Prediction 4253
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
2026 forecasts in MS
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 81.89 | 21.35 | 26.40 | 34.38 | 55.17 | 140.21 | 232.55 | 360.34 | 477.55 |
2025-10-12 | 94.13 | 27.30 | 32.91 | 39.44 | 59.68 | 161.07 | 274.93 | 433.16 | 622.14 |
2025-10-19 | 81.91 | 22.30 | 26.87 | 35.83 | 53.70 | 130.22 | 227.00 | 395.47 | 533.09 |
2025-10-26 | 100.25 | 26.59 | 34.40 | 46.81 | 66.06 | 170.13 | 283.21 | 368.89 | 510.73 |
2025-11-02 | 143.22 | 42.43 | 51.59 | 62.32 | 92.45 | 236.04 | 446.00 | 635.47 | 1070.32 |
2025-11-09 | 163.24 | 52.76 | 61.35 | 74.88 | 107.55 | 272.81 | 488.70 | 672.15 | 1107.20 |
2025-11-16 | 205.15 | 66.84 | 81.83 | 95.92 | 139.39 | 317.13 | 523.37 | 694.03 | 990.81 |
2025-11-23 | 231.10 | 89.80 | 101.48 | 125.99 | 170.36 | 362.08 | 573.51 | 774.79 | 1069.72 |
2025-11-30 | 305.67 | 98.44 | 112.91 | 132.32 | 197.34 | 509.12 | 869.71 | 1178.08 | 1499.87 |
2025-12-07 | 267.22 | 80.62 | 98.13 | 122.97 | 180.09 | 459.44 | 758.70 | 1021.71 | 1500.89 |
2025-12-14 | 221.10 | 61.72 | 78.25 | 94.91 | 137.98 | 365.12 | 619.53 | 900.59 | 1098.51 |
2025-12-21 | 189.65 | 45.85 | 60.80 | 78.58 | 120.01 | 319.71 | 607.31 | 869.61 | 1292.46 |
2025-12-28 | 506.59 | 137.33 | 170.41 | 210.19 | 314.14 | 845.94 | 1417.54 | 2068.63 | 2937.36 |
2026-01-04 | 658.92 | 184.50 | 219.01 | 285.30 | 444.37 | 1072.00 | 1698.43 | 2620.02 | 3488.59 |
2026-01-11 | 739.77 | 182.21 | 229.56 | 300.50 | 469.16 | 1306.67 | 1960.48 | 2773.49 | 3600.86 |
2026-01-18 | 960.95 | 296.45 | 349.53 | 432.04 | 590.07 | 1499.89 | 2606.07 | 3553.37 | 4849.02 |
2026-01-25 | 1054.26 | 318.27 | 414.92 | 507.28 | 720.73 | 1629.44 | 2547.91 | 3770.80 | 4971.54 |
2026-02-01 | 1089.46 | 391.59 | 443.32 | 518.46 | 739.23 | 1684.21 | 2653.33 | 3374.26 | 4454.49 |
2026-02-08 | 1152.81 | 389.43 | 461.79 | 573.45 | 791.13 | 1782.46 | 2715.76 | 3971.58 | 4762.51 |
2026-02-15 | 1193.61 | 418.08 | 469.79 | 578.20 | 805.88 | 1852.59 | 3057.85 | 3846.55 | 5901.02 |
2026-02-22 | 1203.16 | 369.83 | 447.83 | 623.23 | 835.20 | 1791.87 | 3088.78 | 4454.52 | 5787.84 |
2026-03-01 | 1064.14 | 412.33 | 491.73 | 570.98 | 752.98 | 1658.61 | 2593.57 | 3557.12 | 5001.30 |
2026-03-08 | 1241.05 | 432.77 | 517.42 | 641.97 | 862.48 | 1808.92 | 2737.97 | 3232.36 | 4868.54 |
2026-03-15 | 1212.05 | 469.49 | 545.36 | 629.99 | 869.06 | 1764.40 | 2603.87 | 3375.35 | 4037.06 |
2026-03-22 | 1243.01 | 475.33 | 534.37 | 647.92 | 871.07 | 1817.65 | 2774.17 | 3248.55 | 3960.10 |
