Prediction 4251
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
2026 forecasts in DF
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 123.10 | 9.06 | 13.73 | 25.08 | 55.41 | 287.18 | 662.87 | 1035.05 | 1511.62 |
2025-10-12 | 175.42 | 7.26 | 10.75 | 23.15 | 65.85 | 406.41 | 777.63 | 1103.44 | 1940.01 |
2025-10-19 | 163.19 | 8.43 | 15.97 | 28.63 | 67.56 | 391.58 | 784.18 | 1075.04 | 1617.93 |
2025-10-26 | 164.67 | 9.90 | 17.92 | 36.16 | 72.65 | 428.59 | 789.40 | 1188.68 | 1944.75 |
2025-11-02 | 242.30 | 9.65 | 16.23 | 36.20 | 101.29 | 525.34 | 1214.92 | 1888.27 | 2627.47 |
2025-11-09 | 303.40 | 22.61 | 36.43 | 67.26 | 149.69 | 643.12 | 1481.05 | 2397.79 | 3396.21 |
2025-11-16 | 354.27 | 34.96 | 56.27 | 80.72 | 172.62 | 863.63 | 1597.84 | 2721.12 | 4295.77 |
2025-11-23 | 492.52 | 45.04 | 64.78 | 100.32 | 216.49 | 1142.97 | 2072.94 | 3268.99 | 5069.40 |
2025-11-30 | 561.42 | 34.69 | 53.35 | 84.20 | 191.61 | 1287.67 | 2584.10 | 4256.17 | 7043.67 |
2025-12-07 | 409.45 | 26.31 | 41.81 | 77.90 | 174.07 | 1144.05 | 2469.17 | 3553.16 | 5100.87 |
2025-12-14 | 285.57 | 18.80 | 33.17 | 53.29 | 127.22 | 709.93 | 1619.71 | 2666.65 | 4048.32 |
2025-12-21 | 302.14 | 15.22 | 24.61 | 42.11 | 102.20 | 817.57 | 1895.83 | 2880.33 | 4681.29 |
2025-12-28 | 894.63 | 33.98 | 67.98 | 113.98 | 328.21 | 2324.09 | 5074.02 | 10541.66 | 13854.47 |
2026-01-04 | 1067.48 | 52.04 | 83.78 | 145.42 | 384.50 | 2856.65 | 6457.87 | 9804.53 | 15472.06 |
2026-01-11 | 1206.02 | 70.77 | 127.46 | 231.18 | 514.44 | 2776.85 | 5828.16 | 9071.09 | 15304.73 |
2026-01-18 | 1522.81 | 143.99 | 191.82 | 283.69 | 659.04 | 3705.52 | 7954.66 | 11735.70 | 15769.99 |
2026-01-25 | 1694.30 | 112.66 | 171.18 | 337.75 | 812.94 | 3948.17 | 9249.47 | 12543.90 | 18940.73 |
2026-02-01 | 1920.23 | 162.81 | 264.62 | 464.94 | 932.09 | 4425.25 | 8712.83 | 12782.20 | 20940.60 |
2026-02-08 | 2090.80 | 211.40 | 274.53 | 434.95 | 902.66 | 4586.52 | 8968.37 | 13968.63 | 20585.04 |
2026-02-15 | 2365.04 | 226.70 | 288.25 | 442.45 | 908.50 | 4822.48 | 9756.02 | 14505.50 | 22373.77 |
2026-02-22 | 1927.41 | 235.69 | 330.35 | 481.38 | 949.65 | 4507.08 | 8570.58 | 14140.11 | 19307.15 |
2026-03-01 | 2062.33 | 139.61 | 201.69 | 431.83 | 959.72 | 4879.77 | 9472.13 | 13331.56 | 17884.77 |
2026-03-08 | 2162.73 | 282.76 | 444.89 | 630.40 | 1138.58 | 4865.03 | 9254.77 | 13919.56 | 17353.17 |
2026-03-15 | 2559.76 | 283.55 | 355.28 | 637.73 | 1324.79 | 5200.52 | 9437.79 | 12843.95 | 14348.50 |
2026-03-22 | 2527.09 | 335.53 | 467.82 | 685.08 | 1332.35 | 4782.29 | 8757.68 | 12185.69 | 17712.06 |
