Prediction 4258
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
2026 forecasts in RR
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 4.97 | 0.47 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 2.18 | 11.55 | 23.08 | 38.10 | 60.03 |
2025-10-12 | 5.52 | 0.48 | 0.76 | 1.26 | 2.54 | 12.71 | 24.06 | 37.46 | 55.59 |
2025-10-19 | 4.41 | 0.54 | 0.68 | 1.07 | 2.22 | 11.29 | 24.41 | 35.69 | 53.76 |
2025-10-26 | 7.36 | 0.70 | 1.07 | 1.48 | 3.25 | 16.97 | 38.42 | 63.50 | 91.65 |
2025-11-02 | 6.97 | 0.91 | 1.28 | 1.79 | 3.52 | 16.66 | 31.59 | 54.23 | 76.34 |
2025-11-09 | 9.42 | 1.04 | 1.28 | 2.19 | 4.20 | 21.00 | 50.12 | 73.82 | 148.86 |
2025-11-16 | 12.50 | 1.23 | 1.70 | 2.59 | 5.31 | 28.30 | 61.69 | 101.48 | 178.41 |
2025-11-23 | 14.18 | 1.09 | 2.04 | 3.27 | 6.55 | 37.69 | 85.04 | 151.18 | 241.68 |
2025-11-30 | 16.86 | 1.22 | 1.83 | 2.94 | 6.24 | 47.08 | 117.07 | 181.75 | 269.55 |
2025-12-07 | 16.55 | 1.04 | 1.55 | 2.19 | 6.02 | 41.05 | 98.63 | 163.88 | 265.53 |
2025-12-14 | 10.73 | 0.94 | 1.29 | 2.09 | 4.05 | 25.78 | 69.61 | 109.37 | 167.41 |
2025-12-21 | 6.13 | 0.53 | 0.90 | 1.42 | 2.79 | 16.07 | 41.88 | 70.00 | 107.64 |
2025-12-28 | 26.48 | 3.05 | 4.26 | 6.77 | 12.33 | 59.91 | 138.81 | 210.58 | 317.69 |
2026-01-04 | 34.56 | 4.35 | 5.53 | 8.53 | 16.30 | 74.08 | 166.51 | 311.68 | 414.22 |
2026-01-11 | 37.33 | 4.38 | 5.64 | 9.70 | 17.10 | 80.89 | 141.89 | 219.89 | 313.38 |
2026-01-18 | 36.82 | 5.18 | 7.13 | 10.24 | 18.00 | 69.03 | 138.01 | 196.95 | 251.49 |
2026-01-25 | 46.13 | 7.42 | 10.00 | 13.96 | 22.98 | 90.05 | 156.24 | 222.74 | 297.51 |
2026-02-01 | 45.76 | 7.59 | 10.01 | 13.11 | 24.03 | 95.04 | 180.26 | 293.19 | 402.63 |
2026-02-08 | 54.11 | 9.72 | 11.71 | 16.63 | 28.44 | 109.22 | 204.64 | 295.51 | 391.05 |
2026-02-15 | 56.56 | 7.99 | 10.74 | 15.75 | 27.07 | 105.98 | 190.25 | 272.66 | 398.67 |
2026-02-22 | 62.42 | 8.47 | 12.08 | 16.75 | 32.82 | 134.97 | 249.61 | 379.37 | 495.36 |
2026-03-01 | 57.92 | 9.03 | 11.16 | 14.59 | 29.55 | 124.25 | 212.87 | 284.81 | 344.35 |
2026-03-08 | 55.50 | 7.70 | 9.84 | 14.41 | 27.59 | 118.69 | 219.30 | 341.32 | 505.22 |
2026-03-15 | 52.75 | 7.37 | 9.20 | 13.75 | 23.26 | 115.97 | 240.99 | 329.37 | 515.32 |
2026-03-22 | 48.03 | 7.91 | 10.05 | 13.38 | 24.82 | 87.91 | 173.62 | 254.65 | 340.30 |
