Prediction 4257
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
2026 forecasts in AM
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 40.89 | 12.86 | 14.35 | 17.88 | 25.47 | 66.15 | 118.81 | 201.99 | 365.05 |
2025-10-12 | 53.65 | 14.75 | 19.16 | 23.65 | 32.64 | 86.33 | 163.12 | 251.36 | 364.86 |
2025-10-19 | 43.36 | 13.17 | 14.90 | 19.10 | 27.61 | 77.62 | 134.36 | 299.08 | 609.07 |
2025-10-26 | 59.51 | 14.83 | 18.77 | 23.24 | 34.58 | 101.10 | 189.83 | 274.03 | 486.16 |
2025-11-02 | 58.60 | 18.74 | 20.57 | 25.53 | 35.07 | 99.69 | 191.80 | 323.89 | 477.50 |
2025-11-09 | 74.11 | 20.40 | 25.35 | 30.77 | 45.41 | 128.21 | 244.54 | 442.06 | 985.73 |
2025-11-16 | 91.31 | 27.22 | 32.54 | 41.30 | 58.39 | 153.48 | 286.90 | 455.16 | 1130.39 |
2025-11-23 | 118.83 | 23.54 | 30.93 | 40.06 | 70.38 | 228.68 | 424.14 | 864.83 | 1570.11 |
2025-11-30 | 124.21 | 26.42 | 32.54 | 47.18 | 71.90 | 224.92 | 447.54 | 682.77 | 1635.86 |
2025-12-07 | 123.41 | 26.18 | 32.37 | 41.55 | 64.91 | 224.81 | 484.70 | 950.24 | 1860.18 |
2025-12-14 | 81.45 | 19.15 | 22.07 | 29.87 | 48.59 | 166.41 | 404.33 | 771.28 | 1521.23 |
2025-12-21 | 63.31 | 13.77 | 16.57 | 24.43 | 39.80 | 109.62 | 249.42 | 424.35 | 853.67 |
2025-12-28 | 173.30 | 48.47 | 61.35 | 75.66 | 112.78 | 303.34 | 603.88 | 985.02 | 2197.16 |
2026-01-04 | 234.86 | 59.57 | 75.28 | 99.86 | 139.34 | 426.88 | 984.82 | 1439.17 | 1990.04 |
2026-01-11 | 235.03 | 73.77 | 87.28 | 108.28 | 150.43 | 435.55 | 800.50 | 1207.68 | 2086.62 |
2026-01-18 | 263.11 | 87.20 | 102.01 | 122.62 | 165.23 | 401.71 | 717.59 | 1033.25 | 1694.91 |
2026-01-25 | 323.03 | 107.67 | 125.35 | 153.84 | 206.06 | 567.57 | 1174.23 | 1788.74 | 3365.12 |
2026-02-01 | 289.03 | 97.47 | 114.86 | 139.99 | 194.81 | 504.70 | 1151.56 | 2302.48 | 4010.91 |
2026-02-08 | 378.20 | 110.34 | 136.34 | 166.86 | 228.00 | 666.02 | 1266.71 | 2021.28 | 3334.52 |
2026-02-15 | 329.71 | 97.00 | 116.26 | 146.15 | 210.85 | 629.50 | 1289.97 | 2536.03 | 3812.70 |
2026-02-22 | 393.82 | 117.29 | 146.20 | 176.23 | 256.29 | 857.43 | 2341.87 | 4971.87 | 10004.79 |
2026-03-01 | 377.40 | 116.33 | 136.21 | 168.87 | 229.19 | 661.61 | 1577.59 | 2213.13 | 4715.15 |
2026-03-08 | 382.15 | 111.42 | 130.16 | 157.84 | 243.28 | 693.85 | 1562.58 | 3054.55 | 4066.85 |
2026-03-15 | 376.96 | 107.31 | 122.75 | 148.76 | 213.49 | 732.82 | 2203.21 | 4822.79 | 12501.46 |
2026-03-22 | 281.99 | 92.82 | 106.67 | 132.61 | 193.77 | 490.73 | 1058.38 | 1987.27 | 2865.23 |
