Prediction 4247
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
2026 forecasts in RN
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 78.29 | 17.88 | 22.03 | 29.40 | 46.79 | 141.03 | 268.94 | 400.51 | 471.62 |
2025-10-12 | 72.70 | 17.50 | 20.88 | 26.98 | 44.71 | 142.31 | 220.59 | 312.58 | 384.41 |
2025-10-19 | 67.91 | 12.48 | 15.27 | 22.01 | 38.30 | 117.28 | 195.42 | 282.05 | 385.13 |
2025-10-26 | 68.47 | 12.89 | 15.59 | 20.81 | 36.02 | 121.05 | 215.98 | 306.51 | 460.94 |
2025-11-02 | 72.25 | 16.36 | 20.59 | 26.14 | 42.38 | 130.57 | 238.79 | 327.63 | 460.93 |
2025-11-09 | 64.33 | 12.21 | 16.42 | 20.94 | 35.81 | 113.25 | 191.17 | 248.42 | 354.90 |
2025-11-16 | 59.91 | 13.28 | 17.70 | 22.06 | 36.47 | 113.64 | 236.10 | 308.18 | 409.10 |
2025-11-23 | 67.74 | 12.90 | 16.91 | 21.84 | 36.39 | 121.62 | 212.20 | 286.33 | 395.96 |
2025-11-30 | 57.03 | 11.23 | 14.79 | 20.82 | 36.34 | 102.71 | 173.59 | 230.46 | 309.73 |
2025-12-07 | 50.40 | 10.01 | 12.45 | 16.69 | 26.99 | 91.43 | 163.07 | 230.92 | 341.63 |
2025-12-14 | 33.63 | 6.08 | 7.07 | 9.49 | 17.67 | 68.85 | 136.13 | 193.84 | 257.46 |
2025-12-21 | 25.40 | 4.36 | 5.67 | 8.33 | 14.86 | 50.26 | 99.52 | 131.98 | 179.70 |
2025-12-28 | 62.83 | 13.06 | 17.79 | 24.34 | 37.77 | 109.00 | 176.10 | 253.26 | 305.14 |
2026-01-04 | 74.82 | 17.34 | 24.92 | 30.47 | 45.82 | 118.05 | 185.17 | 240.31 | 347.52 |
2026-01-11 | 88.27 | 23.99 | 28.73 | 36.64 | 56.88 | 158.96 | 230.37 | 347.21 | 469.43 |
2026-01-18 | 99.66 | 26.00 | 35.12 | 45.00 | 66.31 | 162.83 | 270.85 | 365.20 | 498.32 |
2026-01-25 | 131.74 | 40.27 | 48.59 | 58.35 | 84.43 | 217.14 | 404.39 | 594.79 | 753.89 |
2026-02-01 | 164.89 | 38.10 | 49.39 | 64.32 | 105.34 | 257.01 | 404.84 | 577.32 | 751.95 |
2026-02-08 | 244.38 | 54.74 | 71.14 | 91.16 | 147.02 | 430.78 | 757.59 | 1126.80 | 1810.71 |
2026-02-15 | 285.92 | 65.55 | 81.69 | 113.35 | 170.59 | 467.22 | 812.99 | 1192.27 | 1491.57 |
2026-02-22 | 307.65 | 85.82 | 99.43 | 130.64 | 191.73 | 602.10 | 880.91 | 1472.87 | 1755.61 |
2026-03-01 | 378.20 | 98.99 | 117.76 | 149.81 | 234.29 | 699.47 | 1196.46 | 1871.62 | 2665.83 |
2026-03-08 | 441.79 | 122.86 | 149.70 | 180.84 | 273.21 | 727.04 | 1210.86 | 1791.52 | 2259.96 |
2026-03-15 | 512.26 | 116.30 | 152.59 | 187.65 | 301.29 | 863.64 | 1582.49 | 2234.38 | 3001.12 |
2026-03-22 | 424.93 | 111.85 | 137.83 | 178.69 | 250.71 | 699.09 | 1293.53 | 1730.83 | 2086.24 |
2026-03-29 | 561.44 | 110.45 | 144.69 | 205.69 | 333.19 | 942.38 | 1513.17 | 2195.11 | 2725.58 |
