Prediction 4250
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
2026 forecasts in SE
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 8.66 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 2.70 | 4.40 | 15.25 | 30.38 | 40.76 | 50.57 |
2025-10-12 | 7.81 | 1.42 | 1.86 | 2.47 | 4.25 | 14.48 | 30.30 | 42.10 | 55.86 |
2025-10-19 | 7.75 | 1.55 | 1.88 | 2.61 | 4.04 | 14.79 | 28.28 | 47.86 | 74.81 |
2025-10-26 | 7.26 | 1.25 | 1.51 | 2.18 | 3.73 | 12.98 | 29.59 | 37.09 | 66.47 |
2025-11-02 | 7.64 | 1.37 | 1.73 | 2.41 | 4.08 | 17.06 | 35.14 | 47.15 | 64.42 |
2025-11-09 | 6.11 | 1.22 | 1.66 | 2.20 | 3.63 | 10.99 | 19.77 | 30.88 | 44.29 |
2025-11-16 | 7.52 | 1.33 | 1.62 | 2.21 | 4.14 | 13.76 | 24.82 | 38.83 | 58.17 |
2025-11-23 | 6.22 | 1.28 | 1.71 | 2.37 | 3.59 | 12.19 | 22.47 | 30.05 | 37.44 |
2025-11-30 | 5.77 | 1.16 | 1.49 | 1.97 | 3.38 | 10.69 | 19.99 | 30.02 | 39.82 |
2025-12-07 | 4.84 | 0.94 | 1.29 | 1.61 | 2.46 | 9.02 | 16.11 | 25.13 | 36.16 |
2025-12-14 | 3.52 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.99 | 1.85 | 7.00 | 13.97 | 21.30 | 29.95 |
2025-12-21 | 3.37 | 0.53 | 0.72 | 0.94 | 1.62 | 6.43 | 12.30 | 20.92 | 29.08 |
2025-12-28 | 8.51 | 1.75 | 2.24 | 3.08 | 5.22 | 15.34 | 25.41 | 39.09 | 61.65 |
2026-01-04 | 9.97 | 2.31 | 2.93 | 3.73 | 5.88 | 16.78 | 27.65 | 36.07 | 58.19 |
2026-01-11 | 12.54 | 2.75 | 3.03 | 4.08 | 7.26 | 22.27 | 36.13 | 50.20 | 62.22 |
2026-01-18 | 16.20 | 3.60 | 4.67 | 6.05 | 9.22 | 28.07 | 48.11 | 66.94 | 87.62 |
2026-01-25 | 18.70 | 4.36 | 6.10 | 7.82 | 11.73 | 31.34 | 60.25 | 87.02 | 117.09 |
2026-02-01 | 24.88 | 6.03 | 7.53 | 9.56 | 14.70 | 41.90 | 67.76 | 105.89 | 148.24 |
2026-02-08 | 38.24 | 7.95 | 9.77 | 13.39 | 21.97 | 69.69 | 127.63 | 188.53 | 278.69 |
2026-02-15 | 43.86 | 8.71 | 12.72 | 17.03 | 24.62 | 81.27 | 130.73 | 187.30 | 377.16 |
2026-02-22 | 49.90 | 9.85 | 12.13 | 16.54 | 26.38 | 87.61 | 160.92 | 248.67 | 364.50 |
2026-03-01 | 60.07 | 13.55 | 17.14 | 21.58 | 35.06 | 104.98 | 196.11 | 271.80 | 372.67 |
2026-03-08 | 72.18 | 15.88 | 18.92 | 25.38 | 41.51 | 114.56 | 190.32 | 282.35 | 433.63 |
2026-03-15 | 72.72 | 18.54 | 21.77 | 29.77 | 43.99 | 126.03 | 219.12 | 291.37 | 369.86 |
2026-03-22 | 62.72 | 17.33 | 20.90 | 25.91 | 39.99 | 108.25 | 170.31 | 262.89 | 399.28 |
2026-03-29 | 74.88 | 19.64 | 23.53 | 27.78 | 44.60 | 135.56 | 248.11 | 376.37 | 495.51 |
