Prediction 4249
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
2026 forecasts in AL
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 54.99 | 12.79 | 17.19 | 21.81 | 34.47 | 94.35 | 177.59 | 250.02 | 343.12 |
2025-10-12 | 60.48 | 12.86 | 15.53 | 20.43 | 36.63 | 98.72 | 163.91 | 242.64 | 318.44 |
2025-10-19 | 45.99 | 10.53 | 13.79 | 18.52 | 28.19 | 81.42 | 138.64 | 195.96 | 259.40 |
2025-10-26 | 45.25 | 11.06 | 13.31 | 17.83 | 26.58 | 79.14 | 135.25 | 182.17 | 289.62 |
2025-11-02 | 59.49 | 13.96 | 16.93 | 20.83 | 35.56 | 96.05 | 171.73 | 266.85 | 408.95 |
2025-11-09 | 44.43 | 9.81 | 11.61 | 15.31 | 24.81 | 76.54 | 133.28 | 181.41 | 303.46 |
2025-11-16 | 45.80 | 11.34 | 12.55 | 16.00 | 25.99 | 80.96 | 141.39 | 195.58 | 266.32 |
2025-11-23 | 43.38 | 10.43 | 14.27 | 18.26 | 26.86 | 74.45 | 127.14 | 198.83 | 260.83 |
2025-11-30 | 37.61 | 9.44 | 11.74 | 15.39 | 24.52 | 71.13 | 115.72 | 156.15 | 207.89 |
2025-12-07 | 34.09 | 7.30 | 8.91 | 11.66 | 19.60 | 61.96 | 109.86 | 155.34 | 234.90 |
2025-12-14 | 21.77 | 5.01 | 5.61 | 7.84 | 12.09 | 43.96 | 87.31 | 140.09 | 205.50 |
2025-12-21 | 19.63 | 3.78 | 4.91 | 6.73 | 11.62 | 36.36 | 66.33 | 93.59 | 124.16 |
2025-12-28 | 41.09 | 10.68 | 13.48 | 16.86 | 26.05 | 70.64 | 107.13 | 144.41 | 180.12 |
2026-01-04 | 45.69 | 12.52 | 16.05 | 20.68 | 31.42 | 71.83 | 120.70 | 154.37 | 208.66 |
2026-01-11 | 57.28 | 16.15 | 19.16 | 23.91 | 36.89 | 95.88 | 159.82 | 220.59 | 270.75 |
2026-01-18 | 61.19 | 18.60 | 22.60 | 28.03 | 40.51 | 98.66 | 146.34 | 201.26 | 245.68 |
2026-01-25 | 82.46 | 22.90 | 26.52 | 33.33 | 50.61 | 136.26 | 241.33 | 306.75 | 358.62 |
2026-02-01 | 106.10 | 29.41 | 37.36 | 48.15 | 70.99 | 172.19 | 277.44 | 349.82 | 416.57 |
2026-02-08 | 156.22 | 41.85 | 48.89 | 66.11 | 98.40 | 254.49 | 404.52 | 588.43 | 797.75 |
2026-02-15 | 184.33 | 46.43 | 54.98 | 74.35 | 109.80 | 302.05 | 487.98 | 683.32 | 863.75 |
2026-02-22 | 208.44 | 46.45 | 63.43 | 82.22 | 125.54 | 361.57 | 617.83 | 896.99 | 1090.32 |
2026-03-01 | 245.45 | 53.95 | 76.66 | 95.17 | 144.03 | 399.97 | 679.36 | 947.69 | 1258.96 |
2026-03-08 | 277.61 | 74.75 | 91.26 | 116.79 | 175.03 | 494.10 | 832.92 | 1167.36 | 1554.41 |
2026-03-15 | 300.77 | 86.86 | 105.45 | 128.69 | 193.20 | 531.06 | 859.80 | 1141.08 | 1401.58 |
2026-03-22 | 293.43 | 86.76 | 101.88 | 124.70 | 183.09 | 500.06 | 824.71 | 1104.32 | 1388.65 |
2026-03-29 | 350.78 | 98.47 | 109.68 | 138.50 | 202.42 | 545.29 | 890.67 | 1283.96 | 1877.19 |
