Prediction 4244
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
2026 forecasts in PE
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 209.28 | 62.04 | 73.37 | 91.61 | 130.00 | 330.64 | 514.40 | 660.26 | 843.33 |
2025-10-12 | 185.96 | 59.63 | 71.00 | 87.53 | 124.84 | 299.97 | 481.81 | 674.71 | 855.10 |
2025-10-19 | 161.46 | 44.08 | 50.87 | 63.98 | 104.43 | 268.78 | 363.44 | 470.73 | 616.98 |
2025-10-26 | 164.04 | 46.83 | 58.66 | 70.95 | 105.60 | 261.40 | 415.69 | 565.48 | 650.32 |
2025-11-02 | 171.43 | 52.30 | 61.94 | 75.49 | 111.13 | 276.46 | 429.31 | 600.93 | 833.77 |
2025-11-09 | 121.94 | 33.25 | 42.56 | 52.49 | 80.73 | 208.40 | 312.64 | 424.14 | 548.59 |
2025-11-16 | 148.40 | 44.36 | 51.56 | 62.46 | 90.80 | 224.68 | 377.38 | 472.08 | 604.22 |
2025-11-23 | 139.09 | 35.26 | 47.55 | 58.06 | 91.37 | 216.87 | 333.60 | 415.16 | 539.41 |
2025-11-30 | 128.97 | 35.26 | 43.84 | 59.50 | 84.86 | 201.25 | 308.80 | 436.81 | 524.26 |
2025-12-07 | 109.61 | 32.53 | 37.05 | 48.86 | 72.38 | 189.48 | 285.29 | 383.90 | 492.63 |
2025-12-14 | 82.23 | 18.19 | 24.06 | 33.82 | 53.92 | 146.07 | 229.53 | 377.07 | 577.65 |
2025-12-21 | 56.08 | 12.31 | 16.16 | 22.13 | 31.89 | 92.02 | 176.12 | 228.32 | 285.66 |
2025-12-28 | 126.88 | 41.44 | 48.55 | 61.66 | 84.55 | 204.35 | 304.23 | 392.52 | 545.72 |
2026-01-04 | 140.64 | 46.23 | 56.25 | 67.57 | 93.04 | 216.95 | 325.19 | 420.29 | 512.93 |
2026-01-11 | 165.17 | 54.20 | 67.48 | 79.29 | 106.91 | 273.88 | 412.44 | 519.44 | 616.39 |
2026-01-18 | 186.22 | 63.22 | 71.72 | 84.58 | 130.86 | 280.63 | 395.55 | 527.78 | 651.24 |
2026-01-25 | 258.08 | 86.23 | 101.37 | 120.55 | 174.18 | 410.58 | 621.55 | 792.84 | 976.10 |
2026-02-01 | 310.99 | 94.47 | 116.64 | 139.24 | 195.93 | 481.80 | 752.85 | 1034.14 | 1370.80 |
2026-02-08 | 430.25 | 120.12 | 149.12 | 183.86 | 254.71 | 663.84 | 1011.25 | 1331.29 | 1604.70 |
2026-02-15 | 470.93 | 140.11 | 185.26 | 225.30 | 311.93 | 748.67 | 1112.23 | 1420.95 | 1718.72 |
2026-02-22 | 563.09 | 173.15 | 194.54 | 248.36 | 368.64 | 830.39 | 1493.57 | 2165.74 | 3279.98 |
2026-03-01 | 691.02 | 195.58 | 231.84 | 286.19 | 438.02 | 1189.52 | 1880.38 | 2302.54 | 2930.37 |
2026-03-08 | 782.70 | 239.85 | 306.42 | 361.99 | 516.75 | 1222.66 | 1761.74 | 2519.41 | 3473.91 |
2026-03-15 | 781.30 | 228.71 | 294.13 | 357.17 | 497.97 | 1191.28 | 1833.85 | 2275.68 | 2976.34 |
2026-03-22 | 721.22 | 246.34 | 269.55 | 341.48 | 476.76 | 1133.33 | 1665.81 | 2207.16 | 2748.79 |
2026-03-29 | 912.41 | 311.57 | 342.37 | 422.89 | 610.41 | 1365.89 | 2052.47 | 2790.86 | 3394.00 |
