710.40 | 905.90 |
2025-11-02 | 270.35 | 94.34 | 106.79 | 132.02 | 180.39 | 422.40 | 690.47 | 944.52 | 1308.35 |
2025-11-09 | 201.86 | 78.62 | 89.24 | 106.75 | 141.06 | 290.74 | 436.69 | 541.38 | 645.02 |
2025-11-16 | 234.35 | 87.12 | 94.22 | 112.65 | 150.83 | 368.11 | 553.51 | 734.38 | 848.81 |
2025-11-23 | 198.69 | 84.73 | 95.32 | 109.30 | 142.68 | 293.75 | 437.77 | 575.63 | 738.65 |
2025-11-30 | 180.12 | 70.23 | 78.58 | 90.72 | 128.43 | 260.42 | 403.38 | 534.66 | 675.35 |
2025-12-07 | 161.05 | 63.78 | 72.91 | 83.74 | 117.76 | 229.45 | 385.34 | 495.54 | 643.21 |
2025-12-14 | 119.68 | 38.29 | 51.33 | 61.62 | 80.91 | 182.83 | 285.45 | 396.23 | 492.90 |
2025-12-21 | 109.80 | 32.63 | 37.26 | 47.64 | 67.82 | 180.16 | 292.25 | 376.44 | 510.54 |
2025-12-28 | 231.59 | 102.03 | 112.56 | 127.49 | 163.69 | 308.73 | 452.97 | 571.41 | 682.48 |
2026-01-04 | 262.73 | 112.62 | 126.95 | 144.88 | 189.17 | 353.17 | 533.23 | 660.05 | 785.44 |
2026-01-11 | 332.42 | 139.50 | 149.42 | 185.01 | 242.47 | 485.22 | 656.69 | 824.64 | 1169.46 |
2026-01-18 | 400.84 | 183.91 | 201.44 | 230.20 | 295.83 | 551.51 | 821.53 | 1053.71 | 1378.16 |
2026-01-25 | 525.41 | 230.04 | 251.92 | 283.11 | 385.88 | 760.36 | 1117.42 | 1375.05 | 1786.62 |
2026-02-01 | 664.01 | 274.31 | 311.32 | 353.49 | 469.48 | 923.26 | 1318.04 | 1821.40 | 2242.32 |
2026-02-08 | 940.97 | 370.81 | 429.60 | 502.97 | 678.55 | 1376.11 | 2014.37 | 2683.21 | 4108.56 |
2026-02-15 | 1113.57 | 424.37 | 490.91 | 621.49 | 817.69 | 1697.34 | 2662.13 | 3426.92 | 4222.37 |
2026-02-22 | 1209.75 | 514.29 | 574.78 | 662.91 | 878.90 | 1812.98 | 2827.91 | 4320.64 | 5279.28 |
2026-03-01 | 1570.20 | 656.48 | 732.68 | 861.79 | 1123.92 | 2429.90 | 3832.47 | 5247.00 | 5967.77 |
2026-03-08 | 1773.40 | 714.93 | 838.33 | 989.04 | 1305.82 | 2496.84 | 3746.01 | 5012.06 | 5677.78 |
2026-03-15 | 1934.19 | 848.03 | 915.20 | 1024.50 | 1333.81 | 2714.83 | 4024.13 | 4962.64 | 6253.33 |
2026-03-22 | 1744.40 | 751.07 | 859.89 | 1002.27 | 1308.86 | 2482.39 | 3427.90 | 4764.18 | 5633.37 |
2026-03-29 | 1963.08 | 851.83 | 1004.02 | 1157.76 | 1463.47 | 2816.58 | 4039.41 | 5466.17 | 6921.13 |
2026-04-05 | 1945.40 | 881.49 | 938.21 | 1168.09 | 1461.88 | 2611.27 | 3803.28 | 4906.49 | 6218.05 |
2026-04-12 | 2239.50 | 1005.74 | 1102.90 | 1299.11 | 1670.38 | 3044.29 | 4344.33 | 6332.28 | 7970.94 |
2026-04-19 | 2338.47 | 1027.63 | 1203.54 | 1362.86 | 1770.63 | 3286.66 | 4595.97 | 6282.12 | 7865.83 |