2026-03-29 | 2657.34 | 359.61 | 527.21 | 724.74 | 1385.66 | 4669.49 | 7763.91 | 11219.90 | 14999.24 |
2026-04-05 | 2587.88 | 319.73 | 453.06 | 616.36 | 1159.20 | 5378.66 | 9394.50 | 12306.74 | 17696.94 |
2026-04-12 | 2391.78 | 390.76 | 475.66 | 752.11 | 1365.92 | 4626.42 | 8100.57 | 11623.63 | 15098.07 |
2026-04-19 | 2492.57 | 264.54 | 374.06 | 637.61 | 1190.18 | 4809.91 | 10548.05 | 15138.20 | 20181.97 |
2026-04-26 | 2390.36 | 261.66 | 436.29 | 656.57 | 1138.91 | 4754.28 | 8065.04 | 11374.46 | 15590.40 |
2026-05-03 | 2628.05 | 419.60 | 529.05 | 725.36 | 1292.43 | 5551.95 | 10263.38 | 14291.70 | 20283.65 |
2026-05-10 | 2166.08 | 298.45 | 398.58 | 563.42 | 1052.97 | 4004.85 | 6913.57 | 10470.11 | 13354.28 |
2026-05-17 | 1723.76 | 212.83 | 304.65 | 464.81 | 845.29 | 3121.19 | 5646.45 | 7999.40 | 9896.85 |
2026-05-24 | 1300.07 | 173.46 | 221.92 | 301.43 | 605.93 | 2764.17 | 5961.76 | 8441.38 | 12339.01 |
2026-05-31 | 1063.55 | 88.12 | 128.51 | 204.54 | 463.13 | 2251.47 | 4471.92 | 6277.85 | 8925.62 |
2026-06-07 | 942.81 | 84.55 | 121.37 | 221.39 | 433.77 | 1844.54 | 3439.23 | 5145.53 | 7034.48 |
2026-06-14 | 631.44 | 57.83 | 81.74 | 132.52 | 315.96 | 1372.00 | 2413.77 | 3677.04 | 5612.18 |
2026-06-21 | 269.73 | 16.65 | 22.93 | 39.33 | 96.63 | 882.04 | 1713.98 | 2842.46 | 4120.69 |
2026-06-28 | 216.54 | 12.57 | 18.93 | 32.23 | 79.36 | 641.72 | 1528.83 | 2100.43 | 3029.92 |
2026-07-05 | 172.05 | 7.43 | 13.35 | 30.04 | 72.83 | 463.48 | 1027.88 | 1856.73 | 2680.98 |
2026-07-12 | 159.36 | 10.63 | 13.63 | 25.37 | 56.58 | 373.14 | 860.11 | 1411.56 | 2073.72 |
2026-07-19 | 165.08 | 9.82 | 14.43 | 28.40 | 66.21 | 408.31 | 767.73 | 1205.81 | 1640.06 |
2026-07-26 | 109.12 | 3.73 | 6.50 | 16.80 | 38.42 | 299.43 | 632.10 | 886.69 | 1788.54 |
2026-08-02 | 88.81 | 2.86 | 4.27 | 7.61 | 27.64 | 261.65 | 633.00 | 1110.12 | 1927.16 |
2026-08-09 | 82.99 | 2.05 | 4.21 | 9.85 | 25.41 | 259.38 | 624.26 | 1014.85 | 1361.15 |
2026-08-16 | 73.37 | 1.93 | 4.23 | 8.42 | 25.08 | 217.51 | 592.09 | 1161.90 | 1655.44 |
2026-08-23 | 78.97 | 1.76 | 4.06 | 7.83 | 25.56 | 242.87 | 524.06 | 971.85 | 1732.61 |
2026-08-30 | 69.13 | 1.37 | 3.04 | 7.00 | 21.35 | 210.28 | 711.64 | 1231.96 | 2054.24 |
2026-09-06 | 86.76 | 2.63 | 3.97 | 8.74 | 27.21 | 256.21 | 753.40 | 1334.54 | 2371.69 |
2026-09-13 | 80.31 | 3.03 | 5.89 | 10.16 | 25.68 | 220.87 | 455.23 | 759.16 | 1162.40 |
2026-09-20 | 72.14 | 1.87 | 4.43 | 9.13 | 27.62 | 192.35 | 478.54 | 831.64 | 1358.13 |
2026-09-27 | 92.18 | 3.01 | 6.27 | 12.82 | 30.51 | 263.76 | 594.61 | 1020.86 | 1323.91 |
2026-10-04 | 92.18 | 3.01 | 6.27 | 12.82 | 30.51 | 263.76 | 594.61 | 1020.86 | 1323.91 |