Prediction 4246
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | PiauĂ |
Description:
2026 forecasts in PI
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 59.17 | 12.37 | 16.32 | 20.30 | 32.86 | 108.73 | 201.26 | 294.14 | 426.61 |
2025-10-12 | 59.95 | 10.73 | 14.34 | 19.99 | 34.54 | 109.56 | 216.08 | 298.20 | 404.00 |
2025-10-19 | 46.59 | 8.42 | 12.72 | 16.48 | 26.99 | 87.46 | 158.03 | 288.35 | 399.12 |
2025-10-26 | 47.87 | 10.77 | 12.73 | 17.14 | 27.07 | 90.08 | 171.35 | 244.00 | 327.15 |
2025-11-02 | 55.92 | 11.48 | 15.73 | 18.77 | 30.16 | 99.62 | 182.69 | 262.76 | 339.60 |
2025-11-09 | 42.37 | 9.39 | 10.76 | 15.71 | 24.84 | 74.44 | 125.96 | 180.42 | 286.78 |
2025-11-16 | 48.11 | 9.98 | 12.69 | 16.70 | 26.76 | 91.49 | 177.70 | 257.76 | 405.41 |
2025-11-23 | 42.78 | 8.80 | 11.03 | 14.17 | 23.97 | 73.30 | 137.15 | 196.33 | 227.17 |
2025-11-30 | 39.76 | 8.67 | 10.15 | 12.81 | 22.33 | 72.30 | 136.34 | 179.66 | 241.71 |
2025-12-07 | 33.32 | 6.86 | 8.30 | 11.40 | 18.53 | 62.74 | 109.92 | 150.12 | 217.27 |
2025-12-14 | 23.12 | 4.53 | 5.99 | 8.07 | 12.78 | 43.66 | 80.84 | 137.05 | 199.13 |
2025-12-21 | 19.35 | 3.39 | 4.37 | 5.68 | 9.70 | 35.49 | 72.82 | 114.15 | 178.00 |
2025-12-28 | 43.39 | 11.02 | 13.43 | 17.28 | 25.89 | 78.99 | 125.52 | 192.75 | 245.53 |
2026-01-04 | 46.12 | 13.50 | 15.91 | 19.50 | 28.70 | 70.33 | 113.58 | 150.80 | 180.12 |
2026-01-11 | 54.55 | 14.27 | 18.64 | 23.38 | 33.82 | 84.43 | 153.26 | 191.91 | 268.09 |
2026-01-18 | 61.33 | 17.84 | 22.40 | 27.26 | 39.97 | 103.48 | 152.17 | 237.73 | 317.70 |
2026-01-25 | 76.81 | 26.04 | 29.63 | 35.72 | 50.10 | 134.67 | 227.39 | 358.26 | 466.74 |
2026-02-01 | 87.93 | 24.39 | 28.81 | 34.02 | 55.98 | 156.89 | 288.43 | 416.23 | 515.18 |
2026-02-08 | 137.37 | 35.07 | 40.94 | 52.78 | 80.45 | 235.02 | 404.25 | 555.45 | 850.61 |
2026-02-15 | 155.11 | 43.41 | 54.70 | 65.80 | 93.28 | 258.40 | 417.62 | 630.91 | 796.80 |
2026-02-22 | 185.40 | 47.47 | 54.58 | 72.76 | 115.67 | 317.77 | 581.81 | 793.09 | 1152.28 |
2026-03-01 | 214.19 | 49.94 | 64.50 | 81.64 | 123.89 | 377.84 | 679.22 | 1086.27 | 1510.96 |
2026-03-08 | 262.35 | 61.73 | 77.93 | 94.38 | 160.19 | 471.20 | 785.25 | 1166.20 | 1974.89 |
2026-03-15 | 268.00 | 69.62 | 82.85 | 101.17 | 159.82 | 468.40 | 803.71 | 1082.38 | 1541.62 |
2026-03-22 | 222.33 | 66.02 | 79.85 | 98.47 | 141.03 | 386.55 | 612.99 | 890.90 | 1345.60 |
2026-03-29 | 277.63 | 71.76 | 86.13 | 107.86 | 171.59 | 493.17 | 930.36 | 1372.69 | 1726.47 |