2026-04-05 | 321.83 | 98.87 | 114.85 | 146.21 | 209.29 | 573.56 | 881.50 | 1215.41 | 1485.14 |
2026-04-12 | 390.84 | 118.27 | 143.60 | 171.33 | 243.30 | 626.85 | 1014.08 | 1497.14 | 1874.42 |
2026-04-19 | 421.95 | 133.29 | 147.48 | 184.11 | 254.95 | 660.74 | 1160.91 | 1450.43 | 1786.81 |
2026-04-26 | 425.01 | 133.18 | 162.66 | 194.70 | 274.64 | 693.16 | 1006.66 | 1315.75 | 1609.97 |
2026-05-03 | 463.00 | 125.63 | 150.53 | 179.51 | 278.21 | 766.27 | 1203.64 | 1495.57 | 2051.46 |
2026-05-10 | 472.98 | 122.73 | 153.26 | 197.16 | 294.18 | 762.42 | 1276.97 | 1746.16 | 2842.66 |
2026-05-17 | 422.76 | 111.37 | 142.38 | 171.94 | 270.94 | 796.21 | 1142.82 | 1691.11 | 2905.64 |
2026-05-24 | 395.74 | 107.71 | 127.69 | 148.59 | 242.84 | 667.72 | 1206.19 | 1842.39 | 2183.06 |
2026-05-31 | 378.69 | 106.61 | 124.98 | 152.81 | 250.45 | 588.79 | 1017.35 | 1384.01 | 1814.63 |
2026-06-07 | 332.94 | 90.71 | 113.58 | 150.28 | 201.15 | 589.35 | 998.21 | 1401.37 | 1948.55 |
2026-06-14 | 293.64 | 78.57 | 94.49 | 114.92 | 176.42 | 499.84 | 844.35 | 1127.43 | 1695.84 |
2026-06-21 | 219.60 | 48.77 | 58.18 | 72.86 | 132.19 | 399.09 | 662.97 | 954.41 | 1247.84 |
2026-06-28 | 207.76 | 51.37 | 60.61 | 73.95 | 125.94 | 357.05 | 650.45 | 815.04 | 1038.16 |
2026-07-05 | 204.20 | 48.03 | 58.35 | 80.62 | 125.59 | 346.86 | 632.28 | 891.26 | 1354.39 |
2026-07-12 | 190.43 | 37.31 | 48.33 | 61.38 | 100.39 | 324.43 | 627.79 | 858.98 | 1184.15 |
2026-07-19 | 142.39 | 29.87 | 38.93 | 50.00 | 82.78 | 293.24 | 527.15 | 661.95 | 876.04 |
2026-07-26 | 121.62 | 24.99 | 30.21 | 42.44 | 67.73 | 236.48 | 554.24 | 738.83 | 1027.95 |
2026-08-02 | 120.78 | 27.02 | 31.71 | 41.16 | 65.91 | 226.23 | 496.45 | 720.64 | 951.11 |
2026-08-09 | 116.65 | 22.31 | 29.15 | 38.71 | 61.26 | 215.83 | 374.69 | 497.29 | 677.14 |
2026-08-16 | 87.30 | 20.44 | 24.03 | 32.44 | 51.43 | 172.92 | 314.52 | 430.34 | 662.14 |
2026-08-23 | 71.53 | 16.71 | 18.66 | 24.65 | 41.33 | 135.28 | 256.62 | 416.85 | 626.16 |
2026-08-30 | 64.57 | 12.98 | 17.02 | 22.30 | 35.04 | 138.25 | 274.69 | 379.35 | 520.34 |
2026-09-06 | 57.66 | 10.83 | 13.68 | 16.87 | 28.16 | 117.92 | 236.07 | 366.99 | 479.23 |
2026-09-13 | 54.30 | 10.03 | 12.83 | 18.85 | 30.04 | 111.74 | 227.03 | 341.72 | 454.00 |
2026-09-20 | 49.54 | 9.31 | 11.35 | 17.14 | 26.58 | 89.93 | 158.84 | 248.02 | 360.75 |
2026-09-27 | 43.25 | 9.43 | 12.31 | 15.64 | 25.19 | 89.74 | 166.79 | 257.69 | 382.12 |
2026-10-04 | 43.25 | 9.43 | 12.31 | 15.64 | 25.19 | 89.74 | 166.79 | 257.69 | 382.12 |