Prediction 4245
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | ParaĆba |
Description:
2026 forecasts in PB
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 49.51 | 14.10 | 15.79 | 20.54 | 31.81 | 74.64 | 127.22 | 180.11 | 255.35 |
2025-10-12 | 53.24 | 13.56 | 16.66 | 22.42 | 34.02 | 82.36 | 139.83 | 176.07 | 244.70 |
2025-10-19 | 42.10 | 10.69 | 14.46 | 18.37 | 26.34 | 70.94 | 122.19 | 176.04 | 198.28 |
2025-10-26 | 42.30 | 11.58 | 14.78 | 19.67 | 27.20 | 79.79 | 132.16 | 180.91 | 239.41 |
2025-11-02 | 56.81 | 15.54 | 19.56 | 22.25 | 33.08 | 86.08 | 149.38 | 209.49 | 323.96 |
2025-11-09 | 39.00 | 11.59 | 13.41 | 17.54 | 24.16 | 64.45 | 101.44 | 138.98 | 175.81 |
2025-11-16 | 40.30 | 13.27 | 15.35 | 18.85 | 26.29 | 71.06 | 110.13 | 164.66 | 206.58 |
2025-11-23 | 41.50 | 12.13 | 14.57 | 17.63 | 25.24 | 66.69 | 103.02 | 127.84 | 152.61 |
2025-11-30 | 35.90 | 11.18 | 13.22 | 16.13 | 22.67 | 59.27 | 94.89 | 119.03 | 155.01 |
2025-12-07 | 31.07 | 9.25 | 10.65 | 12.60 | 19.67 | 46.19 | 76.60 | 109.50 | 183.44 |
2025-12-14 | 21.99 | 5.52 | 6.61 | 8.96 | 13.48 | 41.87 | 68.09 | 100.30 | 151.56 |
2025-12-21 | 19.22 | 4.40 | 5.53 | 6.98 | 11.45 | 33.58 | 60.57 | 92.79 | 132.78 |
2025-12-28 | 39.80 | 14.28 | 15.87 | 19.55 | 25.84 | 62.05 | 98.08 | 144.67 | 203.45 |
2026-01-04 | 46.63 | 15.91 | 18.73 | 23.59 | 32.92 | 74.33 | 107.48 | 128.36 | 169.52 |
2026-01-11 | 60.17 | 21.39 | 24.10 | 30.23 | 40.49 | 94.22 | 136.15 | 175.08 | 270.73 |
2026-01-18 | 72.73 | 26.09 | 30.18 | 35.07 | 49.32 | 109.98 | 178.70 | 210.87 | 279.93 |
2026-01-25 | 92.41 | 33.29 | 38.76 | 45.05 | 62.84 | 145.07 | 220.41 | 290.73 | 365.37 |
2026-02-01 | 108.87 | 42.00 | 49.03 | 54.42 | 81.23 | 168.16 | 254.05 | 316.02 | 402.71 |
2026-02-08 | 166.00 | 58.16 | 69.09 | 83.46 | 114.85 | 268.66 | 442.83 | 561.97 | 727.41 |
2026-02-15 | 207.22 | 61.05 | 74.77 | 94.37 | 136.50 | 308.21 | 482.36 | 702.02 | 1049.52 |
2026-02-22 | 213.75 | 66.93 | 77.92 | 96.86 | 137.00 | 361.75 | 531.41 | 786.88 | 1103.83 |
2026-03-01 | 265.66 | 91.01 | 114.09 | 133.16 | 177.69 | 426.12 | 619.56 | 882.67 | 1126.22 |
2026-03-08 | 311.82 | 116.88 | 126.95 | 156.77 | 225.28 | 499.99 | 777.35 | 1136.84 | 1481.74 |
2026-03-15 | 352.08 | 108.64 | 143.47 | 166.59 | 226.40 | 535.43 | 789.96 | 967.31 | 1130.31 |
2026-03-22 | 287.45 | 103.12 | 128.32 | 146.25 | 196.57 | 435.52 | 658.96 | 812.22 | 1022.39 |
2026-03-29 | 368.16 | 111.57 | 146.56 | 172.97 | 252.63 | 529.46 | 770.45 | 965.79 | 1139.79 |