2026-04-05 | 289.03 | 70.65 | 94.66 | 119.95 | 183.75 | 492.59 | 852.15 | 1217.27 | 1474.84 |
2026-04-12 | 305.57 | 86.47 | 109.39 | 133.51 | 192.29 | 559.31 | 972.92 | 1359.27 | 2043.98 |
2026-04-19 | 352.11 | 103.12 | 116.46 | 138.01 | 208.53 | 594.52 | 1058.27 | 1595.22 | 2222.22 |
2026-04-26 | 389.40 | 110.99 | 128.18 | 165.79 | 244.92 | 701.30 | 1282.75 | 1791.78 | 2934.33 |
2026-05-03 | 390.84 | 92.80 | 105.90 | 147.32 | 228.87 | 687.62 | 1205.27 | 1643.82 | 2510.53 |
2026-05-10 | 397.78 | 105.77 | 126.21 | 154.93 | 241.30 | 759.42 | 1350.58 | 2042.11 | 3120.21 |
2026-05-17 | 361.11 | 96.75 | 121.52 | 157.91 | 217.18 | 667.60 | 1267.09 | 1696.66 | 2408.45 |
2026-05-24 | 333.97 | 79.70 | 98.28 | 127.27 | 198.41 | 571.02 | 1068.02 | 1519.27 | 2363.26 |
2026-05-31 | 299.02 | 72.80 | 85.67 | 119.45 | 178.70 | 591.38 | 1035.11 | 1544.74 | 2100.98 |
2026-06-07 | 290.84 | 67.76 | 83.74 | 102.18 | 159.16 | 516.49 | 967.23 | 1320.02 | 1910.50 |
2026-06-14 | 248.24 | 65.01 | 75.91 | 92.43 | 146.55 | 458.95 | 871.02 | 1308.13 | 1589.72 |
2026-06-21 | 190.35 | 35.77 | 48.87 | 65.57 | 101.38 | 395.87 | 765.08 | 1084.50 | 1406.44 |
2026-06-28 | 197.43 | 36.33 | 48.19 | 63.28 | 107.11 | 433.14 | 779.51 | 1272.50 | 1742.52 |
2026-07-05 | 192.14 | 32.40 | 43.54 | 58.91 | 93.64 | 371.51 | 704.29 | 921.90 | 1208.35 |
2026-07-12 | 165.58 | 30.88 | 38.98 | 50.49 | 84.08 | 355.00 | 597.89 | 888.82 | 1444.68 |
2026-07-19 | 128.82 | 22.90 | 26.54 | 37.30 | 68.42 | 239.25 | 458.65 | 674.42 | 977.58 |
2026-07-26 | 106.29 | 16.98 | 21.17 | 31.55 | 58.22 | 207.01 | 471.78 | 693.77 | 928.33 |
2026-08-02 | 112.85 | 23.32 | 29.63 | 37.33 | 59.43 | 215.85 | 419.33 | 650.60 | 798.09 |
2026-08-09 | 88.55 | 16.02 | 19.11 | 29.40 | 44.64 | 194.96 | 429.39 | 722.22 | 918.04 |
2026-08-16 | 80.88 | 16.54 | 20.10 | 25.28 | 43.33 | 151.42 | 268.04 | 444.12 | 562.75 |
2026-08-23 | 65.66 | 10.46 | 13.40 | 19.64 | 36.33 | 137.19 | 304.27 | 397.29 | 579.83 |
2026-08-30 | 56.25 | 8.72 | 11.62 | 16.83 | 29.47 | 111.24 | 230.41 | 345.60 | 612.50 |
2026-09-06 | 52.22 | 8.47 | 12.19 | 15.58 | 26.65 | 106.99 | 218.32 | 414.62 | 576.89 |
2026-09-13 | 47.24 | 7.66 | 9.81 | 13.01 | 23.01 | 105.33 | 186.12 | 308.70 | 431.70 |
2026-09-20 | 48.35 | 6.84 | 9.52 | 13.86 | 25.48 | 98.00 | 180.11 | 243.79 | 334.93 |
2026-09-27 | 43.06 | 5.55 | 7.11 | 11.45 | 19.10 | 87.38 | 151.11 | 240.60 | 423.61 |
2026-10-04 | 43.06 | 5.55 | 7.11 | 11.45 | 19.10 | 87.38 | 151.11 | 240.60 | 423.61 |