2026-04-05 | 554.62 | 148.32 | 178.87 | 225.02 | 342.88 | 894.59 | 1247.01 | 1620.72 | 1940.78 |
2026-04-12 | 606.10 | 149.43 | 191.70 | 254.72 | 388.05 | 1000.09 | 1464.95 | 2054.70 | 2687.91 |
2026-04-19 | 663.80 | 201.12 | 239.40 | 274.44 | 410.91 | 1018.76 | 1681.98 | 2309.54 | 2769.71 |
2026-04-26 | 694.50 | 149.99 | 198.83 | 259.68 | 417.69 | 1150.12 | 1881.33 | 2403.78 | 3058.09 |
2026-05-03 | 727.87 | 173.20 | 220.27 | 272.21 | 449.96 | 1217.27 | 1929.37 | 2426.22 | 4447.77 |
2026-05-10 | 753.19 | 176.10 | 239.94 | 293.18 | 464.79 | 1320.64 | 2099.98 | 2838.04 | 3958.01 |
2026-05-17 | 688.82 | 199.66 | 224.96 | 273.99 | 417.88 | 1120.87 | 1983.85 | 2905.76 | 4084.38 |
2026-05-24 | 571.66 | 157.56 | 180.41 | 236.47 | 365.57 | 1023.13 | 1731.31 | 2599.84 | 3344.20 |
2026-05-31 | 545.45 | 152.28 | 177.88 | 223.21 | 336.72 | 922.77 | 1697.25 | 2438.78 | 2891.34 |
2026-06-07 | 468.28 | 108.18 | 144.00 | 182.31 | 310.85 | 833.75 | 1347.57 | 2046.26 | 2501.98 |
2026-06-14 | 454.19 | 108.38 | 128.68 | 172.60 | 268.68 | 826.27 | 1323.01 | 1746.55 | 2268.42 |
2026-06-21 | 371.11 | 67.11 | 83.48 | 129.42 | 207.11 | 669.89 | 1278.53 | 1821.95 | 2386.91 |
2026-06-28 | 303.52 | 57.49 | 78.51 | 104.05 | 165.67 | 545.03 | 965.50 | 1466.20 | 2317.74 |
2026-07-05 | 324.17 | 65.95 | 85.53 | 107.06 | 182.77 | 582.48 | 1025.43 | 1718.15 | 2106.42 |
2026-07-12 | 254.40 | 54.23 | 65.90 | 79.48 | 136.44 | 468.43 | 955.41 | 1365.63 | 1986.06 |
2026-07-19 | 206.48 | 39.50 | 52.05 | 70.79 | 117.90 | 407.47 | 772.62 | 1223.62 | 1470.78 |
2026-07-26 | 192.49 | 37.60 | 49.85 | 62.18 | 98.77 | 383.41 | 754.55 | 1004.16 | 1487.59 |
2026-08-02 | 182.48 | 33.21 | 37.78 | 57.15 | 92.82 | 348.94 | 659.05 | 1039.85 | 1472.13 |
2026-08-09 | 154.28 | 26.99 | 31.13 | 43.53 | 79.47 | 289.30 | 560.90 | 795.12 | 1133.65 |
2026-08-16 | 125.65 | 22.41 | 28.95 | 35.70 | 64.75 | 247.25 | 456.68 | 655.02 | 966.27 |
2026-08-23 | 102.68 | 18.17 | 23.95 | 32.73 | 55.73 | 196.37 | 390.87 | 538.08 | 939.77 |
2026-08-30 | 99.49 | 14.96 | 19.48 | 29.47 | 50.17 | 201.63 | 414.70 | 556.23 | 702.46 |
2026-09-06 | 77.54 | 13.40 | 18.14 | 23.54 | 43.00 | 170.63 | 311.00 | 451.65 | 853.81 |
2026-09-13 | 84.47 | 13.61 | 18.78 | 26.07 | 44.64 | 158.23 | 281.76 | 471.80 | 773.43 |
2026-09-20 | 79.72 | 11.32 | 16.61 | 22.18 | 39.98 | 147.21 | 301.40 | 449.20 | 612.08 |
2026-09-27 | 58.05 | 12.21 | 15.26 | 19.42 | 33.52 | 135.62 | 254.93 | 383.18 | 495.63 |
2026-10-04 | 58.05 | 12.21 | 15.26 | 19.42 | 33.52 | 135.62 | 254.93 | 383.18 | 495.63 |