2026-03-29 | 49.40 | 7.52 | 10.06 | 13.38 | 24.89 | 104.56 | 181.27 | 260.57 | 450.93 |
2026-04-05 | 43.51 | 6.93 | 10.66 | 13.03 | 24.10 | 91.81 | 164.45 | 233.60 | 371.41 |
2026-04-12 | 46.04 | 7.67 | 10.19 | 14.10 | 22.72 | 86.29 | 161.73 | 220.89 | 369.81 |
2026-04-19 | 45.66 | 6.48 | 8.63 | 11.99 | 24.66 | 82.13 | 152.42 | 287.87 | 488.43 |
2026-04-26 | 42.33 | 5.48 | 8.73 | 11.82 | 21.55 | 82.43 | 153.25 | 234.55 | 317.40 |
2026-05-03 | 42.02 | 5.24 | 7.03 | 10.48 | 20.18 | 87.00 | 170.21 | 245.67 | 390.68 |
2026-05-10 | 41.37 | 5.05 | 6.71 | 10.52 | 20.43 | 82.88 | 162.02 | 244.01 | 351.41 |
2026-05-17 | 32.17 | 4.42 | 5.86 | 9.45 | 16.34 | 67.49 | 128.00 | 204.05 | 336.65 |
2026-05-24 | 30.10 | 3.86 | 5.01 | 7.77 | 13.19 | 57.79 | 127.63 | 167.01 | 267.20 |
2026-05-31 | 25.20 | 3.67 | 5.08 | 7.22 | 11.60 | 50.79 | 96.87 | 153.10 | 236.04 |
2026-06-07 | 22.65 | 3.71 | 4.86 | 7.14 | 10.96 | 46.89 | 86.60 | 136.04 | 202.78 |
2026-06-14 | 19.83 | 2.03 | 2.85 | 4.35 | 8.75 | 43.70 | 92.79 | 142.78 | 201.59 |
2026-06-21 | 10.42 | 1.55 | 1.80 | 2.69 | 5.04 | 24.17 | 47.16 | 88.42 | 127.83 |
2026-06-28 | 12.54 | 1.34 | 1.81 | 2.96 | 5.24 | 26.02 | 55.75 | 87.61 | 164.17 |
2026-07-05 | 12.51 | 1.41 | 2.01 | 2.95 | 5.72 | 28.24 | 62.98 | 88.50 | 135.65 |
2026-07-12 | 8.95 | 1.36 | 1.61 | 2.22 | 4.04 | 20.55 | 43.57 | 65.46 | 101.45 |
2026-07-19 | 9.02 | 1.14 | 1.66 | 2.13 | 4.25 | 20.97 | 47.05 | 75.77 | 114.41 |
2026-07-26 | 10.16 | 1.10 | 1.75 | 2.39 | 4.92 | 22.96 | 47.03 | 75.55 | 97.27 |
2026-08-02 | 10.19 | 0.97 | 1.25 | 2.05 | 4.26 | 22.02 | 46.72 | 98.30 | 162.68 |
2026-08-09 | 9.79 | 1.02 | 1.53 | 2.08 | 4.38 | 21.95 | 44.12 | 63.43 | 91.88 |
2026-08-16 | 7.86 | 0.88 | 1.11 | 1.71 | 3.49 | 18.15 | 39.34 | 69.45 | 93.60 |
2026-08-23 | 7.05 | 0.74 | 1.24 | 1.58 | 3.03 | 19.67 | 47.20 | 78.79 | 98.98 |
2026-08-30 | 7.00 | 0.68 | 0.93 | 1.30 | 2.82 | 18.13 | 38.30 | 57.30 | 80.88 |
2026-09-06 | 7.45 | 0.44 | 0.68 | 1.09 | 2.65 | 19.11 | 43.30 | 75.81 | 119.03 |
2026-09-13 | 8.82 | 0.67 | 1.07 | 1.76 | 3.79 | 25.70 | 52.99 | 91.15 | 140.85 |
2026-09-20 | 9.03 | 0.62 | 0.89 | 1.29 | 3.23 | 23.96 | 61.20 | 93.30 | 147.72 |
2026-09-27 | 7.65 | 0.56 | 0.96 | 1.45 | 3.31 | 18.21 | 43.48 | 78.31 | 116.46 |
2026-10-04 | 7.65 | 0.56 | 0.96 | 1.45 | 3.31 | 18.21 | 43.48 | 78.31 | 116.46 |