2026-04-26 | 2662.66 | 1066.29 | 1260.90 | 1486.31 | 1915.33 | 3838.57 | 5443.53 | 6882.03 | 8216.48 |
2026-05-03 | 2715.01 | 1370.40 | 1463.20 | 1586.54 | 2019.90 | 3848.91 | 5782.66 | 7662.64 | 11421.65 |
2026-05-10 | 2821.85 | 1178.99 | 1356.50 | 1522.94 | 2038.75 | 4082.08 | 6811.22 | 9200.47 | 10843.12 |
2026-05-17 | 2401.81 | 1092.19 | 1200.43 | 1351.86 | 1817.51 | 3371.41 | 4773.22 | 6212.91 | 7366.94 |
2026-05-24 | 2238.64 | 958.60 | 1070.61 | 1263.95 | 1650.37 | 3150.41 | 4826.69 | 5901.90 | 9002.58 |
2026-05-31 | 2002.89 | 936.57 | 1049.07 | 1191.75 | 1489.90 | 2831.02 | 3987.85 | 5159.42 | 6470.03 |
2026-06-07 | 1674.37 | 742.31 | 823.93 | 965.19 | 1281.36 | 2447.99 | 3554.85 | 5035.09 | 6353.00 |
2026-06-14 | 1572.66 | 673.88 | 729.74 | 873.82 | 1120.28 | 2230.70 | 3264.58 | 4083.30 | 5362.90 |
2026-06-21 | 1071.23 | 429.00 | 478.25 | 563.94 | 755.94 | 1634.00 | 2394.13 | 3171.12 | 4094.64 |
2026-06-28 | 1018.95 | 407.16 | 468.27 | 548.68 | 723.11 | 1498.95 | 2197.71 | 2902.19 | 3883.16 |
2026-07-05 | 1081.96 | 340.86 | 418.40 | 506.77 | 751.86 | 1617.70 | 2415.80 | 3282.07 | 4667.49 |
2026-07-12 | 916.08 | 343.90 | 389.17 | 454.62 | 637.38 | 1386.62 | 2080.56 | 2565.83 | 3543.52 |
2026-07-19 | 657.46 | 231.93 | 293.81 | 339.57 | 446.56 | 955.56 | 1423.18 | 2120.92 | 3305.04 |
2026-07-26 | 555.23 | 219.39 | 257.72 | 303.06 | 383.99 | 837.43 | 1420.81 | 2068.43 | 2938.63 |
2026-08-02 | 598.43 | 237.66 | 272.35 | 308.66 | 406.38 | 972.63 | 1607.82 | 2120.70 | 2676.16 |
2026-08-09 | 508.04 | 176.64 | 207.00 | 240.50 | 334.44 | 781.17 | 1096.27 | 1633.22 | 2180.13 |
2026-08-16 | 380.68 | 138.80 | 163.38 | 201.39 | 261.47 | 582.86 | 851.72 | 1125.86 | 1534.44 |
2026-08-23 | 336.55 | 127.81 | 147.52 | 171.74 | 224.32 | 523.41 | 799.80 | 1235.43 | 2049.39 |
2026-08-30 | 296.83 | 113.02 | 130.71 | 150.13 | 211.29 | 477.25 | 720.66 | 1035.36 | 1310.89 |
2026-09-06 | 272.60 | 90.53 | 109.85 | 138.47 | 190.55 | 437.51 | 672.64 | 866.68 | 1044.72 |
2026-09-13 | 253.20 | 86.14 | 103.90 | 128.92 | 177.45 | 405.86 | 602.62 | 827.75 | 1324.46 |
2026-09-20 | 205.51 | 74.28 | 88.79 | 104.87 | 136.54 | 336.65 | 496.85 | 643.90 | 801.68 |
2026-09-27 | 209.49 | 68.67 | 77.49 | 96.78 | 140.50 | 329.55 | 499.72 | 671.45 | 972.85 |
2026-10-04 | 209.49 | 68.67 | 77.49 | 96.78 | 140.50 | 329.55 | 499.72 | 671.45 | 972.85 |