2026-04-05 | 366.01 | 121.58 | 153.97 | 180.45 | 252.96 | 521.81 | 738.03 | 964.57 | 1282.52 |
2026-04-12 | 380.56 | 139.27 | 171.61 | 194.49 | 263.44 | 561.95 | 913.99 | 1281.41 | 1572.32 |
2026-04-19 | 412.33 | 169.96 | 186.22 | 213.40 | 297.55 | 618.01 | 881.47 | 1244.10 | 1653.22 |
2026-04-26 | 423.42 | 160.63 | 198.57 | 231.75 | 312.02 | 642.05 | 950.26 | 1270.56 | 1514.99 |
2026-05-03 | 471.98 | 160.05 | 181.56 | 229.56 | 311.34 | 718.10 | 1022.75 | 1331.96 | 1616.70 |
2026-05-10 | 477.56 | 178.77 | 196.41 | 237.70 | 324.54 | 735.30 | 1178.42 | 1624.11 | 2120.98 |
2026-05-17 | 404.64 | 138.75 | 164.23 | 203.97 | 269.75 | 628.36 | 895.71 | 1149.65 | 1485.88 |
2026-05-24 | 401.60 | 120.19 | 138.49 | 179.78 | 265.61 | 593.74 | 934.45 | 1207.99 | 1462.28 |
2026-05-31 | 340.19 | 125.99 | 146.83 | 176.59 | 238.02 | 547.09 | 815.59 | 1158.70 | 1452.18 |
2026-06-07 | 293.15 | 100.98 | 115.85 | 148.54 | 204.44 | 452.51 | 729.98 | 1011.28 | 1219.26 |
2026-06-14 | 273.97 | 97.71 | 111.64 | 128.70 | 184.01 | 407.34 | 646.18 | 870.35 | 1175.02 |
2026-06-21 | 195.94 | 56.17 | 65.64 | 83.26 | 124.53 | 305.88 | 504.08 | 712.71 | 857.14 |
2026-06-28 | 164.26 | 48.04 | 56.37 | 71.72 | 106.41 | 282.09 | 464.61 | 663.18 | 964.52 |
2026-07-05 | 197.83 | 47.31 | 62.47 | 78.62 | 115.06 | 340.21 | 576.64 | 766.09 | 1245.18 |
2026-07-12 | 171.05 | 44.18 | 54.00 | 68.18 | 105.95 | 288.39 | 491.19 | 653.20 | 963.50 |
2026-07-19 | 124.40 | 29.80 | 39.01 | 46.60 | 76.28 | 211.79 | 345.35 | 448.89 | 536.59 |
2026-07-26 | 100.95 | 26.91 | 32.43 | 40.70 | 61.79 | 182.34 | 317.01 | 422.64 | 664.57 |
2026-08-02 | 104.27 | 27.79 | 33.00 | 41.86 | 62.92 | 196.81 | 348.14 | 493.24 | 608.00 |
2026-08-09 | 80.02 | 20.13 | 26.23 | 30.97 | 47.85 | 158.98 | 278.26 | 366.91 | 507.72 |
2026-08-16 | 69.31 | 20.74 | 26.05 | 31.19 | 42.54 | 124.53 | 225.06 | 310.96 | 399.26 |
2026-08-23 | 58.63 | 15.66 | 18.62 | 23.31 | 35.34 | 103.87 | 202.46 | 283.03 | 505.39 |
2026-08-30 | 57.94 | 12.83 | 17.89 | 23.20 | 33.84 | 98.54 | 195.61 | 260.34 | 394.98 |
2026-09-06 | 47.05 | 11.26 | 14.27 | 17.88 | 28.29 | 88.31 | 157.32 | 225.82 | 366.17 |
2026-09-13 | 41.58 | 11.66 | 14.29 | 18.81 | 27.02 | 72.84 | 140.16 | 220.43 | 295.20 |
2026-09-20 | 40.28 | 8.11 | 10.34 | 14.30 | 22.40 | 66.99 | 115.24 | 166.32 | 244.48 |
2026-09-27 | 37.93 | 8.81 | 10.89 | 15.06 | 22.48 | 68.02 | 113.77 | 157.73 | 232.85 |
2026-10-04 | 37.93 | 8.81 | 10.89 | 15.06 | 22.48 | 68.02 | 113.77 | 157.73 | 232.85 |