Prediction 4259
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | ParĂ¡ |
Description:
2026 forecasts in PA
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 89.16 | 39.79 | 47.17 | 53.12 | 68.51 | 123.93 | 170.81 | 210.90 | 249.09 |
2025-10-12 | 109.41 | 46.99 | 53.08 | 62.16 | 82.95 | 169.63 | 229.96 | 270.73 | 323.72 |
2025-10-19 | 103.52 | 45.04 | 50.65 | 57.53 | 74.70 | 134.73 | 181.14 | 211.84 | 248.73 |
2025-10-26 | 121.21 | 49.41 | 54.78 | 64.69 | 85.43 | 168.64 | 228.01 | 307.24 | 382.84 |
2025-11-02 | 116.09 | 52.73 | 60.91 | 67.80 | 85.06 | 159.26 | 215.93 | 269.87 | 315.31 |
2025-11-09 | 133.70 | 55.46 | 64.13 | 75.02 | 95.99 | 184.48 | 262.15 | 303.47 | 335.49 |
2025-11-16 | 165.43 | 61.04 | 70.79 | 86.68 | 119.84 | 244.42 | 356.90 | 438.84 | 527.48 |
2025-11-23 | 205.82 | 74.38 | 85.09 | 103.36 | 139.88 | 294.81 | 425.76 | 563.56 | 761.73 |
2025-11-30 | 220.27 | 74.31 | 87.51 | 108.53 | 154.58 | 304.57 | 456.23 | 621.05 | 919.91 |
2025-12-07 | 201.90 | 71.19 | 82.43 | 104.17 | 143.27 | 322.99 | 478.06 | 631.74 | 778.86 |
2025-12-14 | 146.45 | 55.85 | 66.77 | 80.40 | 105.71 | 233.33 | 349.55 | 462.97 | 562.97 |
2025-12-21 | 130.72 | 48.48 | 56.84 | 71.86 | 92.59 | 197.05 | 279.46 | 338.35 | 406.00 |
2025-12-28 | 307.62 | 135.89 | 160.45 | 176.19 | 229.81 | 438.82 | 562.34 | 734.50 | 864.83 |
2026-01-04 | 384.79 | 160.22 | 173.19 | 206.81 | 282.63 | 546.67 | 719.94 | 904.87 | 1153.63 |
2026-01-11 | 377.58 | 161.32 | 190.00 | 215.24 | 292.46 | 499.68 | 688.54 | 863.81 | 999.03 |
2026-01-18 | 404.08 | 210.55 | 245.92 | 265.71 | 323.53 | 520.19 | 692.63 | 779.60 | 910.31 |
2026-01-25 | 439.15 | 232.17 | 243.71 | 282.57 | 347.88 | 558.91 | 715.06 | 854.69 | 984.44 |
2026-02-01 | 428.54 | 240.05 | 260.27 | 289.00 | 347.96 | 543.65 | 679.02 | 756.67 | 956.12 |
2026-02-08 | 481.45 | 269.52 | 294.34 | 318.76 | 384.40 | 622.24 | 821.87 | 921.07 | 1056.01 |
2026-02-15 | 476.65 | 245.91 | 264.48 | 306.37 | 375.18 | 595.48 | 747.53 | 833.89 | 925.02 |
2026-02-22 | 555.95 | 265.25 | 289.76 | 335.12 | 423.44 | 746.28 | 956.95 | 1064.41 | 1234.22 |
2026-03-01 | 545.82 | 275.07 | 320.66 | 358.10 | 442.13 | 707.65 | 895.12 | 1015.27 | 1204.70 |
2026-03-08 | 485.85 | 257.46 | 285.90 | 328.66 | 387.01 | 603.21 | 760.20 | 896.08 | 1049.64 |
2026-03-15 | 466.97 | 238.49 | 260.78 | 288.53 | 359.37 | 603.44 | 804.19 | 919.94 | 1029.25 |
2026-03-22 | 411.53 | 218.90 | 231.62 | 257.91 | 320.98 | 517.70 | 664.28 | 777.76 | 973.46 |