2026-04-05 | 83.42 | 20.98 | 26.01 | 33.25 | 49.52 | 132.88 | 227.91 | 308.22 | 422.97 |
2026-04-12 | 95.02 | 22.81 | 30.19 | 38.89 | 54.44 | 149.02 | 297.40 | 372.46 | 438.22 |
2026-04-19 | 89.90 | 24.91 | 29.81 | 41.45 | 61.14 | 158.54 | 277.89 | 360.03 | 522.27 |
2026-04-26 | 109.83 | 31.13 | 37.10 | 46.05 | 68.80 | 194.46 | 333.89 | 418.92 | 727.57 |
2026-05-03 | 110.32 | 28.28 | 34.77 | 43.05 | 64.91 | 185.37 | 308.52 | 490.17 | 744.77 |
2026-05-10 | 118.84 | 26.72 | 34.11 | 43.09 | 67.35 | 200.37 | 310.00 | 405.49 | 585.38 |
2026-05-17 | 102.03 | 25.61 | 30.39 | 38.64 | 59.36 | 179.25 | 293.74 | 420.44 | 596.74 |
2026-05-24 | 85.73 | 21.60 | 24.86 | 33.43 | 51.50 | 159.91 | 283.18 | 357.17 | 492.94 |
2026-05-31 | 80.18 | 18.78 | 23.91 | 31.22 | 46.96 | 136.61 | 230.79 | 292.06 | 403.07 |
2026-06-07 | 64.00 | 15.35 | 17.95 | 22.56 | 38.67 | 116.33 | 213.02 | 277.96 | 325.23 |
2026-06-14 | 62.75 | 12.24 | 14.66 | 19.48 | 36.45 | 109.64 | 184.34 | 230.72 | 305.97 |
2026-06-21 | 40.83 | 7.07 | 9.21 | 12.62 | 21.90 | 76.20 | 133.91 | 191.92 | 276.51 |
2026-06-28 | 36.46 | 6.74 | 8.65 | 11.16 | 19.81 | 75.36 | 133.44 | 193.47 | 277.20 |
2026-07-05 | 35.81 | 7.53 | 9.21 | 12.18 | 19.20 | 72.10 | 128.99 | 191.10 | 304.07 |
2026-07-12 | 31.51 | 5.82 | 7.24 | 9.73 | 17.65 | 64.77 | 120.43 | 196.32 | 269.67 |
2026-07-19 | 23.44 | 4.19 | 5.22 | 7.45 | 12.51 | 44.90 | 77.44 | 132.48 | 170.74 |
2026-07-26 | 18.32 | 3.61 | 4.74 | 5.88 | 10.44 | 36.35 | 65.52 | 99.91 | 137.28 |
2026-08-02 | 18.78 | 3.57 | 4.40 | 5.76 | 11.07 | 36.37 | 68.82 | 90.82 | 142.62 |
2026-08-09 | 15.42 | 3.20 | 3.66 | 5.13 | 8.24 | 34.37 | 63.71 | 105.43 | 168.92 |
2026-08-16 | 11.54 | 2.26 | 3.05 | 4.01 | 6.56 | 23.44 | 54.86 | 70.38 | 86.11 |
2026-08-23 | 10.67 | 1.97 | 2.47 | 3.10 | 5.58 | 21.06 | 37.70 | 65.58 | 104.70 |
2026-08-30 | 9.32 | 1.93 | 2.50 | 3.52 | 5.68 | 19.12 | 39.40 | 63.29 | 105.52 |
2026-09-06 | 8.30 | 1.29 | 1.76 | 2.30 | 4.20 | 15.34 | 29.79 | 42.97 | 57.54 |
2026-09-13 | 8.43 | 1.26 | 1.71 | 2.38 | 4.37 | 17.44 | 32.85 | 47.75 | 87.53 |
2026-09-20 | 6.47 | 1.12 | 1.39 | 1.84 | 3.27 | 14.06 | 26.59 | 44.74 | 74.34 |
2026-09-27 | 6.49 | 1.22 | 1.47 | 1.88 | 3.33 | 11.68 | 23.91 | 36.41 | 48.34 |
2026-10-04 | 6.49 | 1.22 | 1.47 | 1.88 | 3.33 | 11.68 | 23.91 | 36.41 | 48.34 |