Prediction 4306

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Prediction of Season 25-26 for BA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 224.62 50.03 63.18 89.49 160.16 311.25 390.38 418.67 432.82
2025-10-12 208.71 23.47 37.74 66.28 142.82 284.65 355.44 381.22 394.12
2025-10-19 221.37 31.54 46.10 75.20 151.63 293.13 365.77 391.56 404.45
2025-10-26 229.06 43.73 58.21 87.19 163.52 299.78 380.52 410.47 425.44
2025-11-02 239.26 56.22 70.32 98.53 174.46 300.17 377.81 407.55 422.43
2025-11-09 239.52 46.63 62.07 92.95 174.43 298.93 379.38 411.32 427.30
2025-11-16 247.77 46.66 61.98 92.60 172.03 308.70 381.59 409.26 423.09
2025-11-23 222.07 40.16 53.49 80.14 149.57 273.32 336.24 361.15 373.60
2025-11-30 215.16 54.45 66.46 90.47 153.78 268.46 350.00 382.26 398.39
2025-12-07 214.11 53.94 66.03 90.21 153.54 268.50 377.05 424.08 447.60
2025-12-14 195.24 60.20 70.92 92.37 145.54 268.86 385.24 431.98 455.35
2025-12-21 197.88 53.00 66.29 92.86 156.67 278.50 429.78 491.99 523.09
2025-12-28 235.20 93.31 105.65 130.32 191.35 333.17 512.93 587.33 624.53
2026-01-04 251.24 112.08 123.11 145.16 201.23 363.94 564.74 646.66 687.63
2026-01-11 264.90 127.11 136.73 155.97 207.62 400.76 658.20 763.13 815.60
2026-01-18 293.81 154.91 164.63 184.08 236.20 460.32 734.70 845.49 900.89
2026-01-25 333.06 176.44 185.96 204.99 258.95 526.73 835.51 958.09 1019.38
2026-02-01 362.63 165.06 176.20 198.47 263.65 580.06 925.96 1065.12 1134.71
2026-02-08 420.96 154.17 169.61 200.48 289.28 684.32 1073.39 1226.61 1303.21
2026-02-15 489.92 149.76 168.06 204.68 309.65 799.04 1213.18 1375.57 1456.77
2026-02-22 560.74 167.42 187.67 228.15 348.10 926.16 1376.28 1549.66 1636.35
2026-03-01 632.54 161.48 185.79 234.40 377.33 1023.06 1528.06 1723.13 1820.67
2026-03-08 711.81 177.02 204.12 258.33 423.82 1138.81 1680.48 1889.90 1994.61
2026-03-15 813.94 220.63 251.10 312.04 496.23 1271.37 1852.88 2079.57 2192.91
2026-03-22 916.80 263.50 297.71 366.14 569.15 1417.49 2036.67 2276.34 2396.18
2026-03-29 971.37 251.66 289.71 365.80 589.93 1496.45 2137.69 2384.88 2508.47
2026-04-05 1042.65 291.96 329.19 403.64 636.08 1598.48 2284.84 2551.32 2684.57
2026-04-12 1095.27 311.15 351.69 432.78 679.05 1665.72 2363.50 2634.03 2769.29
2026-04-19 1155.32 326.35 369.63 456.18 716.55 1734.25 2430.89 2701.81 2837.27
2026-04-26 1172.57 330.68 375.74 465.86 731.62 1760.84 2450.99 2714.94 2846.91
2026-05-03 1180.38 335.31 379.55 468.03 732.66 1760.58 2438.52 2697.66 2827.23
2026-05-10 1094.90 291.11 334.28 420.64 674.65 1665.30 2317.29 2567.16 2692.10
2026-05-17 1005.21 273.11 309.36 381.88 605.16 1540.59 2170.05 2412.92 2534.35
2026-05-24 888.70 241.07 272.19 334.44 528.50 1409.65 2016.30 2248.61 2364.77
2026-05-31 773.09 177.40 208.07 269.40 449.39 1255.34 1812.34 2024.71 2130.89
2026-06-07 657.00 163.74 188.28 237.37 382.63 1086.11 1596.48 1793.27 1891.66
2026-06-14 582.50 174.42 194.13 233.53 353.69 957.03 1437.19 1622.21 1714.72
2026-06-21 492.41 161.94 179.04 213.24 312.24 810.08 1254.81 1431.09 1519.23
2026-06-28 419.67 158.43 171.11 196.49 274.62 694.56 1097.07 1256.48 1336.18
2026-07-05 376.27 158.11 171.37 197.91 267.13 601.89 966.19 1114.05 1187.98
2026-07-12 341.35 160.44 171.27 192.92 252.73 527.52 847.46 976.53 1041.06
2026-07-19 302.50 137.21 149.65 174.54 236.11 460.06 756.10 878.96 940.39
2026-07-26 312.08 142.58 153.73 176.02 238.19 458.45 739.83 855.93 913.98
2026-08-02 287.54 108.85 121.62 147.17 215.15 412.74 655.51 754.64 804.20
2026-08-09 271.48 108.08 118.83 140.33 202.55 379.08 605.22 699.96 747.33
2026-08-16 268.90 93.79 105.35 128.48 192.25 365.26 602.52 702.77 752.89
2026-08-23 256.04 75.56 88.05 113.03 183.27 346.71 577.31 675.16 724.09
2026-08-30 253.03 62.31 75.66 102.37 178.66 331.82 553.75 652.05 701.21
2026-09-06 253.66 58.17 71.45 98.01 175.16 330.52 542.63 633.92 679.57
2026-09-13 341.71 160.95 171.97 194.00 256.50 439.25 546.12 588.31 609.41
2026-09-20 347.68 184.05 193.93 213.71 268.89 446.28 552.38 594.27 615.22
2026-09-27 349.83 203.98 212.11 228.37 276.12 447.90 555.77 597.89 618.95
2026-10-04 356.81 205.71 214.87 233.19 284.57 445.17 534.87 568.22 584.89
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