2026-03-29 | 442.21 | 219.50 | 244.29 | 274.56 | 342.03 | 601.72 | 734.87 | 872.76 | 1096.87 |
2026-04-05 | 394.61 | 187.00 | 219.06 | 244.82 | 312.01 | 506.53 | 691.81 | 859.55 | 1018.01 |
2026-04-12 | 385.59 | 200.52 | 219.46 | 251.87 | 307.79 | 497.80 | 620.53 | 754.74 | 887.90 |
2026-04-19 | 393.49 | 180.39 | 209.47 | 243.14 | 311.43 | 531.07 | 717.76 | 827.33 | 970.44 |
2026-04-26 | 378.93 | 180.72 | 201.98 | 232.15 | 296.25 | 503.56 | 671.50 | 775.03 | 850.93 |
2026-05-03 | 376.40 | 180.34 | 199.02 | 221.61 | 280.93 | 511.36 | 685.52 | 851.99 | 1025.32 |
2026-05-10 | 351.98 | 161.76 | 181.56 | 208.26 | 263.85 | 470.70 | 633.32 | 749.73 | 894.17 |
2026-05-17 | 276.54 | 125.12 | 145.80 | 166.26 | 212.14 | 378.06 | 519.96 | 611.90 | 751.58 |
2026-05-24 | 244.96 | 119.61 | 133.36 | 155.11 | 190.24 | 324.38 | 414.84 | 511.57 | 576.29 |
2026-05-31 | 203.02 | 108.18 | 116.97 | 130.03 | 160.28 | 277.08 | 371.34 | 445.11 | 477.25 |
2026-06-07 | 198.08 | 93.32 | 102.39 | 121.35 | 157.49 | 258.19 | 337.13 | 388.18 | 467.02 |
2026-06-14 | 196.90 | 82.98 | 99.89 | 115.19 | 145.33 | 255.36 | 335.58 | 386.31 | 431.26 |
2026-06-21 | 102.29 | 44.02 | 51.94 | 58.63 | 74.83 | 141.97 | 194.04 | 232.83 | 275.66 |
2026-06-28 | 102.49 | 42.17 | 46.99 | 56.84 | 72.83 | 151.27 | 223.85 | 285.74 | 342.05 |
2026-07-05 | 90.27 | 31.60 | 39.22 | 46.52 | 63.17 | 133.27 | 198.48 | 250.06 | 314.84 |
2026-07-12 | 82.34 | 33.52 | 38.65 | 45.23 | 60.40 | 117.66 | 179.52 | 212.71 | 255.56 |
2026-07-19 | 73.94 | 28.01 | 31.90 | 38.16 | 54.76 | 107.23 | 149.36 | 197.61 | 236.36 |
2026-07-26 | 80.64 | 31.30 | 35.87 | 41.21 | 56.10 | 111.56 | 153.36 | 200.82 | 261.54 |
2026-08-02 | 79.88 | 25.63 | 29.82 | 37.91 | 54.85 | 118.02 | 173.46 | 232.37 | 287.31 |
2026-08-09 | 71.44 | 26.84 | 29.72 | 37.62 | 51.05 | 104.10 | 150.29 | 191.97 | 246.65 |
2026-08-16 | 70.60 | 25.15 | 29.71 | 34.02 | 46.61 | 104.12 | 147.56 | 197.10 | 233.15 |
2026-08-23 | 71.12 | 22.40 | 26.81 | 33.26 | 49.50 | 107.37 | 170.02 | 219.30 | 260.19 |
2026-08-30 | 61.07 | 19.19 | 22.58 | 30.08 | 43.80 | 91.46 | 147.85 | 214.51 | 291.38 |
2026-09-06 | 65.95 | 24.13 | 27.43 | 31.91 | 44.04 | 102.39 | 162.64 | 215.23 | 319.46 |
2026-09-13 | 74.70 | 23.47 | 29.44 | 35.64 | 50.34 | 118.57 | 181.62 | 247.98 | 284.58 |
2026-09-20 | 77.44 | 26.18 | 30.97 | 35.80 | 48.52 | 116.18 | 188.50 | 250.17 | 300.65 |
2026-09-27 | 62.25 | 22.69 | 25.64 | 31.60 | 42.35 | 94.10 | 139.80 | 172.86 | 196.13 |
2026-10-04 | 62.25 | 22.69 | 25.64 | 31.60 | 42.35 | 94.10 | 139.80 | 172.86 | 196.13 |