2026-04-05 | 940.39 | 330.10 | 396.45 | 458.17 | 647.55 | 1432.91 | 2051.18 | 2642.73 | 3448.96 |
2026-04-12 | 1093.28 | 353.69 | 428.12 | 537.09 | 704.40 | 1671.46 | 2439.80 | 3360.02 | 4321.01 |
2026-04-19 | 1156.31 | 379.54 | 451.83 | 542.34 | 783.10 | 1707.82 | 2748.06 | 3359.66 | 4035.28 |
2026-04-26 | 1251.62 | 452.06 | 510.43 | 608.73 | 846.70 | 1955.97 | 2907.23 | 3673.94 | 5125.82 |
2026-05-03 | 1403.29 | 458.20 | 549.78 | 674.80 | 956.27 | 2044.19 | 2829.60 | 3475.78 | 4571.65 |
2026-05-10 | 1374.69 | 473.64 | 558.30 | 653.55 | 938.94 | 2196.95 | 3350.09 | 4377.06 | 5885.92 |
2026-05-17 | 1303.31 | 404.20 | 480.62 | 615.93 | 843.32 | 1934.62 | 2821.63 | 3696.49 | 4974.51 |
2026-05-24 | 1232.23 | 352.56 | 444.86 | 551.96 | 810.34 | 1959.08 | 3061.45 | 4030.99 | 5167.59 |
2026-05-31 | 1132.10 | 363.83 | 447.04 | 539.13 | 761.72 | 1720.66 | 2838.84 | 3491.03 | 5634.93 |
2026-06-07 | 1011.37 | 303.48 | 373.88 | 457.04 | 646.80 | 1654.84 | 2730.73 | 3461.86 | 4529.01 |
2026-06-14 | 923.41 | 292.68 | 359.00 | 431.85 | 603.50 | 1393.33 | 2211.59 | 3045.68 | 3862.20 |
2026-06-21 | 829.78 | 221.47 | 266.37 | 339.81 | 474.40 | 1302.87 | 2113.40 | 2905.07 | 3592.21 |
2026-06-28 | 809.76 | 192.24 | 243.57 | 289.26 | 460.36 | 1252.05 | 2125.10 | 2705.78 | 3573.47 |
2026-07-05 | 657.57 | 172.84 | 207.56 | 259.07 | 384.01 | 1006.53 | 1860.10 | 2836.70 | 3717.00 |
2026-07-12 | 657.86 | 176.53 | 204.47 | 259.76 | 403.63 | 1108.77 | 1753.87 | 2437.60 | 3090.89 |
2026-07-19 | 510.77 | 140.66 | 168.41 | 232.04 | 342.29 | 876.24 | 1581.67 | 2075.13 | 2840.20 |
2026-07-26 | 490.46 | 113.86 | 136.11 | 178.63 | 299.85 | 851.45 | 1431.53 | 1748.79 | 2289.68 |
2026-08-02 | 525.56 | 114.34 | 132.52 | 178.55 | 290.45 | 924.99 | 1560.33 | 1910.75 | 3018.49 |
2026-08-09 | 426.24 | 101.85 | 132.86 | 158.07 | 247.33 | 826.86 | 1397.18 | 1916.05 | 2771.91 |
2026-08-16 | 344.58 | 95.73 | 110.33 | 130.75 | 203.78 | 603.67 | 1005.51 | 1336.41 | 1759.88 |
2026-08-23 | 284.94 | 68.13 | 81.91 | 97.64 | 154.11 | 487.71 | 748.77 | 1144.06 | 1596.77 |
2026-08-30 | 266.52 | 58.27 | 76.12 | 100.72 | 156.63 | 486.48 | 772.84 | 998.82 | 1294.60 |
2026-09-06 | 223.63 | 51.85 | 64.36 | 83.89 | 128.80 | 392.09 | 667.23 | 908.75 | 1165.50 |
2026-09-13 | 212.22 | 57.06 | 68.97 | 87.10 | 130.27 | 390.62 | 688.51 | 987.61 | 1180.76 |
2026-09-20 | 185.35 | 37.58 | 46.78 | 70.68 | 102.51 | 352.12 | 570.27 | 800.10 | 1034.92 |
2026-09-27 | 180.06 | 41.85 | 55.28 | 68.19 | 102.60 | 326.18 | 554.66 | 749.77 | 1010.25 |
2026-10-04 | 180.06 | 41.85 | 55.28 | 68.19 | 102.60 | 326.18 | 554.66 | 749.77 | 1010.25 |