2026-03-29 | 1176.78 | 467.68 | 563.62 | 659.20 | 876.68 | 1815.22 | 2582.93 | 3115.23 | 4181.46 |
2026-04-05 | 1321.95 | 564.20 | 632.99 | 717.07 | 967.17 | 1888.69 | 2874.87 | 3415.10 | 3916.67 |
2026-04-12 | 1233.89 | 502.58 | 572.08 | 687.78 | 872.65 | 1929.48 | 2862.50 | 3583.36 | 4562.73 |
2026-04-19 | 1178.96 | 467.38 | 519.64 | 587.02 | 828.27 | 1812.33 | 2725.47 | 3595.50 | 5080.73 |
2026-04-26 | 1186.65 | 482.35 | 525.27 | 659.21 | 849.88 | 1718.99 | 2484.60 | 3033.14 | 4037.39 |
2026-05-03 | 1236.56 | 514.59 | 585.53 | 669.37 | 860.56 | 1821.96 | 2570.53 | 3194.76 | 3965.23 |
2026-05-10 | 1012.10 | 378.40 | 439.41 | 543.81 | 764.01 | 1461.60 | 2304.18 | 3107.34 | 3444.69 |
2026-05-17 | 854.80 | 341.76 | 386.62 | 462.60 | 647.17 | 1259.88 | 1934.54 | 2607.85 | 3032.40 |
2026-05-24 | 812.20 | 277.44 | 318.69 | 385.33 | 530.17 | 1237.34 | 1871.32 | 2535.90 | 3762.08 |
2026-05-31 | 646.65 | 219.23 | 270.84 | 325.48 | 474.14 | 1023.73 | 1629.11 | 2363.25 | 3313.51 |
2026-06-07 | 465.07 | 160.76 | 194.63 | 232.10 | 325.91 | 705.54 | 1101.65 | 1519.55 | 1865.71 |
2026-06-14 | 353.66 | 128.84 | 149.59 | 182.41 | 238.47 | 578.58 | 947.24 | 1282.79 | 1593.47 |
2026-06-21 | 168.15 | 39.24 | 49.54 | 66.86 | 100.20 | 281.11 | 500.55 | 719.18 | 985.92 |
2026-06-28 | 137.68 | 29.67 | 37.70 | 52.65 | 85.29 | 224.13 | 407.18 | 609.55 | 781.28 |
2026-07-05 | 111.69 | 32.09 | 36.71 | 42.82 | 66.63 | 208.37 | 356.24 | 566.14 | 772.51 |
2026-07-12 | 87.55 | 20.89 | 29.04 | 34.99 | 55.54 | 141.88 | 271.91 | 407.24 | 705.39 |
2026-07-19 | 89.29 | 26.77 | 32.46 | 38.31 | 53.36 | 135.13 | 229.64 | 311.60 | 439.04 |
2026-07-26 | 72.76 | 16.07 | 21.17 | 28.97 | 44.78 | 126.30 | 223.45 | 334.86 | 614.54 |
2026-08-02 | 59.26 | 11.71 | 16.35 | 21.39 | 33.50 | 110.43 | 201.64 | 344.22 | 552.79 |
2026-08-09 | 66.76 | 12.42 | 15.29 | 19.72 | 34.16 | 121.15 | 232.29 | 357.36 | 531.82 |
2026-08-16 | 55.00 | 11.93 | 14.98 | 21.80 | 33.11 | 102.63 | 233.15 | 354.67 | 470.10 |
2026-08-23 | 60.86 | 14.04 | 16.63 | 20.86 | 35.77 | 118.57 | 209.34 | 311.25 | 417.81 |
2026-08-30 | 50.53 | 10.44 | 12.89 | 18.45 | 30.49 | 92.86 | 172.34 | 279.67 | 416.74 |
2026-09-06 | 70.24 | 13.42 | 18.27 | 23.51 | 38.89 | 131.21 | 260.59 | 456.40 | 695.15 |
2026-09-13 | 50.38 | 14.35 | 16.94 | 20.53 | 29.33 | 84.80 | 140.87 | 207.85 | 299.91 |
2026-09-20 | 52.94 | 11.59 | 15.90 | 20.88 | 31.08 | 111.39 | 211.36 | 383.57 | 590.55 |
2026-09-27 | 61.81 | 14.86 | 17.68 | 23.18 | 36.58 | 112.19 | 217.22 | 307.04 | 462.05 |
2026-10-04 | 61.81 | 14.86 | 17.68 | 23.18 | 36.58 | 112.19 | 217.22 | 307.04 | 462.05 |