2026-03-29 | 292.12 | 92.98 | 111.73 | 140.69 | 196.09 | 536.22 | 1183.80 | 1979.83 | 4063.44 |
2026-04-05 | 281.51 | 95.66 | 113.65 | 133.06 | 192.24 | 520.37 | 916.80 | 1230.49 | 2497.83 |
2026-04-12 | 276.86 | 97.10 | 112.63 | 133.64 | 186.36 | 458.60 | 841.08 | 1409.68 | 2421.20 |
2026-04-19 | 286.04 | 99.33 | 112.54 | 129.26 | 183.79 | 488.63 | 827.20 | 1311.36 | 2528.09 |
2026-04-26 | 277.07 | 87.00 | 98.95 | 119.93 | 167.68 | 449.64 | 734.20 | 1137.63 | 1908.69 |
2026-05-03 | 254.90 | 89.48 | 99.97 | 115.08 | 164.77 | 417.94 | 719.75 | 1123.74 | 1512.09 |
2026-05-10 | 259.77 | 68.28 | 83.30 | 111.41 | 163.05 | 465.95 | 727.18 | 1090.89 | 1548.68 |
2026-05-17 | 218.66 | 57.28 | 65.85 | 91.11 | 132.72 | 373.90 | 652.65 | 987.30 | 1422.11 |
2026-05-24 | 162.36 | 53.58 | 63.17 | 80.58 | 107.25 | 272.56 | 503.76 | 753.10 | 1012.54 |
2026-05-31 | 148.96 | 45.38 | 54.16 | 68.94 | 96.41 | 258.34 | 417.19 | 921.67 | 1455.87 |
2026-06-07 | 145.56 | 47.52 | 54.42 | 65.32 | 90.36 | 239.57 | 501.96 | 839.05 | 1504.34 |
2026-06-14 | 127.18 | 35.59 | 43.00 | 54.66 | 78.96 | 207.04 | 465.15 | 737.33 | 1839.79 |
2026-06-21 | 72.38 | 20.94 | 25.15 | 29.94 | 46.74 | 128.11 | 241.94 | 417.47 | 672.81 |
2026-06-28 | 85.35 | 22.29 | 27.59 | 34.63 | 51.88 | 155.50 | 350.82 | 589.30 | 1095.24 |
2026-07-05 | 76.40 | 18.50 | 23.69 | 29.08 | 44.67 | 131.62 | 254.17 | 413.88 | 591.99 |
2026-07-12 | 59.83 | 17.10 | 21.37 | 25.35 | 37.99 | 105.16 | 203.57 | 336.51 | 485.05 |
2026-07-19 | 63.90 | 16.91 | 21.53 | 25.90 | 39.10 | 119.97 | 219.55 | 386.06 | 527.64 |
2026-07-26 | 63.86 | 16.59 | 20.12 | 24.99 | 37.26 | 117.23 | 252.63 | 429.87 | 649.28 |
2026-08-02 | 64.37 | 19.34 | 21.28 | 25.69 | 38.47 | 120.40 | 244.26 | 446.52 | 696.10 |
2026-08-09 | 60.26 | 15.32 | 18.44 | 23.52 | 34.03 | 106.50 | 197.10 | 298.68 | 607.87 |
2026-08-16 | 55.41 | 11.91 | 14.54 | 19.60 | 29.40 | 105.91 | 191.43 | 312.51 | 587.87 |
2026-08-23 | 51.86 | 11.44 | 15.19 | 19.63 | 30.19 | 107.08 | 220.81 | 353.75 | 593.95 |
2026-08-30 | 46.18 | 10.30 | 12.96 | 17.43 | 26.42 | 82.18 | 184.70 | 325.83 | 441.97 |
2026-09-06 | 59.37 | 10.70 | 12.92 | 17.02 | 27.43 | 119.19 | 322.89 | 566.35 | 993.18 |
2026-09-13 | 63.26 | 14.19 | 16.51 | 21.56 | 33.79 | 129.81 | 308.74 | 514.55 | 959.48 |
2026-09-20 | 57.23 | 11.28 | 13.62 | 17.75 | 31.94 | 114.61 | 262.96 | 426.87 | 1032.66 |
2026-09-27 | 56.93 | 10.31 | 12.78 | 17.62 | 30.91 | 119.38 | 372.57 | 945.79 | 1961.58 |
2026-10-04 | 56.93 | 10.31 | 12.78 | 17.62 | 30.91 | 119.38 | 372.57 | 945.79 | 1961.58 |